A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom
J. McCain 46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth 35 43 27
J. Deakin 7 8 6
Undec 12 13 11
McCain As Sen.
- All Men Wom 9/25
Approve 44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove 45 48 42 25
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom
J.D. Hayworth 37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%
A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All GOP Ind
J. McCain 54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth 28 26 43
Undec 18 19 11
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain 46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman 24 50 5 19
Undec 30 30 18 45
- All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth 37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman 30 56 9 28
Undec 33 30 24 48
Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?
- Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong 53% 17% 19%
military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that 34 28 27
does not engage in name
calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of 31 20 39
people like you
Working to promote peace in 30 32 23
the world
Working to reduce the 29 22 25
partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the 28 28 25
environment
Working to create jobs in AZ 28 19 38
Working to secure the 27 24 36
U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal 27 21 39
drug trade between U.S. and
Mexico
Working to improve education 26 25 33
in the U.S.
Working for immigration 26 17 35
reform
Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
G. Baker 53% 51% 45% 52% 51% 47% 47%
B. Lincoln 31 36 40 33 39 41 39
Other 12 6 6 6 3 6 5
Undec 4 7 8 8 7 7 8
- Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman 57% 51% 48% 54%
B. Lincoln 29 36 39 35
Other 9 6 6 4
Undec 5 7 7 7
- Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman 52% 48% 43% 50% 48% 44% 43%
B. Lincoln 32 36 41 34 38 40 41
Other 8 7 7 7 4 7 5
Undec 7 8 10 9 9 9 11
- Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren 51% 51% 43% 51% 47% 46% 44%
B. Lincoln 30 35 38 35 39 39 41
Other 11 5 7 7 4 6 5
Undec 8 8 12 7 10 9 10
- Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt 54% 51% 45%
B. Lincoln 31 35 38
Other 6 7 6
Undec 9 7 10
- Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker 48% 44% 44%
B. Halter 33 36 37
Other 10 7 5
Undec 9 12 13
- Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman 56% 48% 52%
B. Halter 31 34 33
Other 7 8 6
Undec 7 11 9
- Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman 43% 40% 38%
B. Halter 37 37 35
Other 11 10 9
Undec 9 13 18
- Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren 45% 42% 42%
B. Halter 33 34 35
Other 13 10 7
Undec 9 13 15
- Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt 49% 43% 42%
B. Halter 31 34 38
Other 12 9 8
Undec 8 14 12
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1
J. Boozman 58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24% n/a n/a
B. Halter 48 /42 47 /40 48 /34 n/a n/a n/a
J. Holt 47 /27 46 /24 44 /25 n/a n/a n/a
G. Baker 42 /27 37 /25 38 /23 40 /22 42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman 37 /29 35 /25 34 /24 39 /19 n/a 37 /22
K. Hendren 36 /26 38 /21 36 /23 35 /19 37 /20 41 /19
B. Lincoln 31 /63 37 /61 41 /52 36 /59 38 /56 43 /52
Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).
Crist As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove 42 44 45 37 49 36 41 41 43
Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).
Primary Election Matchup
D. Coats 36%
J. Hostettler 24
M. Stutzman 18
D. Bates 6
R. Behney 4
Undec 13
Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle 48% 51% 46% 44% 44% 47%
H. Reid 40 40 38 40 40 43
Other 7 6 11 7 10 7
Undec 4 3 5 8 7 3
- Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden 52% 54% 51% 45% 48% 49% 50%
H. Reid 39 39 38 39 36 43 40
Other 6 4 7 8 8 6 4
Undec 3 2 3 8 7 3 5
- Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian 51% 49% 50% 47% 50% 49% 50%
H. Reid 41 42 37 39 36 43 43%
Other 4 6 9 8 5 6 4
Undec 4 2 4 6 9 2 3
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Lowden 56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian 53 /35 55 /34 52 /29 50 /35 49 /28 49 /30
S. Angle 48 /32 48 /33 40 /36 37 /30 39 /33 40 /37
H. Reid 43 /56 37 /62 39 /58 44 /55 41 /55 40 /57
Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner 40% 77% 7% 32% 39% 42% 38% 35% 34% 39% 35%
R. Portman 36 6 79 34 40 33 37 40 38 34 34
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 1
Not vote 2 2 -- 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 21 15 14 29 19 23 23 23 27 25 29
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher 40% 79% 7% 31% 37% 43% 41% 37% 36% 42% 37%
R. Portman 37 7 80 35 42 33 37 40 39 31 33
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 2
Not vote 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 2 1 1 2
Undec 21 13 13 30 19 23 21 21 24 26 26
Fisher As LG
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve 42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43% 39% 39% 44% 39%
Disapprove 27 13 44 28 31 24 23 22 23 21 24
Brunner As Sec/State
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve 42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42% 36% 38% 41% 38%
Disapprove 27 8 48 29 31 23 23 25 25 23 25
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/29 2/21
L. Fisher 27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman 25 / 8 9 /15 51 / 1 22 / 8 25 / 8 25 / 7
J. Brunner 25 /14 41 / 4 9 /23 22 /15 21 /12 21 /12
Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support 45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose 48 10 84 55 53 44 46
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