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Thursday, April 29, 2010

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 68% 74% 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 30 25 22 24 29 28 30

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
T. Strickland 44% 83% 9% 33% 41% 45% 43% 44% 40% 46%
J. Kasich 38 10 76 38 42 34 38 39 40 36
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
Not vote -- -- -- 1 1 -- 1 2 1 1
Undec 17 6 14 26 14 19 17 15 18 15

Strickland As Gov.
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve 47% 75% 22% 41% 46% 47% 49% 48% 45% 48% 46%
Disapprove 38 13 64 44 43 35 40 40 43 42 42

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
T. Strickland 45%/32% 71%/11% 23%/54% 37%/38% 46%/35% 45%/36%
J. Kasich 27 /10 15 /17 49 / 4 22 / 8 24 /10 26 /10

Strickland Handling Economy
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve 36% 59% 17% 31% 36% 36% 35% 35% 33% 33% 33%
Disapprove 53 30 75 59 54 53 52 53 52 54 53

Strickland Handling OH Budget
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve 36% 59% 17% 31% 38% 35% 37% 32% 36% 32% 43%
Disapprove 48 29 69 50 49 47 47 51 47 53 40

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Yes 37% 59% 22% 28% 34% 39% 36% 34% 32% 37% 34% 44% 46%
No 41 24 56 46 43 39 41 45 43 40 40 32 30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 41% 14% 72% 45% 45% 37% 38% 41% 41%
T. Strickland 39 71 11 29 39 38 38 35 33
No difference 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 --
Undec 18 13 14 23 14 22 22 22 27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 40% 14% 70% 44% 43% 37% 39% 42% 42%
T. Strickland 39 71 11 30 40 39 38 36 34
No difference 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 --
Undec 19 13 16 24 15 21 21 21 25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 41% 74% 15% 30% 38% 43% 40% 35%
J. Kasich 35 12 64 36 39 32 35 36
No difference 7 4 5 8 7 6 5 6
Undec 18 11 15 26 16 19 20 22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 42% 75% 17% 33% 40% 44% 42% 40%
J. Kasich 36 12 67 36 41 31 34 36
No difference 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 3
Undec 19 11 13 28 16 22 22 21

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury 43% 41% J. Kitzhaber 48% 42%
A. Alley 34 35 A. Alley 33 34
Other 7 9 Other 6 8
Undec 16 16 Undec 13 16

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury 40% 39% J. Kitzhaber 41% 42%
C. Dudley 40 36 C. Dudley 41 34
Other 6 7 Other 6 7
Undec 13 17 Undec 13 15

-             Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
B. Bradbury 44% 38% J. Kitzhaber 50% 40%
J. Lim 32 35 J. Lim 34 38
Other 9 9 Other 5 8
Undec 15 17 Undec 12 14

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     2/17
J. Kitzhaber 58%/34% 44%/42%
B. Bradbury 48 /35 46 /31
C. Dudley 46 /25 40 /24
A. Alley 38 /35 30 /29
J. Lim 34 /35 31 /28

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