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Thursday, April 22, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 4/10-13; surveyed 304 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.6% (release, 4/22). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Campbell is "Economist/Business Educator"; DeVore is "Assemblyman/Military Reservist"; and Fiorina is "Business Executive".)

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell 31% 34% 27%
C. Fiorina 17 19 16
C. DeVore 15 19 11
Other 1 2 --
Undec 35 23 46

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie.)

General Election Matchup
-         Now 3/18
M. Rubio 37% 42%
C. Crist 30 22
K. Meek 22 25
Undec 11 11

Crist As Gov.
-             Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 43 42 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     3/18    2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19
C. Crist 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41%
M. Rubio 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34
K. Meek 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/21). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 31 32 29 34
Other 4 7 6 5
Undec 13 11 14 11

-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 32 35 34 37 38
Other 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

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