A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain 48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth 36 37 35 37
Other 6 7 5 n/a
Undec 10 5 15 11
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain 48% 7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58% 3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman 35 73 6 35 32 38 29 67 58 33
Undec 17 20 13 19 14 20 13 30 32 15
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth 43% 6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53% 6% 2% 48%
R. Glassman 42 83 7 48 37 47 37 65 60 37
Undec 15 11 20 12 14 16 10 33 34 15
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/31
J. McCain 43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth 35 /46 7 /77 63 /17 24 /55 34 /42
R. Glassman 26 /16 54 / 7 7 /25 22 /13 23 /15
Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln 44%
B. Halter 32
D.C. Morrison 7
Undec 17
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman 48%
J. Holt 17
G. Baker 11
K. Hendren 5
C. Reynolds 2
C. Coleman 1
Other 1
Undec 15
General Election Matchups
- Now 1/20
G. Baker 47% 43% G. Baker 42%
B. Lincoln 39 39 B. Halter 34
Undec 14 18 Undec 24
J. Boozman 52% J. Boozman 56%
B. Lincoln 35 B. Halter 32
Undec 13 Undec 12
- Now 1/20
J. Holt 45% 37% J. Holt 42%
B. Lincoln 40 43 B. Halter 36
Undec 15 20 Undec 22
Fav/Unfav
- Now 1/20
J. Boozman 38%/11% n/a
B. Halter 29 /21 28%/11%
B. Lincoln 28 /53 39 /41
Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist 38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio 32 4 70 19 37 27 32 3 64 28
K. Meek 19 36 3 13 16 22 13 68 6 20
Undec 11 12 9 13 10 12 11 10 13 17
Crist As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good 51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57% 64% 61%
Fair/poor 48 32 70 44 54 42 41 32 34
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/25 6/26 5/09 11/06 10/06
C. Crist 41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio 35 /28 27 /17 18 /11 13 / 5 n/a n/a
K. Meek 17 /11 15 / 8 11 / 5 11 / 2 n/a n/a
Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove 38 8 75 30 43 33
Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley 49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin 40 76 6 35 34 46 35
Undec 11 11 9 12 10 12 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/17
C. Grassley 58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin 45 /35 41 /36
Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul 43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson 28 27 30 23
Other 8 10 7 n/a
Undec 21 19 23 33
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul 50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson 45 /26 51 /27 40 /24 31 /20
North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).
Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)
E. Marshall 42%
C. Cunningham 37
Other 4
Undec 17
General Election Matchups
- Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 50% 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 37 31 32 29 34
Other 3 4 7 6 5
Undec 10 13 11 14 11
- Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 9 12 8 12 10 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 43 /35 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a
Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher 43% 38% 39% 39% 37% 36% 40%
R. Portman 42 43 44 43 44 38 41
Other 4 4 5 5 4 8 6
Undec 11 14 12 13 14 18 14
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7
L. Fisher 48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman 45 /26 45 /26 45 /27 45 /24 49 /25 48 /21
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter 43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak 43 40 40 42 40 42
Other/undec 13 14 11 12 11 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter 54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak 48 /13 44 /13 42 /14 45 /11 43 /12 45 /12
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