An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).
Primary Election Matchup
T. James 26%
R. Moore 21
B. Byrne 20
R. Bentley 7
Fav/Unfav
T. James 50%/12%
R. Moore 49 /23
B. Byrne 35 /13
Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
J. Brewer 32% 29% 35%
B. Mills 14 16 12
D. Martin 13 16 10
J. Munger 5 6 4
Undec 36 33 39
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard 48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer 42 6 73 36 47 37 51 3 9
Undec 10 9 12 9 9 11 8 17 17
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard 47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin 35 6 61 30 39 31 43 2 6
Undec 18 10 25 16 18 18 17 18 20
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard 48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills 34 6 60 27 38 30 42 2 6
Undec 18 9 26 17 18 18 17 17 19
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard 47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger 30 5 55 22 34 26 36 2 6
Undec 23 11 32 23 22 24 24 18 19
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/31
T. Goddard 46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22% n/a
J. Brewer 36 /51 9 /79 64 /25 25 /59 39%/54%
D. Martin 28 /17 13 /28 48 /10 17 /14 n/a
B. Mills 17 /20 9 /34 48 /11 16 /17 n/a
J. Munger 9 /15 4 /22 14 /10 7 /14 n/a
Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 4/1 2/1 Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont 48% 41% 41% N. Lamont 42% 37% 40%
M. Fedele 28 38 33 N. Lamont 35 44 37
Other 9 9 8 Other 11 7 9
Undec 15 12 18 Undec 13 13 14
- Now 4/1 2/1 Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy 44% 40% 36% D. Malloy 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele 27 37 35 T. Foley 35 44 36
Other 10 7 9 Other 11 8 10
Undec 20 16 21 Undec 16 14 18
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont 53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy 46 /24 47 /29 43 /29
T. Foley 42 /24 45 /25 42 /22
M. Fedele 38 /22 38 /26 39 /22
Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad 48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver 41 80 6 34 37 45 38
Undec 11 8 9 15 10 12 8
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver 46% 83% 7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts 36 7 71 35 41 31 26
Undec 18 10 22 22 17 19 26
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver 44% 81% 6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats 40 9 78 38 45 35 38
Undec 16 10 16 21 15 17 21
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/17
T. Branstad 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver 46 /45 44 /43
B. Vander Plaats 39 /38 36 /34
R. Roberts 27 /35 13 /16
Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich 46% 46% 49% 47% 47% 48% 46%
T. Strickland 45 45 38 41 40 39 45
Other 3 2 6 5 4 3 3
Undec 6 7 7 8 8 11 7
Strickland As Gov.
- Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve 48% 47% 43% 46% 43% 48% 47%
Disapprove 49 52 53 53 54 50 50
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich 51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland 47 /48 46 /48 46 /48 44 /51 46 /46 48 /46
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel 11 12 11 9 7 6
T. Williams 10 8 9 9 7 8
J. Wagner 8 9 8 8 6 5
Other/undec 36 39 37 38 41 40
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel 21 / 8 22 / 8 25 / 7 25 / 8 22 / 8 23 / 7
T. Williams 20 /12 18 /11 19 /12 18 /13 16 /13 18 /14
J. Wagner 19 / 7 19 / 8 19 / 7 22 /10 19 /11 21 /11
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