A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. McCollum 38%
R. Scott 24
P. Dockery 7
Undec 31
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum 45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49% 41% 40%
A. Sink 36 63 5 38 34 38 34 35 34
Undec 19 21 16 21 17 21 17 24 26
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink 41% 68% 9% 46% 39% 43% 44% 43%
P. Dockery 29 9 56 19 32 26 22 18
Undec 30 23 35 35 29 31 34 39
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink 38% 66% 6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott 36 11 70 26 38 34
Undec 26 23 24 35 27 25
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum 32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink 26 /18 24 /15 24 / 9 24 / 3
R. Scott 19 / 8 n/a n/a n/a
P. Dockery 6 / 5 4 / 2 3 / 2 n/a
Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
- Now 3/25 6/26
B. McCollum 46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott 28 / 1 n/a n/a
P. Dockery 10 / 4 9 / 4 8 / 3
Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady 39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn 35 61 5 27 31 39
S. Cohen 3 6 0 2 4 2
Undec 23 21 16 33 22 24
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady 39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn 36 63 5 28 33 39 47
Other/undec 25 25 16 35 23 27 21
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 2/24
P. Quinn 37%/49% 59%/22% 9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady 35 /37 11 /59 70 / 8 34 /35 29 /41
S. Cohen 19 /24 28 /18 9 /30 16 /27 n/a
Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).
General Election Matchup (RVs)
- All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley 49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich 41 47 36
Other/neither 3 2 1
Not vote 1 n/a 1
Undec 6 4 5
O'Malley As Gov.
- All RVs RVs All RVs
- Now Now 10/08 10/07 10/07
Approve 54% 58% 53% 53% 51%
Disapprove 34 34 37 36 39
O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)
- Now 10/07
Approve 46% 39%
Disapprove 40 52
How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?
- Now 10/07
A lot 8% 3%
A fair amount 38 25
Some 29 32
Not much 20 35
Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)
Very closely 26%
Fairly closely 35
Not too closely 23
Not at all closely 15
Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)
Satisfied 49%
Wish had more 45
How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)
- Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy 41% 45% 12% 2%
Public education 39 39 14 7
Budget deficit 37 39 18 4
Taxes 36 40 17 7
Crime 35 42 16 6
Environment 29 37 23 11
How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)
- Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy 43% 43% 12% 2%
Budget deficit 41 38 16 4
Public education 40 37 14 8
Taxes 38 39 16 7
Crime 33 43 17 7
Environment 26 37 25 11
Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)
- O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of 41% 31% 5% 10% 13%
people like you
Has a vision for the 38 31 11 6 15
state's future
Strong leader 35 37 10 6 12
He is honest/trustworthy 33 29 12 12 15
Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)
- O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of 39% 39% 4% 10% 9%
people like you
Has a vision for the 36 38 11 5 10
state's future
Strong leader 34 43 10 6 8
He is honest/trustworthy 31 36 12 11 10
Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)
- O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment 49% 25% 5% 5% 17%
Working effectively with 49 27 5 5 15
the MD legislature
Public education 49 29 6 3 13
Crime 40 34 5 6 16
State economy 39 43 2 4 11
State budget deficit 37 42 4 5 12
Taxes 36 44 3 5 12
Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)
- TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley 34% 8% 45%
B. Ehrlich 6 31 46
As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)
Need to raise taxes 53%
Meet without raising taxes 36
Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer 41% 8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher 33 66 7 26 30 36
T. Horner 9 7 5 17 12 5
Undec 17 19 10 23 14 20
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer 42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton 34 66 13 25 31 38
T. Horner 9 6 7 16 10 8
Undec 15 18 7 19 11 19
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer 42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza 31 61 7 28 31 31
T. Horner 10 10 5 19 12 8
Undec 16 20 8 17 11 22
Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.
Primary Election Matchup
- Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams 15 12 9 10 8 9 9 7 8
J. Wagner 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 6 5
J. Hoeffel 8 8 10 11 12 11 9 7 6
Other/undec 32 36 38 36 39 37 38 41 40
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4
D. Onorato 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams 26 /15 24 /13 21 /14 20 /12 18 /11 19 /12
J. Hoeffel 21 / 9 18 / 8 20 / 8 21 / 8 22 / 8 25 / 7
J. Wagner 19 /10 17 / 8 18 / 6 19 / 7 19 / 8 19 / 7
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.
Primary Election Matchup
D. Onorato 34%
J. Wagner 17
T. Williams 17
J. Hoeffel 9
Other 6
Undec 17
Fav/Unfav
D. Onorato 58%/22%
J. Wagner 43 /24
T. Williams 41 /34
J. Hoeffel 29 /34
Rendell As Gov.
- Now 4/12
Approve 61% 60%
Disapprove 38 39
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