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Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina 41
Other 1
Undec 13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?
-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal 32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit 28 28 26 25
Only some 26 28 25 23
Very little 11 12 8 20
No interest 4 3 3 10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup
D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco 20
Other 3
Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye 73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco 19 /35 n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 43 44 42 42 41 42 43 46 46
Other 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 6 6 4 7 8 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt 54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan 51 /42 52 /40 48 /47 47 /46 47 /48 49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher 42% 84% 6% 37% 37% 46% 40% 41% 37% 36% 42%
R. Portman 40 5 81 39 49 32 37 37 40 39 31
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 -- 1 1 -- -- 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 -- 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 17 9 13 21 11 21 21 21 21 24 26

Fisher As LG
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42% 43% 39% 39% 44%
Disapprove 26 10 39 31 33 21 27 23 22 23 21

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher 28%/17% 48%/ 4% 9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman 26 / 7 9 /12 46 / 2 24 / 7 25 / 8 25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support 46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45% 44%
Oppose 48 11 86 50 54 43 48 46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher 30 55 6 27 28 31
No diff 5 3 3 7 5 5
Undec 33 31 29 34 23 41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher 31 58 7 26 29 33
No diff 3 2 2 5 3 4
Undec 30 27 24 34 22 37

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