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Monday, March 29, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 3/23-25; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4/9% (release, 3/26). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         Now 6/26 5/18
M. Rubio 48% 23% 18%
C. Crist 37 51 53
Undec 15 26 29

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/26 5/18
C. Crist 50% 36% 69% 43% 51% 49% 48% 55%
K. Meek 26 45 6 24 24 28 26 24
Undec 24 19 25 33 25 23 26 21

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Rubio 44% 16% 72% 50% 47% 41%
K. Meek 29 55 3 23 29 29
Undec 27 29 25 27 24 30

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     6/26    5/18
C. Crist 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15%
M. Rubio 27 /17 18 /11 13 / 5
K. Meek 15 / 8 11 / 5 11 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-         Now     6/26    5/18
M. Rubio 42%/10 24%/ 5% 20%/ 2%
C. Crist 37 /32 49 /22 50 /19

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup
D. Inouye   65%
L. Lingle 25
Other 3
Undec 6

Lingle As Gov.
Approve     45%
Disapprove 52

Fav/Unfav
D. Inouye   76%/20%
L. Lingle 45 /54

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/29).

Schumer As Sen.
-               All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good 51% 67% 33% 45% 53% 47% 51% 54% 58%
Fair/poor 45 29 64 52 43 48 42 42 39

A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/29). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and ex-Bush foreign policy adviser Dan Senor (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki 62% 71% 51%
J. DioGuardi 7 2 13
B. Blakeman 4 2 5
D. Malpass 2 2 2
D. Senor 2 3 1
Undec 23 20 27

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi 18% 12% 25%
B. Blakeman 10 12 6
D. Malpass 9 8 10
D. Senor 4 6 3
Undec 59 62 56

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
K. Gillibrand 54% 75% 26% 52% 51% 58% 58% 52%
B. Blakeman 25 8 53 23 31 19 28 30
Undec 21 17 22 25 18 23 14 18

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 54% 74% 24% 53% 52% 55%
J. DioGuardi 27 10 55 24 32 21
Undec 19 16 21 23 15 24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 54% 74% 27% 50% 51% 57%
D. Malpass 25 9 50 25 31 19
Undec 21 17 23 25 18 24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17
G. Pataki 47% 26% 74% 51% 52% 42% 48% 49% 42% 47%
K. Gillibrand 45 64 19 41 42 48 45 43 45 45
Undec 8 9 7 8 6 11 7 8 13 8

Gillibrand As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 27% 34% 19% 24% 25% 24% 24% 25% 26% 24%
Fair/poor 51 43 61 52 53 51 51 51 47 43

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