PRESIDENTIAL
ARKANSAS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Party ID Breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/08
J. McCain 48% 54%
B. Obama 44 40
ARIZONA
A Marketing Intelligence/Zimmerman & Assoc. poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 408 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Pollster.com, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 44%
B. Obama 42
COLORADO
A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 10/21-23 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 8/13
Obama/Biden 52% 41%
McCain/Palin 40 44
B. Barr 1 3
R. Nader 1 2
Other 2 3
Undec 2 8
CONNECTICUT
A Hartford Courant poll; conducted 10/28-22 by the Univ. of CT; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 56%
J. McCain 31
R. Nader 1
B. Barr --
Undec 12
FLORIDA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 603 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 47%
J. McCain 47
Other/undec 6
GEORGIA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
McCain/Palin 49% 52% 46% 68% 1% 8% 89% 44%
Obama/Biden 43 41 45 22 95 86 5 43
Other 1 1 1 1 -- -- 1 2
Undec 7 6 8 9 4 6 6 11
Fav/Unfav
J. McCain 51%/31%
S. Palin 45 /37
B. Obama 43 /42
J. Biden 38 /36
ILLINOIS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/18 1/08
Obama/Biden 59% 56% 58%
McCain/Palin 35 36 37
Other 5 5 --
Undec 1 3 5
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/18 1/08 8/06 3/06 1/06
B. Obama 72%/22% 69%/24% 68%/27% 70%/25% 65%/28% 62%/30%
J. Biden 55 /30 57 /27 na na na na
J. McCain 38 /59 41 /53 45 /47 na na na
S. Palin 31 /58 37 /44 na na na na
INDIANA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 50%
B. Obama 44
Other/undec 6
IOWA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden 51% 49% 53% 90% 6% 47%
McCain/Palin 40 41 39 5 85 38
Other 1 2 -- 1 2 1
Undec 8 8 8 4 7 14
Fav/Unfav
B. Obama 52%/25%
J. Biden 46 /27
J. McCain 41 /40
S. Palin 40 /43
IOWA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/19-22 for the Quad-City Times/Lee Enterprises; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Ind 9/30 9/17
Obama/Biden 54% 57% 55% 53%
McCain/Palin 39 36 39 39
Other 3 na 3 3
Undec 4 na 3 5
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/30 9/17
B. Obama 59%/32% 57%/32% 58%/31%
J. McCain 45 /49 45 /47 47 /47
IOWA
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/23-24; surveyed 759 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 645 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/21
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind All LVs
Obama/Biden 48% 52% 91% 7% 63% 46% 51%
McCain/Palin 40 42 5 91 25 41 41
Other 1 1 1 * 2 2 2
Undec 11 5 3 2 10 11 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/21
B. Obama 57%/37% 58%/36%
J. McCain 50 /42 54 /40
J. Biden 49 /33 50 /30
S. Palin 45 /47 49 /35
MINNESOTA
A St. Cloud State Univ. poll; conducted 10/14-22; surveyed 509 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 466 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup (RVs)
B. Obama 43%
J. McCain 38
B. Barr 3
Other 3
Won't vote 1
Undec 11
MISSISSIPPI
A Mobile Press-Register poll; conducted 10/13-23 by the Univ. of So. AL; surveyed 405 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 46%
B. Obama 33
MISSOURI
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
McCain/Palin 46% 51% 41% 50% 4% 9% 87% 42%
Obama/Biden 45 38 52 39 90 85 4 45
Other 2 3 1 3 -- 1 1 5
Undec 7 8 6 7 6 5 8 8
Fav/Unfav
J. McCain 49%/36%
B. Obama 46 /39
S. Palin 43 /37
J. Biden 42 /33
MISSOURI
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/24 9/18 7/10 1/08 11/07
Obama/Biden 48% 46% 45% 43% 42% 40%
McCain/Palin 47 47 49 48 47 46
Other 3 3 3 -- -- --
Undec 2 4 3 9 11 14
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/24 9/18 7/10 1/08 11/07
B. Obama 53%/40% 53%/41% 52%/43% 54%/37% 49%/33% 45%/31%
J. Biden 50 /38 49 /34 51 /32 na na na
J. McCain 49 /44 53 /42 55 /41 49 /43 46 /45 42 /45
S. Palin 47 /44 50 /39 52 /36 na na na
MISSOURI
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 48%
J. McCain 46
Other/undec 6
NEVADA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 48%
J. McCain 44
Other/undec 8
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 725 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom HRC 9/08 7/08 4/08
Obama/Biden 54% 91% 52% 9% 50% 58% 81% 45% 46% 43%
McCain/Palin 39 8 26 83 44 35 16 47 43 49
Other -- -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1 3 1
Undec 6 1 21 7 6 7 2 7 8 6
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem Ind GOP 9/08 7/08
B. Obama 61%/29% 91%/ 6% 65%/22% 22%/59% 53%/36% 58%/31%
J. Biden 54 /27 81 / 6 56 /23 19 /55 45 /32 na
J. McCain 48 /42 22 /68 49 /36 83 /11 55 /35 56 /31
S. Palin 39 /48 11 /77 36 /43 77 /13 48 /35 na
G. Bush 20 /71 2 /95 9 /81 49 /35 24 /66 27 /67
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/22-23; surveyed 757 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 655 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/21
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind All LVs
Obama/Biden 47% 50% 93% 9% 51% 48% 51%
McCain/Palin 43 45 4 90 39 45 45
Other 3 2 3 1 4 1 1
Undec 7 3 * * 6 6 3
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/21
B. Obama 57%/38% 63%/31%
J. McCain 56 /40 61 /34
J. Biden 52 /38 51 /33
S. Palin 48 /46 52 /38
NEW JERSEY
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/20-21; surveyed 755 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 628 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/24). All subgroups are among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/8
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind All LVs
Obama/Biden 53% 56% 93% 9% 54% 47% 48%
McCain/Palin 36 39 6 86 37 40 45
Other 1 1 * * 2 1 *
Undec 10 4 1 5 7 12 7
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/8
B. Obama 65%/30% 62%/32%
J. Biden 61 /28 58 /27
J. McCain 51 /44 61 /32
S. Palin 41 /51 55 /29
NEW YORK
A Siena College poll; conducted 10/19-21; surveyed 721 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/30 9/10 8/14 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08 2/08
Obama/Biden 62% 58% 46% 47% 50% 51% 49% 45% 47%
McCain/Palin 31 36 41 39 37 33 38 40 40
Undec 6 6 13 14 13 17 14 15 13
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/30 9/10 8/14 7/10 6/11
B. Obama 67%/28% 64%/29% 56%/32% 54%/34% 57%/32% 58%/30%
H. Clinton 65 /33 na 56 /39 51 /43 55 /38 56 /38
J. Biden 62 /27 54 /28 46 /26 na na na
J. McCain 42 /53 43 /49 50 /37 49 /41 45 /42 42 /47
S. Palin 33 /58 36 /52 46 /30 na na na
NEW YORK
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/21-22; surveyed 660 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Subsample of 527 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 10/24). All subgroups are among LVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind
Obama/Biden 60% 65% 88% 28% 65%
McCain/Palin 30 29 11 65 24
Other 2 2 * 2 3
Undec 8 4 1 5 8
Fav/Unfav
B. Obama 68%/28%
J. McCain 42 /52
NORTH CAROLINA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 601 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 50%
J. McCain 46
Other/undec 4
OHIO
An Ohio Newspaper Poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 886 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8 9/16
Obama/Biden 49% 86% 54% 10% 48% 50% 45% 93% 46% 42%
McCain/Palin 46 8 28 88 47 45 50 7 48 48
R. Nader 2 2 5 1 1 2 1 -- 2 4
B. Barr 1 1 2 -- 1 -- 1 -- 1 1
C. McKinney -- 1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- na
Other -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 na
Undec 3 3 10 1 2 3 3 -- 3 5
OHIO
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 50%
J. McCain 45
Other/undec 5
PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/22-26; surveyed 589 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 52%D, 41%R, 6%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/25 10/24 10/23 10/22 10/21 10/20 10/19
B. Obama 53% 53% 52% 52% 52% 52% 52% 53%
J. McCain 40 41 41 40 42 41 42 41
Other 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Undec 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 5
Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 54%/27%
B. Obama 54 /33
J. McCain 40 /45
S. Palin 39 /49
SOUTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Party ID Breakdown: 47%R, 40%D, 13%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
McCain/Palin 50% 52% 48% 10% 85% 47% 47% 53% 51% 49%
Obama/Biden 41 39 43 82 6 43 44 38 40 42
Other 3 4 2 2 3 5 3 5 3 2
Undec 6 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 7
TENNESSEE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Party ID Breakdown: 38%R, 32%D, 30%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
McCain/Palin 54% 56% 52% 18% 84% 55% 63% 3%
Obama/Biden 38 36 40 76 8 36 29 88
Other 3 3 3 2 2 5 4 --
Undec 5 5 5 4 6 4 4 9
VIRGINIA
An ABC News/Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25; surveyed 784 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/21
Obama/Biden 52% 49%
McCain/Palin 44 46
VIRGINIA
A VA Commonwealth Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 902 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 817 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/27). Subgroup data is among RVs.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Obama 49% 51% 88% 10% 46% 48% 51% 39% 95%
J. McCain 40 40 4 86 40 42 39 51 1
Other/neither/undec 10 9 8 4 14 10 10 10 4
VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 52%
J. McCain 45
Other/undec 3
WEST VIRGINIA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
McCain/Palin 49% 51% 47% 24% 90% 50% 46% 49% 49% 51%
Obama/Biden 43 41 45 68 4 40 47 44 43 39
Other 3 4 2 3 2 4 4 4 3 1
Undec 5 4 6 5 4 6 3 3 5 9
WEST VIRGINIA
A Reuters/Zogby poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/27).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 50%
B. Obama 40
Other/undec 9
SENATE
COLORADO
A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 10/21-23 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02) and '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R).
General Election Matchup
M. Udall 51%
B. Schaffer 38
Undec 5
GEORGIA
A NBC News poll; conducted 10/22-23 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Dem GOP Ind
S. Chambliss 45% 46% 44% 59% 12% 14% 77% 36%
J. Martin 39 37 41 23 78 75 8 38
A. Buckley 5 7 3 6 1 2 4 12
Undec 11 10 12 12 9 9 11 14
Fav/Unfav
S. Chambliss 45%/28%
J. Martin 31 /31
ILLINOIS
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24). Tested: Sen. Dick Durbin (D) and physician Steve Sauerberg (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/18
D. Durbin 59% 56%
S. Sauerberg 34 35
Undec 7 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/18 1/08 8/06 3/06
D. Durbin 59%/29% 57%/27% 54%/39% 50%/39% 53%/34%
S. Sauerberg 41 /44 35 /33 na na na
MASSACHUSETTS
A Suffolk Univ./7NEWS poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Sen. John Kerry (D), '06 MA-10 nominee/security business owner/ex-CIA/FBI/Delta Force officer Jeff Beatty (R) and '06 state Rep. nominee/computer programmer Bob Underwood (L).
General Election Matchup
J. Kerry 56%
J. Beatty 19
B. Underwood 6
Undec 18
MINNESOTA
A St. Cloud State Univ. poll; conducted 10/14-22; surveyed 509 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 466 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/25). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).
General Election Matchup (RVs)
N. Coleman 36%
A. Franken 27
D. Barkley 17
Other 2
Won't vote 2
Undec 16
MISSISSIPPI
A Mobile Press-Register poll; conducted 10/13-23 by the Univ. of So. AL; surveyed 405 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/26). Tested: Sen. Roger Wicker (R) and ex-Gov. Ronnie Musgrove (D).
General Election Matchup
R. Wicker 45%
R. Musgrove 32
NEW HAMPSHIRE
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 725 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/25). Tested: ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) and Sen. John Sununu (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/08 7/08 4/08 2/08
J. Shaheen 49% 81% 45% 10% 46% 52% 48% 46% 52% 54%
J. Sununu 36 7 27 76 40 32 44 42 40 37
Other 2 1 5 2 2 2 na na na na
Undec 13 10 23 12 11 15 7 10 7 7
NEW JERSEY
A Marist College poll; conducted 10/20-21; surveyed 755 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsample of 628 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/24). All subgroups are among LVs. Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/8
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind All LVs
F. Lautenberg 47% 48% 82% 7% 43% 47% 51%
D. Zimmer 37 41 9 90 37 36 40
Other 2 1 2 * 2 1 1
Undec 14 10 7 3 18 16 8
SOUTH DAKOTA
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/22-24 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Tested: Sen. Tim Johnson (D) and state Rep. Joel Dykstra (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
T. Johnson 57% 56% 58% 87% 28% 69% 60% 56% 55% 58%
J. Dykstra 35 37 33 5 63 26 31 38 37 34
Undec 8 7 9 8 9 5 9 6 8 8
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
T. Johnson 61%/27% 58%/31% 64%/23% 79%/ 8% 44%/46% 66%/17%
J. Dykstra 38 /43 40 /42 36 /44 19 /66 56 /23 33 /46
SOUTH DAKOTA
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for Johnson; surveyed 603 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/24). Tested: Johnson and Dykstra.
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/15 10/8 9/25 8/14
T. Johnson 62% 59% 60% 61% 61%
J. Dykstra 32 35 35 34 34
Fav/Unfav
J. Dykstra 17%/27%
TENNESSEE
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/25). Tested: Sen. Lamar Alexander (R) and ex-TN Dem chair Bob Tuke (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
L. Alexander 59% 61% 57% 23% 89% 60% 68% 8%
B. Tuke 37 36 38 72 8 36 30 78
Undec 4 3 5 5 3 4 2 14
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind
L. Alexander 61%/27% 37%/48% 79%/11% 64%/25%
B. Tuke 44 /30 66 /20 28 /36 41 /32
VIRGINIA
An ABC News/Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25; surveyed 784 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/27). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/21 10/07
M. Warner 61% 61% 61%
J. Gilmore 31 31 32
VIRGINIA
A VA Commonwealth Univ. poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 902 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 817 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/27). Subgroup data is among RVs.
General Election Matchup
- All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
M. Warner 59% 61% 76% 34% 65% 58% 60% 56% 66%
J. Gilmore 25 27 6 52 21 28 23 29 14
Other/neither/undec 16 12 18 14 14 14 16 15 20
HOUSE
AL-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) and state Rep. Jay Love (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
J. Love 47% 51% 43% 7% 74% 45% 56% 5%
B. Bright 45 44 46 89 14 50 37 83
Undec 8 5 11 4 12 5 7 12
Fav/Unfav
J. Love 48%/36%
B. Bright 46 /35
AZ-03
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. John Shadegg (R) and atty Bob Lord (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/8
J. Shadegg 50% 53% 47% 7% 81% 45% 48%
B. Lord 40 38 42 88 7 44 39
Other 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
Undec 8 7 9 4 10 9 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/8
J. Shadegg 48%/43% 47%/41%
B. Lord 45 /41 42 /35
CA-04
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) and '06 nominee/USAF vet Charlie Brown (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/25
C. Brown 48% 44% 52% 88% 14% 51% 46%
T. McClintock 42 47 37 7 74 34 41
Other 4 5 3 1 5 7 5
Undec 6 4 8 4 7 8 8
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/25
C. Brown 49%/29% 44%/25%
T. McClintock 44 /42 41 /35
FL-13
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) and '04 candidate/'06 nominee Christine Jennings (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk 9/25
V. Buchanan 45% 49% 41% 12% 71% 42% 47% 37% 5% 43%
C. Jennings 34 33 35 69 8 33 33 30 69 31
Other 8 6 10 10 4 14 9 1 -- 6
Undec 13 12 14 9 17 11 11 32 26 20
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/25
V. Buchanan 41%/44% 37%/42%
C. Jennings 39 /44 32 /38
FL-21
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) and ex-Hialeah Mayor Raul Martinez (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk
L. Diaz-Balart 45% 48% 42% 10% 83% 44% 42% 56% 7%
R. Martinez 44 43 45 81 5 43 45 35 84
Other 1 1 1 -- 1 2 1 1 --
Undec 10 8 12 9 11 11 12 8 9
Fav/Unfav
L. Diaz-Balart 46%/37%
R. Martinez 44 /36
FL-25
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R) and ex-Cuban American National Foundation dir./Miami-Dade Co. Dem Chair Joe Garcia (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht His Blk 9/25
M. Diaz-Balart 46% 49% 43% 10% 82% 41% 47% 49% 6% 45%
J. Garcia 43 39 47 86 7 42 42 42 65 41
Other 1 1 1 -- 1 2 1 1 -- 1
Undec 10 11 9 4 10 15 10 8 29 13
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/25
J. Garcia 49%/34% 47%/29%
M. Diaz-Balart 48 /37 45 /34
IL-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Mark Kirk (R) and '06 nominee Dan Seals (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/1
D. Seals 49% 44% 54% 83% 7% 51% 38%
M. Kirk 43 49 37 10 84 42 44
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 7 6 8 6 8 6 16
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/1
D. Seals 50%/34% 43%/28%
M. Kirk 41 /47 45 /40
IA-04
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Tom Latham (R) and businesswoman Becky Greenwald (D)
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
T. Latham 47% 51% 43% 12% 83% 49% 43% 51% 48% 45%
B. Greenwald 42 39 45 78 6 40 47 39 40 43
Undec 11 10 12 10 11 11 10 10 12 12
Fav/Unfav
B. Greenwald 44%/35%
T. Latham 42 /38
IA-04
A Tarrance Gorup (R) poll; conducted 10/21-22 for Latham; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/26). Tested: Latham and Greenwald
General Election Matchup
T. Latham 56%
B. Greenwald 34
Undec 11
KY-02
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/20-21 for the DCCC; surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: state Sen. David Boswell (D) and state Sen. Brett Guthrie (R).
General Election Matchups
D. Boswell 47%
B. Guthrie 41
Generic Dem 44%
Generic GOPer 43
LA-06
A Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for state Sen. Bill Cassidy (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/24). Tested: Cassidy, Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) and Dem state Rep. Michael Jackson (I).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/16
D. Cazayoux 38% 45%
B. Cassidy 36 34
M. Jackson 14 9
Undec 11 12
MD-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Queen Anne's Co. State's Atty Frank Kratovil (D) and state Sen. Andy Harris (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
A. Harris 44% 48% 40% 13% 79% 42%
F. Kratovil 40 38 42 71 5 43
Undec 16 14 18 16 16 15
Fav/Unfav
F. Kratovil 45%/33%
A. Harris 45 /44
MN-06
A MN Public Radio/Univ. of MN poll; conducted 10/21-23; surveyed 430 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Michele Bachmann (R), '06 candidate/ex-MN Trans. Commis. Elwyn Tinklenberg (D) and dental technician Bob Anderson (I).
General Election Matchup
- All GOP Ind Dem
E. Tinklenberg 45% 10% 23% 90%
M. Bachmann 43 79 51 3
B. Anderson 5 6 5 3
Undec 7 6 21 4
MO-09
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: state Rep. Judy Baker (D) and ex-state Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/18
B. Luetkemeyer 47% 50% 44% 9% 80% 44% 49%
J. Baker 42 40 44 84 8 42 40
Other 8 9 7 5 9 10 6
Undec 3 1 5 2 3 4 5
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/18
B. Luetkemeyer 50%/33% 37%/24%
J. Baker 43 /38 45 /28
MT-AL
A MT State Univ.-Billings poll; conducted 10/16-20; surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (AP, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) and ex-state Rep./ex-PSC commis. John Driscoll (D).
General Election Matchup
D. Rehberg 59%
J. Driscoll 25
NC-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Patrick McHenry (R) and ex-prosecutor Daniel Johnson (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. McHenry 52% 56% 48% 14% 85% 54% 53% 55% 49% 50%
D. Johnson 37 35 39 74 6 34 36 35 40 38
Undec 11 9 13 12 9 12 11 10 11 12
Fav/Unfav
P. McHenry 46%/36%
D. Johnson 40 /41
NH-01
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 358 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) and ex-Rep. Jeb Bradley (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/08 7/08 4/08
C. Shea-Porter 44% 77% 35% 10% 39% 49% 42% 40% 39%
J. Bradley 39 10 30 76 45 34 45 46 45
Other 2 1 6 3 2 3 na na na
Undec 14 11 29 12 14 14 12 14 13
NH-02
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 10/18-22 by the Univ. of NH; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Paul Hodes (D) and radio host Jennifer Horn (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP Men Wom 9/08 7/08 4/08
P. Hodes 51% 80% 43% 12% 50% 51% 38% 43% 52%
J. Horn 25 7 12 57 26 24 26 23 25
Other 1 -- 4 -- 2 -- na na na
Undec 24 12 41 31 22 25 33 32 22
NJ-05
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Scott Garrett (R) and rabbi/psychologist Dennis Shulman (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 9/18
S. Garrett 47% 51% 43% 9% 76% 46% 49%
D. Shulman 40 38 42 81 11 40 34
Other 2 2 2 3 1 2 2
Undec 11 9 13 7 12 12 15
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/18
S. Garrett 45%/40% 44%/38%
D. Shulman 44 /37 36 /26
NV-03
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Jon Porter (R) and state Sen. Min. Leader/'06 GOV nominee Dina Titus (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
D. Titus 47% 43% 51% 82% 7% 48%
J. Porter 45 51 39 8 87 47
Undec 8 6 10 10 6 5
Fav/Unfav
D. Titus 44%/37%
J. Porter 43 /41
SC-01
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Henry Brown (R) and businesswoman/philanthropist Linda Ketner (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
H. Brown 48% 52% 44% 8% 82% 46% 61% 4%
L. Ketner 37 35 39 78 4 36 29 65
Undec 15 13 17 14 14 18 10 32
Fav/Unfav
H. Brown 44%/38%
L. Ketner 40 /35
SC-02
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/20-22 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: Rep. Joe Wilson (R) and Iraq vet Rob Miller (D).
General Election Matchup
J. Wilson 47%
R. Miller 35
TX-07
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/22-23 for wind power exec. Michael Skelly (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Skelly, Rep. John Culberson (R) and Vietnam vet./frequent candidate/scientist Drew Parks (L).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 9/9
J. Culberson 49% 9% 40% 82% 44%
M. Skelly 44 87 46 13 37
D. Parks 3 1 6 3 6
Undec 4 3 8 1 13
TX-07
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the Houston Chronicle; surveyed 421 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 10/27). Tested: Culberson and Skelly.
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Culberson 48% 45% 50% 9% 81% 39%
M. Skelly 41 46 46 85 12 32
Other/undec 12 9 15 6 7 29
TX-10
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/25). Tested: atty/ex-Texas Justice TV host Larry Joe Doherty (D) and Rep. Michael McCaul (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His
M. McCaul 46% 50% 42% 7% 79% 45% 54% 4% 31%
L. Doherty 42 39 45 84 6 44 36 72 57
Other 4 5 3 2 4 6 5 -- 1
Undec 8 6 10 7 11 5 5 24 11
Fav/Unfav
M. McCaul 45%/43%
J. Doherty 42 /34
TX-22
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the Houston Chronicle; surveyed 404 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/27). Tested: Rep. Nick Lampson (D) and Sen. Cornyn ex-CoS Pete Olson (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
P. Olson 53% 55% 52% 4% 88% 39%
N. Lampson 36 36 37 84 5 45
Other/undec 10 9 11 12 7 17
TX-22
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/18-20 for Lampson; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/27). Tested: Lampson, Olson and John Wieder (L).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/08 7/08
P. Olson 42% 42% 45%
N. Lampson 42 41 37
J. Wieder 3 3 6
Undec 13 13 12
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/08 7/08
N. Lampson 56%/26% 49%/26% 49%/30%
WA-08
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/21-23 for Daily Kos; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/26). Tested: Rep. Dave Reichert (R) and '06 nominee Darcy Burner (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 10/7
D. Reichert 46% 49% 43% 12% 88% 45% 49%
D. Burner 46 44 48 82 5 46 41
Other 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 7 6 8 5 6 8 8
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/7
D. Burner 47%/40% 43%/37%
D. Reichert 41 /45 46 /41
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