PRESIDENTIAL
ARKANSAS
A Univ. of AR poll; conducted 10/1-21; surveyed 1,628 adults; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 49%
B. Obama 36
Undec 15
FLORIDA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/8 9/22 8/24 6/29
McCain/Palin 48% 44% 48% 49% 49%
Obama/Biden 46 52 45 42 41
Other 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 5 3 5 8 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/8 9/22
S. Palin 49%/38% 52%/36% 54%/33%
B. Obama 49 /40 52 /37 50 /38
J. McCain 48 /42 48 /41 50 /39
J. Biden 45 /41 47 /37 45 /36
FLORIDA
A Schroth Eldon & Assoc. (D)/Polling Co. (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22 for the St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 49%
J. McCain 42
GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/7 9/9 6/29 5/14
McCain/Palin 51% 50% 52% 51% 54%
Obama/Biden 45 43 39 43 40
Barr/Root 2 2 3 3 na
Undec 5 5 6 3 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/7 9/9
S. Palin 51%/36% 52%/34% 54%/28%
J. McCain 49 /37 48 /38 48 /32
B. Obama 48 /39 50 /38 49 /36
J. Biden 43 /38 43 /37 41 /35
KENTUCKY
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/19-21 for the Lexington Herald-Leader; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 38%R, 16%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 10/16 9/17
McCain/Palin 55% 59% 51% 24% 89% 62% 62% 4% 53% 55%
Obama/Biden 39 37 41 70 5 31 32 89 39 37
Other 3 3 3 2 3 5 3 -- 3 2
Undec 3 1 5 4 3 2 3 7 5 6
Fav/Unfav
J. McCain 55%/40%
B. Obama 41 /49
MAINE
A Critical Insights poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 443 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 10/23). Party ID Breakdown: 38%D, 32%R, 25%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All CD1 CD2 6/27
B. Obama 56% 56% 56% 51%
J. McCain 35 33 36 31
Undec 9 10 8 16
MASSACHUSETTS
A Suffolk Univ./7NEWS poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 8/3 6/10
B. Obama 53% 47% 53%
J. McCain 34 38 30
Other/Undec 13 15 17
MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV poll; conducted 10/19-22 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/22 9/17 8/21 7/15 5/22
Obama/Biden 51% 48% 43% 43% 43% 40%
McCain/Palin 37 38 42 41 41 44
R. Nader 1 2 2 3 3 na
B. Barr 1 1 2 1 2 na
Undec 10 12 10 13 12 16
Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/22 9/17 8/21 7/15 5/22
B. Obama 59%/34% 56%/34% 54%/36% 49%/36% 51%/37% 45%/41%
J. Biden 54 /36 52 /31 47 /30 na na na
J. McCain 52 /41 48 /44 51 /42 52 /36 58 /32 48 /36
S. Palin 47 /43 46 /40 48 /35 na na na
G. Bush 32 /65 na na na na na
MINNESOTA
An Allstate/National Journal poll; conducted 10/16-20 by FD; surveyed 402 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden 50%
McCain/Palin 40
Undec 7
Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 61%/27%
S. Palin 42 /47
MONTANA
A MT State Univ.-Billings poll; conducted 10/16-20; surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 44%
J. McCain 40
R. Paul 4
B. Barr 1
R. Nader 1
Undec 10
NORTH CAROLINA
A Winthrop Univ./ETV poll; conducted 9/28-10/19; surveyed 744 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 45%
J. McCain 44
Other 2
Undec 7
OHIO
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/8 9/9
McCain/Palin 48% 46% 48%
Obama/Biden 45 48 44
Other 2 2 2
Undec 5 4 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/8 9/9
S. Palin 49%/39% 51%/36% 53%/33%
B. Obama 49 /41 51 /38 48 /39
J. McCain 48 /42 47 /41 49 /36
J. Biden 46 /42 47 /39 46 /34
OREGON
A Riley Research Assoc. poll; conducted 10/10-20; surveyed 499 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind
B. Obama 48% 77% 10% 53%
J. McCain 34 9 75 19
Other 4 2 3 8
Undec 14 11 13 19
PENNSYLVANIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/7 9/22 9/7 7/27 4/20 4/13 4/6 3/30 3/9
Obama/Biden 50% 54% 47% 47% 49% 40% 39% 41% 42% 44%
McCain/Palin 43 40 46 45 40 48 49 48 47 47
Other 2 2 2 3 na na na na na na
Undec 5 4 5 5 11 12 12 11 11 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 10/7 9/22 9/7
S. Palin 49%/38% 50%/36% 52%/34% 51%/32%
B. Obama 48 /39 51 /37 47 /36 48 /38
J. McCain 48 /39 46 /42 47 /36 49 /33
J. Biden 47 /37 48 /37 47 /38 49 /36
PENNSYLVANIA
An Allstate/National Journal poll; conducted 10/16-20 by FD; surveyed 412 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 9/22
Obama/Biden 51% 43%
McCain/Palin 41 41
Undec 5 15
Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 60%/29%
S. Palin 45 /46
PENNSYLVANIA
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracking poll; conducted 10/19-23; surveyed 608 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/24). Party ID Breakdown: 52%D, 41%R, 6%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
- Now 10/22 10/21 10/20 10/19 10/18 10/17 10/16
B. Obama 52% 52% 52% 52% 53% 52% 52% 53%
J. McCain 40 42 41 42 41 40 39 39
Other 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2
Undec 6 5 6 5 5 6 7 7
Fav/Unfav
B. Obama 54%/31%
J. Biden 53 /27
J. McCain 40 /43
S. Palin 39 /47
SOUTH CAROLINA
A Winthrop Univ./ETV poll; conducted 9/28-10/19; surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 55%
B. Obama 35
Other 2
Undec 7
VIRGINIA
A Winthrop Univ./ETV poll; conducted 9/28-10/19; surveyed 665 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama 45%
J. McCain 44
Other 2
Undec 6
WISCONSIN
An Allstate/National Journal poll; conducted 10/16-20 by FD; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
Obama/Biden 53%
McCain/Palin 40
Undec 4
Fav/Unfav
J. Biden 57%/32%
S. Palin 46 /45
SENATE
GEORGIA
A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 10/20-22; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/23). Tested: Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R), '06 LG nominee/atty/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D) and atty Allen Buckley (L).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/7 9/9 6/29
S. Chambliss 46% 47% 54% 57%
J. Martin 44 44 36 28
A. Buckley 5 4 4 na
Undec 5 5 6 15
MAINE
A Critical Insights poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 443 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 10/23). Tested: Sen. Susan Collins (R) and Rep. Tom Allen (D-01).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem Ind GOP 6/27
S. Collins 54% 19% 52% 85% 51%
T. Allen 42 74 31 7 37
Undec 5 7 17 8 na
MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV poll; conducted 10/19-22 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Sen. Carl Levin (D) and state Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 9/17 8/21 7/15
C. Levin 58% 56% 59% 58%
J. Hoogendyk 30 28 27 32
Other 1 na na na
Undec 11 16 14 10
MINNESOTA
A Big Ten Battleground poll; conducted 10/19-22 by the Univ. of WI; surveyed 583 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/23). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (I).
General Election Matchup
A. Franken 40%
N. Coleman 34
D. Barkley 15
Undec 8
MINNESOTA
An Allstate/National Journal poll; conducted 10/16-20 by FD; surveyed 402 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23). Tested: Coleman, Franken and Barkley.
General Election Matchup
A. Franken 37%
N. Coleman 36
D. Barkley 19
Undec 7
OREGON
A Riley Research Assoc. poll; conducted 10/10-20; surveyed 499 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/24). Tested: state House Speaker Jeff Merkley (D), Sen. Gordon Smith (R) and '04 nominee/'02/'06 OR-03 nominee/computer consultant Dave Brownlow (C).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind
J. Merkley 36% 59% 6% 38%
G. Smith 35 17 69 18
D. Brownlow 4 2 5 6
Other 2 2 3 1
Undec 23 21 17 37
VIRGINIA
A Mason-Dixon poll; conducted 10/20-21; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/22). Tested: ex-Gov. Mark Warner (D) and ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 10/1 9/22
M. Warner 58% 57% 61%
J. Gilmore 33 31 28
Undec 9 11 11
WEST VIRGINIA
A WV Wesleyan College poll; conducted 10/20-21 by Orion Strategies (D); surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/22). Tested: Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D) and '88/'02 nominee/ex-state Sen. Jay Wolfe (R)
General Election Matchup
J. Rockefeller 60%
J. Wolfe 36
Undec 3
HOUSE
AL-02
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 10/20-21 for the DCCC; surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/23). Tested: Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) and state Rep. Jay Love (R).
General Election Matchup
B. Bright 50%
J. Love 43
Fav/Unfav
B. Bright 49%/26%
J. Love 38 /34
FL-08
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/21-22 by the DCCC; surveyed 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Rick Keller (R) and atty Alan Grayson (D).
General Election Matchup
A. Grayson 52%
R. Keller 41
Fav/Unfav
A. Grayson 36%/24%
R. Keller 35 /36
FL-08
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/20-21 for Keller; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Keller and Grayson.
General Election Matchup
R. Keller 47%
A. Grayson 43
ME-01
A Critical Insights poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 228 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 10/23). Tested: Iraq vet/ex-Small Business Admin regional chief Charles Summers (R) and '02 SEN nominee Chellie Pingree (D).
General Election Matchup
C. Pingree 56%
C. Summers 35
Undec 9
ME-02
A Critical Insights poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 215 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 10/23). Tested: Rep. Michael Michaud (D) and Farmington Selectman John Frary (R).
General Election Matchup
M. Michaud 64%
J. Frary 23
Undec 13
OH-15
A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/20-22 for '06 nominee Mary Jo Kilroy (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Kilroy, state Sen. Steve Stivers (R), pro-life activist Don Elijah Eckhart (I) and Mark Noble (L).
General Election Matchup
M. Kilroy 46%
S. Stivers 37
D. Eckhart 3
M. Noble 2
PA-04
A Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) poll; conducted 10/20 for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Jason Altmire (D) and ex-Rep. Melissa Hart (R).
General Election Matchup
J. Altmire 53%
M. Hart 35
Undec 12
SD-AL
A Sioux Falls Argus Leader/KELO-TV poll; conducted 10/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 10/24). Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D) and businessman Chris Lien (R).
General Election Matchup
S. Herseth Sandlin 62%
C. Lien 29
Undec 9
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