A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/14). Party ID Breakdown: 49%D, 38%R, 13%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk 5/6
A. Specter 48% 54% 44% 53% 21% 56%
J. Sestak 33 29 36 36 19 11
Undec 19 17 20 11 60 33
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/6
A. Specter 45% 42% 48% 75% 7% 43% 41% 68% 55%
P. Toomey 40 44 36 8 82 40 47 4 31
Undec 15 14 16 17 11 17 12 28 14
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 5/6
J. Sestak 42% 39% 45% 71% 6% 40% 38% 63% 37%
P. Toomey 41 45 37 8 83 41 48 4 32
Undec 17 16 18 21 11 19 14 33 31
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 5/6
B. Casey 56%/29% 78%/10% 28%/56% 56%/24% na
A. Specter 52 /40 74 /21 23 /68 55 /32 54%/36%
J. Sestak 37 /19 51 / 8 19 /34 37 /19 29 /15
P. Toomey 37 /34 12 /53 73 / 9 28 /34 33 /44
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