A Daily Kos poll; conducted 8/9-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 30%R, 25%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), S.F. Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R) and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom
J. Brown 29% 32% 27%
G. Newsom 20 16 23
Undec 51 52 50
Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
- All Men Wom All Men Wom
M. Whitman 24% 22% 26% M. Whitman 27% 24% 30%
T. Campbell 19 21 17 T. Campbell 21 25 17
S. Poizner 9 10 8 Undec 51 51 53
Undec 48 47 49
General Election Matchups
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
J. Brown 42% 39% 45% 69% 7% 36% 35% 61% 57% 48%
M. Whitman 36 40 32 6 79 38 44 4 23 30
Undec 22 21 23 25 14 26 21 35 20 22
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
J. Brown 43% 39% 47% 71% 7% 36% 35% 62% 58% 50%
T. Campbell 35 40 30 6 78 36 43 4 22 28
Undec 22 21 23 23 15 28 22 34 20 22
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
J. Brown 43% 39% 47% 71% 7% 36% 35% 62% 58% 51%
S. Poizner 34 39 29 6 76 35 42 4 21 27
Undec 23 22 24 23 17 29 23 34 21 22
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
M. Whitman 37% 41% 33% 6% 81% 40% 45% 4% 24% 32%
G. Newsom 36 33 39 62 5 26 28 60 52 44
Undec 27 26 28 32 14 34 27 36 24 24
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
G. Newsom 36% 33% 39% 62% 5% 26% 28% 60% 53% 44%
T. Campbell 35 40 30 6 78 36 43 4 22 27
Undec 29 27 31 32 17 38 29 36 25 29
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk His Asn
G. Newsom 36% 32% 40% 62% 5% 26% 28% 61% 53% 45%
S. Poizner 35 41 29 6 78 35 43 4 21 27
Undec 29 27 31 32 17 39 29 35 26 28
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
J. Brown 48%/37% 44%/42% 52%/32% 71%/17% 15%/71% 45%/33%
M. Whitman 41 /30 43 /29 39 /31 24 /46 68 / 9 40 /27
G. Newsom 40 /42 39 /48 41 /36 63 /21 9 /78 36 /38
T. Campbell 38 /29 42 /28 34 /30 21 /45 65 / 9 36 /25
S. Poizner 35 /27 39 /26 31 /28 18 /43 62 / 7 33 /23
No comments:
Post a Comment