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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Wednesday, 8/13


PRESIDENTIAL

ALASKA

A Hays Research Group poll; conducted 8/6-7; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/12).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

B. Obama        45%

J. McCain 40

R. Nader 2

Other 2

Undec 10




NEW JERSEY

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/4-10; surveyed 1,468 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 8/13). Note: trends 6/8 and earlier are among RVs.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8 2/21 9/26

B. Obama 51% 11% 86% 45% 48% 53% 42% 94% 45% 46% 44%

J. McCain 41 87 8 42 45 38 50 1 39 39 41

Other 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1

Note vote -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 2 2 5

Undec 7 2 5 12 6 9 7 4 12 11 9




Fav/Unfav

-          All     GOP    Dem     Ind    6/8     2/21

B. Obama 57%/31% 24%/66% 87%/ 7% 53%/30% 56%/32% 58%/21%

J. McCain 54 /35 89 / 6 23 /64 61 /26 51 /36 52 /28




Building New Nuclear Power Plants

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

Support 61% 77% 43% 68% 76% 47% 65% 41%

Oppose 32 17 49 25 22 42 28 51




Drilling For New Oil Supplies In Currently Protected Offshore Areas

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

Support 62% 84% 42% 66% 65% 59% 65% 48%

Oppose 34 14 51 29 32 35 32 41




Drilling For New Oil In ANWR

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

Support 53% 81% 33% 55% 58% 49% 56% 41%

Oppose 41 16 59 40 39 44 40 44




PENNSYLVANIA

A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 8/4-10 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 641 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 50%D, 38%R, 10%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          All LVs GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 2/08 8/07 2/07

B. Obama 44% 46% 11% 68% 49% 42% 46% 43% 47% 37%

J. McCain 36 41 70 14 27 43 32 44 42 43

Other 4 na 4 2 10 2 5 -- -- --

Undec 16 na 15 16 14 13 18 13 11 20




Fav/Unfav

-          All     GOP    Dem     Ind     2/08   1/08

B. Obama 43%/29% 16%/54% 65%/12% 41%/22% 46%/27% 41%/27%

J. McCain 39 /32 63 / 9 23 /48 34 /34 45 /26 46 /23




SENATE

n/a



HOUSE

AL-02

An AL Education Assoc. poll; conducted 8/6-7 by the Capital Survey Research Center; surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (White, Birmingham News, 8/13). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D) and state Rep. Jay Love (R).

General Election Matchup

B. Bright       47%

J. Love 37

Undec/refused 16




CO-01

'02 candidate/salesman George Lilly (R) defeated Charles Crain (R), and will face Rep. Diana DeGette (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-01 GOP primary

-          votes   %age

Lilly 6,227 58%

Crain 4,505 42




CO-02

Ex-CO Board of Ed chair Jared Polis (D) defeated ex-state Sen. Pres. Joan Fitz-Gerald (D) and CO Conservation Trust ex-Pres. Will Shafroth (D), and will face electrical engineer Scott Starin (R) in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-02 Dem Primary

-          votes   %age

Polis 19,942 42%

Fitz-Gerald 18,181 38

Shafroth 9,708 20




CO-05

Rep. Doug Lamborn (R) will face off against Ret. USAF Lt. Col. Hal Bidlack (D) in the general, after beating back challenges from '06 candidates Jeff Crank (R) and Bentley Rayburn (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-05 Dem Primary

-          votes   %age

Lamborn 25,019 45%

Crank 16,431 29

Rayburn 14,721 26




CO-06

Sec/State Mike Coffman (R) held off businessman/ex-Sen. Armstrong (R) son Wil Armstrong (R) and state Sens. Ted Harvey (R) and Steve Ward (R), and will take on aviation consultant Hank Eng (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CO-06 GOP Primary

-          votes   %age

Coffman 28,457 40%

Armstrong 23,267 33

Harvey 10,830 15

Ward 8,407 12




CT-04

Greenwich Dem Chair Jim Himes (D) drubbed novelist/activist/substitute teacher Lee Whitnum (D), and will face Rep. Chris Shays (R) in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

CT-04 Dem primary

-          votes   %age

Himes 12,177 87%

Whitnum 1,826 13




NV-01

Rep. Shelley Berkley (D) won the Dem nod by blowing out out '02 NV-03 nominee/'04-'06 candidate Mark John Budetich (D). She'll face '06 nominee/'04 SEN candidate Kenneth Wegner (R) in the fall, who defeated '04 nominee/'06 candidate/activist Russ Mickelson (R), restaurant owner Chris Dyer (R), ex-judge Eve "No. 1 Mom" Ellingwood (R), casino worker/businessman Ray Kornfield (R), Mike Powers (R) and '06 SEN candidate/ex-Chrysler exec. Edward "Mr. Clean" Hamilton (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

NV-01 Dem primary NV-01 GOP Primary

-          votes   %age -           votes  %age

Berkley 19,440 90% Wegner 4,359 35%

Budetich 2,221 10 Mickelson 2,489 20

Dyer 1,847 15

Ellingwood 1,137 9

Kornfield 1,090 9

Powers 896 7

Hamilton 761 6




NV-02

Rep. Dean Heller (R) and '06 nominee/ex-NV Dem Chair Jill Derby (D) will once again face off in the general. Heller defeated Ron Paul activist James Smack (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

NV-02 GOP primary

-          votes   %age

Heller 43,081 86%

Smack 6,999 14




NV-03

Despite crowded primaries, Rep. Jon Porter (R) and '06 GOV nominee/state Sen. Dina Titus (R) easily emerged from their party's fields and will face off in the general. Porter coasted over Jesse Law (R) and Ron Paul activist Carl Bunce (R), while Titus knocked off '06 candidate/ex-convict/airline investor Barry Michaels (D), '04/'06 candidate Anna Nevenic (D) and '98/'02 GOV candidate/'04 SEN candidate/trash collector Carlo "Tex" Poliak (D). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/13).

NV-03 GOP primary NV-03 Dem Primary

-          votes   %age -           votes  %age

Porter 21,951 82% Titus 22,228 85%

Law 3,030 11 Michaels 2,312 9

Bunce 1,911 7 Nevenic 1,114 4

Poliak 587 2


1 comment:

Chris Dyer for Congress said...

When did I become a "restaurant owner"?

 
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