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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Tuesday, 8/12

ENVIRONMENTAL

NATIONWIDE

This national telephone surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 10, 2008. The margin of sampling error for each survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Should drilling in offshore oil wells be allowed?

Yes         64%

No 20

Not Sure 16




PRESIDENTIAL

OREGON

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on August 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup

McCain (R)  37%

Obama (D) 47




IOWA

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

General Election Matchup

McCain (R)  41%

Obama (D) 46




SENATE

GEORGIA

A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 8/6-10 for '06 LG nominee/ex-state Rep. Jim Martin (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/12). Tested: Martin, Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) and atty Allen Buckley (L).

General Election Matchup

S. Chambliss    43%

J. Martin 36

A. Buckley 3

Undec 19




Fav/Unfav

S. Chambliss    44%/23%

G. Bush 43 /52

J. Martin 32 /15




Re-Elect Chambliss?

Re-elect           40%

Consider another 21

Replace 19




Chambliss As Sen.

-              All Ind

Positive 37% 35%

Negative 38 38




NEW JERSEY

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/4-10; surveyed 1,519 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 1,468 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 8/12). Note: trends 6/8 and earlier are among RVs. Tested: Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D) and '96 nominee/ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer (R).

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-              All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8

F. Lautenberg 48% 12% 79% 42% 45% 51% 43% 85% 47%

D. Zimmer 41 80 12 44 46 36 47 6 38

Other 1 -- -- 1 1 1 -- 2 1

Not vote -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 3

Undec 11 8 8 13 9 12 10 7 10




Is Your Mind Made Up, Or Might You Change Your Mind Before Nov.? (LVs)

-              All LautenbergVoters ZimmerVoters

Made up 70% 68% 73%

Might change 29 31 26




Fav/Unfav (LVs)

-              All     GOP    Dem     Ind     6/8

F. Lautenberg 43%/35% 20%/64% 67%/12% 37%/37% 40%/31%

D. Zimmer 25 /12 44 / 8 13 /15 25 /10 21 /11




Lautenberg As Sen. (LVs)

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8 2/20 12/11

Approve 46% 23% 68% 41% 43% 50% 44% 64% 46% 39% 42%

Disapprove 38 61 18 41 44 31 41 18 35 31 33




Menendez As Sen.

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8 2/20 12/11

Approve 33% 17% 50% 28% 32% 34% 30% 45% 36% 30% 34%

Disapprove 34 52 18 36 40 27 35 23 26 31 34




At Age 84, Is Lautenberg Too Old To Effectively Serve Another 6 Year Term As Sen.? (LVs)

-      All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 6/8 2/20 9/25 7/07

Yes 55% 61% 50% 59% 55% 55% 55% 49% 54% 58% 54% 54%

No 39 33 46 35 39 39 40 47 41 36 40 40




HOUSE

AK-AL

A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 8/5 for LG Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 300 GOP LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 8/12). Tested: Parnell, Rep. Don Young (R) and state Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Parnell      42%

D. Young 38

G. LeDoux 8

Undec 12

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