PRESIDENTIAL
ALABAMA
An AL Education Assoc. poll; conducted 7/29-31 and 8/4 by Capital Survey Research Center; surveyed 571 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 8/8).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 47%
B. Obama 34
R. Nader 2
B. Barr 1
Undec/other 16
Who Do You Think Will Be Elected The Next POTUS?
B. Obama 44%
J. McCain 33
Undec/other 23
SENATE
TENNESSEE
Atty/ex-TN Dem chair Bob Tuke (D) won the Dem primary 8/7, defeating '02/'06 candidate/Gulf War vet Gary Davis (D), ex-Knoxville Co. Clerk Mike Padgett (D), Christian author/ex-Army reservist Mark Clayton (D), businessman Kenneth Eaton (D), and truck owner/driver Leonard Ladner (D). Tuke will face Sen. Lamar Alexander (R) on 11/4. Results, with 100% reporting (AP, 8/11):
TN SEN Dem Primary
- Votes %age
Tuke 58,978 32.20%
Davis 39,113 21.35
Padgett 33,437 18.25
Clayton 32,268 17.62
Eaton 14,681 8.02
Ladner 4,692 2.56
HOUSE
AK-AL
An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 7/18-22; surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsamples of 284 Dems and 250 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.8% and +/- 6.2%, respectively (release, 8/9). Tested: '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), '02 GOV green nominee/'06 nominee Diane Benson (D), Rep. Don Young (R), LG Sean Parnell (R), state Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux (R) and retired pilot Don Wright (I).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
E. Berkowitz 54%
D. Benson 25
D. Wright 5
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
D. Young 46%
S. Parnell 38
G. LeDoux 6
General Election Matchups
E. Berkowitz 52%
D. Young 37
D. Wright 7
S. Parnell 43%
E. Berkowitz 40
D. Wright 5
AL-02
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 8/3-6 for Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/7). Tested: state Rep. Jay Love (R) and Bright.
General Election Matchups
B. Bright 50%
J. Love 40
Generic GOPer 45%
Generic Dem 33
Fav/Unfav
B. Bright 63%/16%
Bright As Mayor
Positive 68%
Negative 9
Name ID
B. Bright 79%
J. Love 74
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 7/21-22 for Love; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 8/11). Tested: Love and Bright
General Election Matchups
J. Love 41%
B. Bright 39
Generic GOPer 48%
Generic Dem 34
Fav/Unfav
B. Riley 70%/15%
J. McCain 63 /23
T. Everett 60 / 8
B. Obama 39 /47
N. Pelosi 19 /49
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 55%
B. Obama 30
CA-26
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 7/15-16 for businessman Russ Warner (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release 8/8). Tested: Warner and Rep. David Dreier (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Ind
D. Dreier 49% 32%
R. Warner 37 49
Dreier As Rep.
Approve 45%
Disapprove 33
Fav/Unfav
B. Obama 46%/36%
J. McCain 46 /36
D. Dreier 32 /32
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain 47%
B. Obama 44
TN-01
In an upset, '06 candidate/Johnson City Mayor David Roe (R) defeated Rep. David Davis (R) and '06 candidate Mahmood Sabri (R) in the GOP primary, and will meet teacher Rob Russell (D) in the fall. Russell defeated Ron Paul activist Michael Donihe (D) on the Dem side. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 01 GOP Primary TN 01 Dem Primary
- votes %age - votes %age
Roe 25,911 50% Russell 4,100 68%
Davis 25,421 49 Donihe 1,954 32
Sabri 324 1
TN-02
Rep. John Duncan (R) will face '04/'06 candidate Bob Scott (D) in the general, after Scott defeated David Hancock (D). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 02 Dem Primary
- votes %age
Scott 10,003 60%
Hancock 6,758 40
TN-03
Rep. Zach Wamp (R) easily beat back a challenge from insurance agent Teresa Sheppard (R), and will take on '04/'06 candidate Doug Vandagriff (D) in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 03 GOP Primary
- votes %age
Wamp 31,782 91%
Sheppard 3,124 9
TN-04
Rep. Lincoln Davis (D) and health care exec. Monty Lankford (R) will square off in the general, after Davis dispatched of Bert Mason (D) in the primary, while Lankford beat businessman Kent Greenough (R) and '06 candidate Don Strong (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 04 Dem Primary TN 04 GOP Primary
- votes %age - votes %age
Davis 30,484 90% Lankford 13,362 63%
Mason 3,232 10 Strong 4,198 20
TN-05
Business consultant Gerard Donovan (R) defeated Vijay Kumar (R) in the GOP primary, and will meet Rep. Jim Cooper (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 05 GOP Primary
- votes %age
Donovan 5,445 71%
Kumar 2,200 29
TN-07
Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R) comfortably defeated Shelby Co. Register Tom Leatherwood (R), and will face '06 candidate Randy Morris (D) in the fall. Morris defeated iron worker Jim Tomasik (D) in the Dem primary. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 07 GOP Primary TN 07 Dem Primary
- votes %age - votes %age
Blackburn 30,979 62% Morris 12,002 77%
Leatherwood 19,008 38 Tomasik 3,534 23
TN-09
Rep. Steve Cohen (D) destroyed '06 candidate/atty Nikki Tinker (D), '06 candidate/state Rep. Joe Towns (D), James Gregory (D), and activist Isaac Richmond (D). He'll be unopposed in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).
TN 09 Dem Primary
- votes %age
Cohen 50,284 79%
Tinker 11,814 19
Towns 914 1
Gregory 180 0
Richmond 172 0
1 comment:
It is my understanding that Ivan Moore is either a paid staffer for the Berkowitz campaign, or a major supporter and contributor of the same.
Please look at the straw poll done by the Alaska League of Women Voters at the Tanana Valley State Fair as a more accurate view of what is going on in Alaska. (don't have the exact numbers but I think it was 317 to 245)
While Ethan is backed by anti-progressives who have raised a huge amount of corporate and PAC cash to out spend Benson by over 2 to 1, he barely leads by 10 points in unbiased polling.
Be aware of how partial this poll is and that it is little more than a political ploy to make Ms. Benson look like a non-viable candidate next to Ethan.
Don't Bye The Hype! Buy The Truth.
MPK
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