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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Monday, 8/11


PRESIDENTIAL

ALABAMA

An AL Education Assoc. poll; conducted 7/29-31 and 8/4 by Capital Survey Research Center; surveyed 571 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 8/8).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       47%

B. Obama 34

R. Nader 2

B. Barr 1

Undec/other 16




Who Do You Think Will Be Elected The Next POTUS?

B. Obama        44%

J. McCain 33

Undec/other 23




SENATE

TENNESSEE

Atty/ex-TN Dem chair Bob Tuke (D) won the Dem primary 8/7, defeating '02/'06 candidate/Gulf War vet Gary Davis (D), ex-Knoxville Co. Clerk Mike Padgett (D), Christian author/ex-Army reservist Mark Clayton (D), businessman Kenneth Eaton (D), and truck owner/driver Leonard Ladner (D). Tuke will face Sen. Lamar Alexander (R) on 11/4. Results, with 100% reporting (AP, 8/11):

TN SEN Dem Primary

-            Votes  %age

Tuke 58,978 32.20%

Davis 39,113 21.35

Padgett 33,437 18.25

Clayton 32,268 17.62

Eaton 14,681 8.02

Ladner 4,692 2.56




HOUSE

AK-AL

An Ivan Moore Research (D) poll; conducted 7/18-22; surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsamples of 284 Dems and 250 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.8% and +/- 6.2%, respectively (release, 8/9). Tested: '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), '02 GOV green nominee/'06 nominee Diane Benson (D), Rep. Don Young (R), LG Sean Parnell (R), state Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux (R) and retired pilot Don Wright (I).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

E. Berkowitz    54%

D. Benson 25

D. Wright 5




Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

D. Young        46%

S. Parnell 38

G. LeDoux 6




General Election Matchups

E. Berkowitz    52%

D. Young 37

D. Wright 7




S. Parnell      43%

E. Berkowitz 40

D. Wright 5




AL-02

An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 8/3-6 for Montgomery Mayor Bobby Bright (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/7). Tested: state Rep. Jay Love (R) and Bright.

General Election Matchups

B. Bright       50%

J. Love 40




Generic GOPer   45%

Generic Dem 33




Fav/Unfav

B. Bright       63%/16%




Bright As Mayor

Positive       68%

Negative 9




Name ID

B. Bright       79%

J. Love 74




A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 7/21-22 for Love; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 8/11). Tested: Love and Bright

General Election Matchups

J. Love         41%

B. Bright 39




Generic GOPer   48%

Generic Dem 34




Fav/Unfav

B. Riley        70%/15%

J. McCain 63 /23

T. Everett 60 / 8

B. Obama 39 /47

N. Pelosi 19 /49




WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       55%

B. Obama 30




CA-26

A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 7/15-16 for businessman Russ Warner (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release 8/8). Tested: Warner and Rep. David Dreier (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Ind

D. Dreier 49% 32%

R. Warner 37 49




Dreier As Rep.

Approve        45%

Disapprove 33




Fav/Unfav

B. Obama        46%/36%

J. McCain 46 /36

D. Dreier 32 /32




WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       47%

B. Obama 44




TN-01

In an upset, '06 candidate/Johnson City Mayor David Roe (R) defeated Rep. David Davis (R) and '06 candidate Mahmood Sabri (R) in the GOP primary, and will meet teacher Rob Russell (D) in the fall. Russell defeated Ron Paul activist Michael Donihe (D) on the Dem side. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 01 GOP Primary TN 01 Dem Primary

-            votes     %age -            votes     %age

Roe 25,911 50% Russell 4,100 68%

Davis 25,421 49 Donihe 1,954 32

Sabri 324 1




TN-02

Rep. John Duncan (R) will face '04/'06 candidate Bob Scott (D) in the general, after Scott defeated David Hancock (D). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 02 Dem Primary

-            votes     %age

Scott 10,003 60%

Hancock 6,758 40




TN-03

Rep. Zach Wamp (R) easily beat back a challenge from insurance agent Teresa Sheppard (R), and will take on '04/'06 candidate Doug Vandagriff (D) in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 03 GOP Primary

-           votes     %age

Wamp 31,782 91%

Sheppard 3,124 9




TN-04

Rep. Lincoln Davis (D) and health care exec. Monty Lankford (R) will square off in the general, after Davis dispatched of Bert Mason (D) in the primary, while Lankford beat businessman Kent Greenough (R) and '06 candidate Don Strong (R). Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 04 Dem Primary TN 04 GOP Primary

-           votes     %age -           votes     %age

Davis 30,484 90% Lankford 13,362 63%

Mason 3,232 10 Strong 4,198 20

Greenough 3,749 18




TN-05

Business consultant Gerard Donovan (R) defeated Vijay Kumar (R) in the GOP primary, and will meet Rep. Jim Cooper (D) in the general. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 05 GOP Primary

-           votes     %age

Donovan 5,445 71%

Kumar 2,200 29




TN-07

Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R) comfortably defeated Shelby Co. Register Tom Leatherwood (R), and will face '06 candidate Randy Morris (D) in the fall. Morris defeated iron worker Jim Tomasik (D) in the Dem primary. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 07 GOP Primary TN 07 Dem Primary

-           votes     %age -           votes     %age

Blackburn 30,979 62% Morris 12,002 77%

Leatherwood 19,008 38 Tomasik 3,534 23




TN-09

Rep. Steve Cohen (D) destroyed '06 candidate/atty Nikki Tinker (D), '06 candidate/state Rep. Joe Towns (D), James Gregory (D), and activist Isaac Richmond (D). He'll be unopposed in the fall. Results with 100% of the precincts reporting (AP, 8/11).

TN 09 Dem Primary

-             votes     %age

Cohen 50,284 79%

Tinker 11,814 19

Towns 914 1

Gregory 180 0

Richmond 172 0


1 comment:

pandakahn said...

It is my understanding that Ivan Moore is either a paid staffer for the Berkowitz campaign, or a major supporter and contributor of the same.

Please look at the straw poll done by the Alaska League of Women Voters at the Tanana Valley State Fair as a more accurate view of what is going on in Alaska. (don't have the exact numbers but I think it was 317 to 245)

While Ethan is backed by anti-progressives who have raised a huge amount of corporate and PAC cash to out spend Benson by over 2 to 1, he barely leads by 10 points in unbiased polling.

Be aware of how partial this poll is and that it is little more than a political ploy to make Ms. Benson look like a non-viable candidate next to Ethan.

Don't Bye The Hype! Buy The Truth.

MPK

 
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