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Monday, August 18, 2008

Monday, 8/18


PRESIDENTIAL

Colorado

A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 8/11-13 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       44%

B. Obama 41

B. Barr 3

R. Nader 2




Do You Prefer Obama/McCain On ___?

-                                      Obama McCain

Bring positive change to Washington 50% 32%

Improve the economy/creating jobs 42 42

Energy issues 39 50

The Iraq war 37 46

Is ready to lead 33 53




NEW YORK

A Siena College poll; conducted 8/11-14; surveyed 627 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 8/18).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-         Now 7/10 6/11 5/08 4/08 2/08 1/08 6/07 5/07 4/07

B. Obama 47% 50% 51% 49% 45% 47% 44% 49% 50% 50%

J. McCain 39 37 33 38 40 40 42 35 33 37

Undec 14 13 17 14 15 13 15 16 18 13




Fav/Unfav

-          Now    7/10    6/11    5/08   4/08    3/08

B. Obama 54%/34% 57%/32% 58%/30% 55%/34% 54%/34% 56%/32%

H. Clinton 51 /43 55 /38 56 /38 52 /43 48 /46 52 /43

J. McCain 49 /41 45 /42 42 /47 49 /39 54 /35 54 /34




TENNESSEE

An Ayres, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 8/10-12 for Sen. Lamar Alexander (R); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/18).

WH '08 General Election Matchup

-          Now 3/9

J. McCain 51% 53%

B. Obama 36 36




Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/9

J. McCain 59%/33% 59%/34%

G. Bush 48 /48 44 /54

B. Obama 42 /47 44 /49




SENATE

ALASKA

An Anchorage Press/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM poll; conducted 8/9-12; surveyed 501 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15). Tested: Sen. Ted Stevens (R), '96 candidate/developer/ex-state Rep. David Cuddy (R), atty Vic Vickers (R), Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D), '90 GOP candidate/H.S. teacher Bob Bird (I) and Fredrick "David" Haase (L).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              Now 7/31 7/22

T. Stevens 63% 59% 70%

D. Cuddy 20 19 21

V. Vickers 7 na na

Other 3 2 2

Undec 7 20 7




General Election Matchup

-              Now 7/31 7/22

M. Begich 56% 56% 51%

T. Stevens 39 35 43

B. Bird 2 na na

F. Haase * na na

Other na 3 3

Undec 3 5 3




COLORADO

A Rocky Mountain News/KCNC-TV poll; conducted 8/11-13 by Public Opinion Strategies (R)/RBI Strategies (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), Buddy Moore (I) and '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G).

General Election Matchup

-              All Ind

M. Udall 44% 34%

B. Schaffer 38 33

B. Moore 5 12

B. Kinsey 2 --




Which Candidate Has Good Ideas About The U.S. Energy Situation?

M. Udall        36%

B. Schaffer 30




OKLAHOMA

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 8/12-14 for the DSCC; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/18). Tested: Sen. Jim Inhofe (R) and state Sen. Andrew Rice (D).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 6/08

J. Inhofe 50% 53%

A. Rice 41 33

Undec 9 na




Inhofe As Sen.

Excellent/good     46%

Fair/poor 47




Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.          23%

Wrong dir. 62




TENNESSEE

An Ayres, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 8/10-12 for Sen. Lamar Alexander (R); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/18). Tested: Alexander and ex-TN Dem chair Bob Tuke (D).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/9

L. Alexander 60% 59%

B. Tuke 30 28

Undec 10 14




Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/9     10/11

L. Alexander 66%/18% 67%/18% 60%/19%

B. Tuke 11 / 4 4 / 4 na




Alexander As Sen.

-          Now 3/9 10/11

Approve 67% 68% 68%

Disapprove 17 17 19




Name ID

-          Now 3/9 10/11

B. Tuke 27% 14% 15%




HOUSE

ALASKA-AL

An Anchorage Press/KTUU-TV/KENI-AM poll; conducted 8/9-12; surveyed 501 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/15). Tested: '06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), '02 GOV green nominee/'06 nominee Diane Benson (D), Rep. Don Young (R), LG Sean Parnell (R), state Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux (R) and retired pilot Don Wright (I).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              Now 7/22

E. Berkowitz 58% 54%

D. Benson 24 25

D. Wright 3 5

Undec 15 na




Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              Now 7/22

D. Young 46% 46%

S. Parnell 40 38

G. LeDoux 7 6

Undec 6 na




General Election Matchups

-              Now 7/22

E. Berkowitz 51% 52%

D. Young 41 37

D. Wright 4 7

Undec 4 na




-              Now 7/22

S. Parnell 46% 43%

E. Berkowitz 42 40

D. Wright 3 5

Undec 9 na




NC-08

A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 8/4-5 for Rep. Robin Hayes (R)/the NRCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/15). Tested: Hayes and '06 nominee/teacher Larry Kissell (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Hayes        50%

L. Kissell 40




Fav/Unfav

R. Hayes        51%/20%

L. Kissell 14 /11




Name ID

R. Hayes        89%

L. Kissell 57




WH '08 General Election Matchup

J. McCain       47%

B. Obama 42




Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.      13%

Wrong dir. 80


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