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Monday, August 25, 2008

Monday, 8/25

PRESIDENTIAL
ARIZONA
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       47%
B. Obama 41
Undec 12


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       50%/27%
B. Obama 37 /40


COLORADO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 8/21-24; surveyed 450 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 8/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama    44%
J. McCain 39
B. Barr 2
R. Nader 2
Undec 12


A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/15-21; surveyed 1,060 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom Wht His 7/24 6/26
J. McCain 47% 88% 8% 46% 55% 39% 52% 23% 46% 44%
B. Obama 46 9 86 44 38 54 42 65 44 49
Other 2 2 1 3 2 2 1 6 3 2
Undec 5 2 5 7 5 6 5 6 7 5


Fav/Unfav
-          All     GOP    Dem     Ind     7/24   6/26
J. McCain 53%/34% 83%/ 9% 27%/60% 53%/32% 54%/30% 53%/32%
B. Obama 48 /39 15 /75 82 / 9 49 /34 51 /35 53 /33


A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        46%
J. McCain 43
Undec 11


Fav/Unfav
B. Obama        45%/35%
J. McCain 42 /29


FLORIDA
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 17%I.
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-         Now                     7/21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. McCain 47% 17% 83% 45% 51% 44% 47% 19% 83% 42% 53% 42%
B. Obama 46 77 9 47 42 49 45 73 9 50 41 48
Undec 7 na na na na na 8 na na na na na


MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV poll; conducted 8/18-21 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/25).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
-              Now 7/15 5/22
B. Obama 43% 43% 40%
J. McCain 41 41 44
R. Nader 3 3 na
B. Barr 1 2 na
Undec 13 12 16


Fav/Unfav
-              Now     7/15    5/22    4/9
J. McCain 52%/36% 58%/32% 48%/36% 59%/34%
B. Obama 49 /36 51 /37 45 /41 55 /38
J. Granholm 45 /46 49 /45 42 /49 45 /51
G. Bush 37 /58 35 /61 35 /60 36 /61


A Detroit Free Press/Local 4 Michigan Poll; conducted 8/17-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/22).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
B. Obama        46%
J. McCain 39
Other 3
Undec 12


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Party ID Breakdown: 29%D, 32%R, 39%I.

WH '08 General Election Matchup
-          Now                      7/21
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Obama 46% 83% 9% 48% 41% 50% 47% 83% 10% 47% 41% 52%
J. McCain 45 13 84 38 49 42 45 13 85 40 50 41
Undec 9 na na na na na 8 na na na na na


NEVADA
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       46%
B. Obama 39
Undec 15


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       48%/25%
B. Obama 43 /37


NEW MEXICO
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain      45%
B. Obama 41
Undec 14


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       46%/27%
B. Obama 40 /34


UTAH
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       62%
B. Obama 23
Undec 15


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       59%/21%
B. Obama 20 /43


WYOMING
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
WH '08 General Election Matchup
J. McCain       62%
B. Obama 25
Undec 13


Fav/Unfav
J. McCain       55%/19%
B. Obama 21 /47


SENATE
COLORADO
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 8/21-24; surveyed 450 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 8/25). Tested: Rep. Mark Udall (D-02), '04 candidate/CO Bd. of Ed. member/ex-Rep. Bob Schaffer (R), '04 CO-04 nominee/peace activist Bob Kinsey (G) and consultant Douglas Campbell (AC).
General Election Matchup
M. Udall        39%
B. Schaffer 31
D. Campbell 4
B. Kinsey 2
Undec 22


He's Save By The
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 8/13-15 by Mason-Dixon; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/24).
Fav/Unfav
M. Udall        42%/23%
B. Schaffer 27 /25


MICHIGAN
A Detroit News/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV poll; conducted 8/18-21 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/25). Tested: Sen. Carl Levin (D) and state Rep. Jack Hoogendyk (R).
General Election Matchup
-              Now 7/15
C. Levin 59% 58%
J. Hoogendyk 27 32
Undec 14 10


Fav/Unfav
-              Now     7/15
C. Levin 53%/27% 54%/29%
J. Granholm 45 /46 49 /45
J. Hoogendyk 7 / 3 5 / 2


MINNESOTA
A MN Public Radio News/Univ. of MN; conducted 8/7-17 by the Univ. of CT; surveyed 763 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/21). Tested: Sen. Norm Coleman (R), entertainer Al Franken (D) and Ex-Sen. Dean Barkley (i).
General Election Matchup A. Franken 41% N. Coleman 40 D. Barkley 8 Undec 11
Coleman As Sen.
Approve        46%
Disapprove 42


Bush As POTUS
Approve        32%
Disapprove 66


NEW HAMPSHIRE
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 8/18-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Tested: Sen. John Sununu (R) and ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All GOP Dem Ind 7/21 6/17 3/08 12/07 9/07 6/07
J. Shaheen 52% 10% 87% 61% 58% 54% 47% 41% 46% 57%
J. Sununu 41 81 7 33 36 40 33 52 41 29
Undec 7 9 6 6 6 6 20 7 13 14


NORTH CAROLINA
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 8/14-17 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/21). Tested: Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R), state Sen. Kay Hagan (D) and contract postal worker Christopher Cole (L).

General Election Matchup
-         Now 7/16 6/13 5/17
E. Dole 44% 47% 48% 45%
K. Hagan 41 38 38 43
C. Cole 4 2 1 --
Undec 11 14 13 12


HOUSE
AL-03
A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 8/13-14 and 8/18; surveyed 468 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 8/22). Tested: Rep. Mike Rogers (R) and atty Josh Segall (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Rogers       54%
J. Segall 33
Undec/other 14


AL-05
A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 8/19-21; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/24). Tested: state Sen. Parker Griffith (D) and '94/'96 nominee/Ad exec. Wayne Parker (R).

General Election Matchup
P. Griffith     45%
W. Parker 40
Undec/other 15


NV-02
A Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN-TV poll; conducted 8/18-20 by Research 2000; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 8/23). Tested: Rep. Dean Heller (R) and '06 nominee Jill Derby (D).
General Election Matchup
D. Heller       47%
J. Derby 42
Undec 10


Fav/Unfav
D. Heller       48%/33%
J. Derby 42 /28

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