A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 9/12-15; surveyed 500 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 138 GOPers; margin of error +/- 8.3% (release, 9/23). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 15%R, 44%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Treas. Tim Cahill (I), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
C. Baker 43% 46% 38%
C. Mihos 19 23 12
Undec 38 30 50
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 36% 54% 22% 25% 38% 33%
T. Cahill 23 17 22 29 21 25
C. Baker 14 9 38 11 16 12
Undec 26 21 17 34 24 28
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 36% 54% 21% 25% 38% 34%
T. Cahill 24 21 23 27 23 25
C. Mihos 17 7 42 16 20 13
Undec 23 18 14 31 20 26
Do You Think Patrick Deserves To Be Reelected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Deserves reelection 29% 40% 17% 25% 35% 25% 34%
Someone else 56 41 74 62 51 60 47
Undec 15 19 9 13 14 15 20
Patrick As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Approve 42% 55% 27% 36% 40% 44% 40%
Disapprove 49 35 69 53 52 45 49
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/20
D. Patrick 42%/45% 51%/32% 32%/64% 37%/51% 44%/43%
T. Cahill 35 /12 38 / 9 27 /25 36 / 9 40 / 8
C. Mihos 27 /23 21 /29 40 /21 28 /18 24 /22
C. Baker 15/ 11 11 /12 30 /16 14 / 8 10 / 4
Do You Think The State Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 35% 14% 79% 38% 41% 29%
No 54 78 16 46 47 60
Regardless Of Who You Personally Support, Who Do You Think Will Be Elected Next Year?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 35% 38% 35% 32% 35% 35%
C. Baker 11 10 19 8 11 11
T. Cahill 10 10 9 11 13 8
C. Mihos 5 4 14 3 5 5
Other 2 2 4 1 2 2
Undec 37 35 18 45 35 38
Direction Of MA
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Right dir. 38% 53% 22% 32% 42% 35% 38%
Wrong dir. 51 35 71 59 51 52 51
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