A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 9/13-17; surveyed 792 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Wht Blk His 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18
A. Cuomo 66% 72% 51% 58% 65% 65% 69% 70% 64% 67% 53%
D. Paterson 20 15 35 32 23 23 16 19 11 17 27
Undec 14 14 14 10 12 13 15 11 25 17 20
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 52% 38% 81% 51% 54% 51% 56% 57% 57% 59%
D. Paterson 35 50 9 32 35 34 33 34 27 31
Undec 13 12 10 17 11 15 11 9 15 10
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 52% 73% 19% 47% 51% 52% 53% 49% 49% 53%
R. Giuliani 39 22 70 41 39 39 40 44 40 41
Undec 9 6 11 11 9 9 7 7 11 6
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 39% 51% 19% 37% 41% 37% 38% 41% 46% 52%
R. Lazio 35 26 61 29 35 35 37 39 28 22
Undec 26 22 20 34 24 28 25 20 26 26
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo 64% 79% 42% 62% 64% 64% 66% 65% 66% 61%
R. Lazio 18 9 37 17 21 16 16 20 16 17
Undec 18 12 20 22 16 20 18 15 18 22
Elect Paterson In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him 14% 17% 3% 18% 15% 17% 15% 15% 12% 14%
Prefer another 71 67 83 68 68 69 70 71 71 67
Undec 16 16 14 15 16 13 15 15 17 19
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo 66%/21% 73%/15% 57%/29% 64%/22% 70%/14% 63%/21%
R. Giuliani 56 /38 42 /52 79 /16 57 /35 57 /35 61 /34
D. Paterson 29 /59 35 /53 15 /76 30 /54 32 /55 36 /56
R. Lazio 22 /25 21 /26 29 /19 21 /28 21 /22 25 /22
Paterson As Gov.
- Now 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23
Excellent/good 18% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 19% 28% 51%
Fair/poor 80 76 77 78 81 81 78 69 45
Paterson ___
- Agree Disagree
Is well intentioned but not getting job done 73% 22%
Doesn't have leadership skills necessary 61 36
Is doing a better job now than six months ago 42 47
Is just too liberal 39 53
Is fighting for people like me 39 55
Is effectively addressing problems confront NY 35 62
Handling of NY fiscal situation is on the mark 26 66
Blindness prevents from doing job effectively 13 85
Direction Of NY
- Now 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11
Right dir. 28% 28% 23% 24% 33% 27% 30% 31% 39% 37%
Wrong dir. 57 57 64 63 52 57 52 53 42 44
Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
For GOV 47% 49% 44% 49% 47% 47% 52% 45% 46% 47%
Reelect as AG 34 33 37 33 35 33 31 31 35 33
Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
For GOV 27% 17% 41% 30% 28% 27%
For SEN 24 20 35 22 25 23
Not run for either 45 60 19 45 45 45
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