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Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Senate - Ohio (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-13; surveyed 1,074 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsamples of 421 Dems and 375 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.8% and +/- 5.1%, respectively (release, 9/16). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D), Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R) and car dealer Tom Ganley (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 26% 32% 21% 24% 20% 18% 18%
J. Brunner 17 13 20 21 16 14 16
Other 1 2 -- 2 5 19 14
Not vote 2 4 -- 3 1 2 --
Undec 55 50 58 51 59 46 53

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 7/1 5/4
R. Portman 27% 33% 29% 33% 29%
T. Ganley 9 10 9 10 8
Other 1 1 1 1 9
Not vote 2 3 2 2 1
Undec 61 55 66 55 54

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher 42% 74% 13% 32% 40% 44% 37% 42% 41% 42%
R. Portman 31 4 68 30 37 26 33 31 33 27
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1 2 -- 2 1
Undec 26 20 19 36 21 29 26 26 24 29

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
J. Brunner 39% 69% 8% 36% 37% 42% 35% 40% 39% 38%
R. Portman 34 5 74 30 40 28 34 32 34 28
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 -- 2 1
Undec 25 24 18 32 20 29 29 27 25 31

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1
L. Fisher 41% 77% 10% 30% 41% 42% 36%
T. Ganley 29 2 64 30 33 26 30
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 3 1 1 2
Undec 27 20 24 35 23 30 31

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1
J. Brunner 39% 70% 6% 35% 37% 41% 35%
T. Ganley 31 5 71 25 36 27 31
Other 2 1 1 3 3 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 3 2 1 2
Undec 27 23 22 34 22 31 31

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 7/1 5/4
L. Fisher 33%/13% 56%/ 4% 15%/23% 22%/14% 29%/17% 37%/13%
J. Brunner 27 /14 47 / 3 10 /27 23 /16 27 /16 31 /12
R. Portman 20 / 7 9 /14 39 / 3 18 / 4 21 / 6 22 / 9
T. Ganley 15 / 5 11 / 9 28 / 3 8 / 1 12 / 4 6 / 4

Fisher As LG
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4
Approve 44% 62% 27% 39% 44% 43% 39% 49%
Disapprove 21 9 37 21 24 18 24 17

Brunner As Sec/State
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2 12/8 8/08
Approve 41% 60% 21% 40% 39% 43% 38% 45% 41% 44% 39% 38%
Disapprove 23 8 40 24 28 18 25 20 19 16 28 12

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