A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom 2/25
C. Fiorina 44% 44% 43% 20%
T. Campbell 21 25 18 33
C. DeVore 14 18 11 11
Other 7 7 8 6
Undec 14 6 20 30
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/25
C. Fiorina 56%/17% 26%/18%
T. Campbell 35 /29 32 /15
C. DeVore 27 /19 18 /17
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Campbell, DeVore and Fiorina.
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 47% 82% 7% 36% 46% 49% 41% 67% 57% 64% 35%
T. Campbell 40 9 82 43 42 38 50 17 20 27 50
Undec 12 10 11 21 11 13 9 17 23 9 15
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 46% 80% 6% 35% 44% 49% 41% 61% 56% 55% 41%
C. DeVore 40 8 86 42 44 37 50 17 21 27 50
Undec 13 12 8 24 13 14 9 22 23 18 9
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 45% 78% 7% 32% 44% 46% 41% 67% 48% 55% 37%
C. Fiorina 42 10 87 42 44 40 50 17 30 27 48
Undec 13 12 6 26 12 14 8 17 23 18 15
Boxer As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
Approve 37% 67% 4% 24% 37% 37% 34% 56% 43% 27% 28%
Disapprove 46 13 89 50 49 43 54 22 30 36 59
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Fiorina 22%/30% 6%/43% 48%/18% 15%/23% 22%/34% 21%/28%
T. Campbell 15 /18 7 /21 28 /19 16 /10 19 /20 12 /16
C. DeVore 10 /14 3 /18 20 /12 9 /10 42 /46 38 /49
Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 1,159 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 231 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 5/27). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/09
L. McMahon 49% 46% 52% 44% 27% 17% n/a n/a n/a
R. Simmons 23 24 21 34 37 28 43 42 48
P. Schiff 11 12 8 9 4 5 2 -- n/a
Other/others 1 1 1 1 2 13 11 11 11
Not vote 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2
Undec 15 14 16 12 28 36 43 45 39
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 56% 83% 27% 56% 53% 59% 61% 64%
L. McMahon 31 8 64 31 34 29 28 23
Other 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1
Undec 10 8 7 9 9 11 10 11
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 59% 85% 26% 59% 56% 63% 64% 66%
P. Schiff 25 5 53 24 30 19 21 19
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 -- 1
Not vote 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 1
Undec 13 8 15 12 10 15 13 14
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 55% 82% 26% 53% 51% 59% 62% 62%
R. Simmons 28 5 57 30 35 21 26 27
Other 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 --
Not vote 3 1 4 3 2 3 1 1
Undec 13 10 12 11 10 16 10 10
Blumenthal As AG
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20
Approve 76% 88% 63% 76% 75% 76% 79% 84% 78% 78% 79%
Disapprove 16 6 31 14 19 12 13 11 13 14 13
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 3/15
R. Blumenthal 61%/29% 82%/10% 41%/49% 58%/33% 70%/18%
R. Simmons 36 /14 25 /19 50 /10 40 /13 38 /21
L. McMahon 32 /39 15 /55 60 /20 31 /40 36 /26
P. Schiff 15 / 6 7 / 8 31 / 4 11 / 7 10 / 6
Do You Think ___ Has The Right Kind Of Experience To Be A Sen. From CT?
- Yes No
R. Blumenthal 76% 15%
R. Simmons 52 13
L. McMahon 29 52
Would You Say That ___ Cares About The Needs And Problems Of People Like You?
- Yes No
R. Blumenthal 69% 21%
R. Simmons 48 17
L. McMahon 45 33
Would You Say That ___ Is Honest And Trustworthy?
- Yes No
R. Blumenthal 60% 27%
R. Simmons 52 11
L. McMahon 45 24
Would You Say That ___ Has Strong Leadership Qualities?
- Yes No
R. Blumenthal 73% 19%
L. McMahon 54 23
R. Simmons 49 15
How Much Have You Heard Or Read About The Controversy Regarding Blumenthal's Statements About His Military Service During The Vietnam War?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A lot 62% 56% 68% 66% 64% 29%
Some 26 33 18 25 26 26
Not much 7 5 7 6 6 8
Nothing at all 4 3 6 3 3 4
Does This Controversy Make You Think More/Less Favorably Of Blumenthal, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More favorably 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 4%
Less favorably 43 27 62 46 49 36
No difference 51 66 34 47 44 56
How Important Will This Controversy Be To Your Vote In The General Election For Sen. In Nov.?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important 20% 9% 32% 23% 23% 18%
Somewhat important 21 17 26 21 16 25
Not too important 20 21 16 21 20 19
Not important at all 37 48 24 34 39 34
Does The Controversy About Blumenthal's Statements Regarding His Military Service During The Vietnam War Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1%
Less likely 33 17 51 35 35 31
No difference 61 75 44 60 60 62
Which One Better Describes How Blumenthal Has Portrayed His Military Service During The Vietnam War?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal has misspoken/not lied 54% 69% 36% 52% 50% 58%
Blumenthal has lied 38 22 56 41 45 32
Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Blumenthal's Explanation Of This Matter?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 53% 72% 36% 51% 50% 56%
Not satisfied 35 19 54 38 41 31
Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).
General Election Matchup
- Now 2/16
R. Wyden 51% 49%
J. Huffman 38 35
Other 4 7
Undec 7 9
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/16
R. Wyden 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman 42 /22 33 /24
South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Jim DeMint (R) and Charleston Co. Councilor/ex-circuit judge/ex-state Rep. Vic Rawl (D).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. DeMint 49% 10% 82% 48% 56% 43% 62% 8% 34%
V. Rawl 30 60 7 27 28 32 22 54 41
Undec 21 30 11 25 16 25 15 38 24
DeMint As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
Approve 43% 14% 67% 42% 50% 37% 51% 21% 21% 44%
Disapprove 36 59 15 42 38 35 31 51 48 29
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
V. Rawl 5%/14% 4%/18% 5%/11% 4%/14% 6%/16% 3%/12%
Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).
General Election Matchups
R. Feingold 46%
R. Johnson 44
Other 3
Undec 6
- Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 49% 49% 47%
T. Wall 41 43 40 39
Other 5 3 3 6
Undec 7 5 9 7
- Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 49% 51% 47%
D. Westlake 38 38 35 37
Other 7 4 5 6
Undec 8 9 10 10
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/20 3/16 2/17 1/26
R. Feingold 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson 42 /25 n/a n/a n/a n/a
T. Wall 38 /30 35 /33 39 /28 34 /35 n/a
D. Westlake 36 /26 30 /34 34 /26 33 /31 n/a
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/26).
Feingold As Sen.
Approve 56%
Disapprove 39
Re-Elect Feingold?
Deserves re-election 45%
Give new person a chance 49
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