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Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Senate 2010

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/31; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/6). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 52% 45% 44% 45% 40%
J. Conway 32 35 40 35 40
Other 5 7 3 7 3
Undec 11 12 12 12 17

-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 36 38 39 38 42
Other 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 11 12 11 12 15

-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson 53% 44% 49% 44% 44%
D. Mongiardo 33 37 35 37 37
Other 5 8 5 8 4
Undec 9 11 11 11 14

-             Now 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 52% 49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo 37 35 37 35 38
Other 3 3 3 3 6
Undec 8 13 12 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
T. Grayson 55%/28% 56%/21% 61%/18% 57%/21% 53%/20%
R. Paul 53 /33 57 /26 54 /26 57 /25 51 /23
J. Conway 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 42 /46 43 /43 45 /43 44 /44 41 /43

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/31; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/5). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle 51% 46% 44% 44% 47%
H. Reid 40 38 40 40 43
Other 6 11 7 10 7
Undec 3 5 8 7 3

-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14 
S. Lowden 54% 51% 45% 48% 49% 50%
H. Reid 39 38 39 36 43 40
Other 4 7 8 8 6 4
Undec 2 3 8 7 3 5

-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian 49% 50% 47% 50% 49% 50%
H. Reid 42 37 39 36 43 43%
Other 6 9 8 5 6 4
Undec 2 4 6 9 2 3

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9    9/14
D. Tarkanian 55%/34% 52%/29% 50%/35% 49%/28% 49%/30% 57%/30%
S. Lowden 54 /33 56 /31 48 /27 47 /28 46 /32 48 /27
S. Angle 48 /33 40 /36 37 /30 39 /33 40 /37 n/a
H. Reid 37 /62 39 /58 44 /55 41 /55 40 /57 45 /54

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/6). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey 46% 18% 78% 41% 51% 41%
A. Specter 43 71 13 38 40 46
Undec 11 11 9 21 9 13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey 42% 15% 76% 34% 48% 37%
J. Sestak 36 59 9 35 31 39
Undec 22 26 15 31 20 24

Specter As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 34% 53% 12% 32% 33% 34%
Disapprove 52 30 78 52 58 47

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Toomey 20%/22% 9%/28% 31%/15% 19%/25% 26%/25% 14%/20%
J. Sestak 16 /18 20 /14 11 /25 18 /14 17 /21 16 /17

Wisconsin
A WI Public Radio/St. Norbert College poll; conducted 3/23-31; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/6). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D) and ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R).

General Election Matchups
T. Thompson      45%
R. Feingold 33
Indie/3rd party 14
Won't vote 1
Undec 7

R. Feingold      40%
Generic GOPer 37
Indie/3rd party 12
Won't vote 1
Undec 10

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