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Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups
-                 Now 2/18 9/22
T. Branstad 52% 53% 54%
C. Culver 36 37 34
Other 6 6 8
Undec 6 4 4

C. Culver         40%
R. Roberts 38
Other 10
Undec 13

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
B. Vander Plaats 42% 46% 43%
C. Culver 40 40 39
Other 8 7 9
Undec 11 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     2/18    9/22
T. Branstad 61%/33% 57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats 43 /31 43 /34 45 /30
C. Culver 39 /55 42 /55 43 /50
R. Roberts 30 /28 n/a n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich 42% 10% 73% 47% 47% 37%
T. Strickland 37 70 10 24 36 39
Undec 21 10 17 29 18 24

Strickland As Gov.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 33% 53% 14% 28% 35% 31%
Disapprove 47 23 69 54 50 44

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
J. Kasich 25%/24% 14%/30% 37%/17% 28%/25%

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato 11% 6% 10% 10%
J. Wagner 7 6 4 9
J. Hoeffel 5 6 4 6
A. Williams 4 1 n/a n/a
Other 2 9 10 9
Undec 71 72 72 66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett 28% 26% 23%
S. Rohrer 4 4 5
Other 2 5 3
Undec 66 65 69

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/21
T. Corbett 22%/ 7% 21%/ 6%

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

B. Dubie      52%
S. Bartlett 26
Other 7
Undec 14

B. Dubie      51%
M. Dunne 29
Other 6
Undec 14

B. Dubie      46%
D. Markowitz 39
Other 4
Undec 10

B. Dubie      48%
D. Racine 35
Other 5
Undec 12

B. Dubie      51%
P. Shumlin 33
Other 6
Undec 10

Fav/Unfav
B. Dubie      61%/29%
D. Markowitz 53 /33
D. Racine 45 /33
P. Shumlin 37 /45
S. Bartlett 29 /42
M. Dunne 29 /42

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