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Thursday, June 24, 2010

Governor 2010

New Mexico
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 542 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 35%R, 12%I. Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez 44% 20% 82% 41% 53% 36%
D. Denish 43 61 8 36 36 48
Undec 14 14 10 23 11 16

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Martinez 45%/34% 30%/47% 72%/ 9% 31%/46% 52%/32% 39%/35%
D. Denish 40 /41 59 /19 13 /73 36 /43 34 /51 45 /32

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
T. Corbett 45% 21% 74% 44% 47% 43% 45%
D. Onorato 35 57 12 20 34 36 32
Undec 20 22 14 36 19 21 23

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
T. Corbett 31%/19% 19%/24% 46%/13% 24%/17% 27%/20%
D. Onorato 22 /25 33 /15 11 /35 12 /26 15 /13

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 55% 52%
S. Bartlett 29 26
Other 8 7
Undec 9 14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 47% 46%
D. Markowitz 40 39
Other 6 4
Undec 8 10

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 52% 51%
M. Dunne 32 29
Other 7 6
Undec 10 14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 51% 48%
D. Racine 36 35
Other 5 5
Undec 7 12

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie 55% 51%
P. Shumlin 36 33
Other 6 6
Undec 4 10

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/18
B. Dubie 61%/30% 61%/29%
D. Markowitz 55 /30 53 /33
D. Racine 48 /34 45 /33
P. Shumlin 43 /41 37 /45
M. Dunne 38 /31 29 /42
S. Bartlett 31 /38 29 /42

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann 47% 44% 46% 46% 44%
T. Barrett 39 42 46 42 42
Other 7 6 4 4 4
Undec 7 8 5 8 10

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker 49% 48% 46% 48% 49%
T. Barrett 41 41 44 42 40
Other 3 3 3 2 1
Undec 7 8 7 8 10

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker 51%/35% 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann 49 /37 48 /31 53 /31 53 /27 49 /31
T. Barrett 42 /44 48 /36 40 /46 53 /34 49 /36

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