A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln 43% 47% 40% 46% 31% 45% 44% 42%
B. Halter 35 30 38 34 39 33 31 26
Other 7 11 4 8 1 6 n/a n/a
Undec 15 12 18 12 29 16 25 32
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker 47% 15% 83% 48% 52% 42% 48% 49% 41% 37%
B. Lincoln 40 74 5 35 36 44 41 41 42 44
Undec 13 11 12 17 12 14 11 10 17 19
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman 52% 19% 87% 56% 58% 46% 50% 49%
B. Lincoln 42 76 7 37 37 47 43 42
Undec 6 5 6 7 5 7 7 9
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman 46% 13% 82% 48% 52% 40% 46% 47% 39% 37%
B. Lincoln 42 77 5 37 37 47 43 44 44 45
Undec 12 10 13 15 11 13 11 9 17 18
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox 47% 13% 84% 50% 52% 42% 46% 47% 31% 29%
B. Lincoln 42 77 5 37 37 47 43 43 45 46
Undec 11 10 11 13 11 11 11 10 24 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren 50% 18% 84% 54% 54% 46% 49% 48% 30% 28%
B. Lincoln 40 75 6 34 37 43 42 43 46 47
Undec 10 9 10 12 9 11 9 9 24 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
G. Baker 44% 9% 82% 47% 49% 39% 45% 46% 42%
B. Halter 43 79 6 37 38 48 43 44 34
Undec 13 12 12 16 13 13 12 10 24
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman 47% 13% 84% 48% 52% 42% 48% 48%
B. Halter 42 78 5 38 37 47 41 40
Undec 11 9 11 14 11 11 11 12
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter 43% 81% 5% 37% 38% 48% 44% 45% 35%
C. Coleman 41 6 80 42 47 35 43 44 40
Undec 16 13 15 21 15 17 13 11 25
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter 44% 82% 5% 39% 41% 47% 44% 45% 36%
T. Cox 42 7 80 44 49 35 43 43 32
Undec 14 11 15 17 10 18 13 12 32
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren 45% 10% 84% 49% 49% 41% 46% 45% 31%
B. Halter 43 78 6 38 39 47 43 44 36
Undec 12 12 10 13 12 12 11 11 33
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/14 3/24
B. Halter 48%/32% 73%/10% 20%/56% 47%/32% 47%/30% 46%/27%
J. Boozman 44 /32 16 /53 76 /10 44 /29 45 /31 44 /30
B. Lincoln 41 /54 64 /32 17 /75 40 /58 43 /53 42 /52
K. Hendren 38 /27 15 /47 66 / 7 37 /23 36 /28 34 /27
G. Baker 36 /30 14 /51 63 / 7 35 /26 37 /30 36 /28
C. Coleman 36 /31 16 /52 61 / 9 34 /28 35 /30 34 /29
T. Cox 34 /27 11 /46 59 / 8 35 /24 33 /25 32 /26
Fav/Unfav (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Halter 66%/14% 63%/17% 68%/12% 66%/15% 67%/10%
B. Lincoln 59 /33 63 /29 56 /36 60 /32 53 /38
Delaware
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 2/22 1/25
M. Castle 55% 53% 56%
C. Coons 32 32 27
Other 7 8 5
Undec 7 8 13
Fav/Unfav
- Now 2/22 1/25 9/30
M. Castle 65%/32% 65%/30% 66%/25% 61%/34%
C. Coons 48 /38 43 /35 47 /30 n/a
Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).
General Election Matchups
- Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk 46% 41% 41% 46% 39% 41% 41%
A. Giannoulias 38 37 44 40 42 41 38
Other 5 8 5 4 3 4 4
Undec 12 13 10 10 15 13 17
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9
M. Kirk 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32%
A. Giannoulias 42 /47 42 /44 44 /43 46 /39 48 /36
Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
S. Lowden 38% 40% 36%
D. Tarkanian 28 29 27
S. Angle 13 11 15
Other 12 13 11
Undec 9 7 11
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Angle 44% 10% 82% 43% 50% 38% 52% 4% 18%
H. Reid 41 76 6 34 36 46 34 77 67
S. Ashjian 5 1 8 7 6 4 6 0 0
Other 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 0 0
None 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 0 0
Undec 6 8 2 9 4 8 4 19 15
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Lowden 45% 10% 83% 46% 51% 39% 53% 4% 21%
H. Reid 41 76 6 34 36 46 34 77 67
S. Ashjian 4 0 7 7 5 3 5 0 0
Other 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 0 0
None 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 0 0
Undec 6 9 2 6 4 8 4 19 12
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
D. Tarkanian 43% 9% 81% 42% 49% 37% 51% 4% 17%
H. Reid 41 76 6 34 36 46 35 76 67
S. Ashjian 6 1 9 9 7 5 7 0 0
Other 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 0 0
None 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 0 0
Undec 6 9 2 8 4 8 3 20 16
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 1/20 9/2
D. Tarkanian 44%/33% 26%/52% 65%/14% 40%/32% 48%/31% 47%/28%
S. Lowden 42 /34 17 /54 70 /13 40 /32 45 /26 43 /24
S. Angle 41 /29 23 /48 62 / 9 38 /28 n/a n/a
H. Reid 37 /53 63 /29 11 /77 32 /58 34 /55 36 /52
S. Ashjian 7 /27 4 /37 10 /16 7 /29 n/a n/a
New Hampshire
A WMUR-TV Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 512 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 462 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).
General Election Matchups (LVs)
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2 7/1
K. Ayotte 47% 14% 79% 44% 56% 38% 41% 40% 39%
P. Hodes 32 65 5 23 29 35 33 33 35
Other 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2
Undec 21 21 16 32 15 26 25 25 24
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
P. Hodes 37% 72% 7% 26% 36% 38% 36%
J. Bender 34 3 67 26 43 25 27
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Undec 29 24 26 48 21 37 35
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Binnie 38% 4% 72% 31% 48% 28% 30%
P. Hodes 36 72 7 24 34 39 34
Other 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Undec 26 24 22 43 18 33 33
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
O. Lamontagne 37% 6% 71% 28% 48% 28% 29% 28%
P. Hodes 36 72 5 24 33 39 38 37
Other 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2
Undec 26 22 23 47 19 33 30 33
Firmness Of Choice (LVs)
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
Definitely decided 14% 20% 12% 6% 18% 11% 10% 6%
Leaning toward someone 14 12 18 7 17 11 11 8
Still trying to decide 72 68 70 86 65 78 78 86
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 2/3 10/2
K. Ayotte 38%/13% 26%/24% 52%/ 4% 38%/ 8% 38%/12% 37%/ 8%
P. Hodes 30 /31 50 / 8 15 /56 20 /29 32 /27 30 /26
O. Lamontagne 10 /12 3 /19 17 / 6 11 / 9 12 / 9 11 / 7
B. Binnie 22 /11 6 /17 36 / 5 26 / 8 10 / 4 n/a
J. Bender 5 / 5 3 / 8 7 / 2 5 / 3 6 / 2 n/a
Ohio
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 4/27-29; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom
L. Fisher 55% 57% 52%
J. Brunner 27 25 29
Undec 18 17 19
Fav/Unfav
- All Men Wom
B. Obama 86%/12% 86%/13% 85%/11%
L. Fisher 65 /12 66 /12 63 /11
G. Voinovich 51 /36 54 /35 48 /36
J. Brunner 46 /13 46 /13 46 /13
J. Kasich 20 /29 24 /37 16 /22
R. Portman 15 /24 15 /32 14 /18
Which Candidate Has A Better Chance At Beating Portman In The General Election?
- All Men Wom
L. Fisher 55% 60% 51%
J. Brunner 15 14 16
Undec 30 25 33
Strickland Has Endorsed Fisher In The Primary. Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Support Fisher?
- All Men Wom
More likely 50% 52% 47%
Less likely 10 9 10
No diff 41 38 42
Which Candidate Has Run A More Negative Campaign?
- All Men Wom
J. Brunner 16% 17% 14%
L. Fisher 10 11 10
Undec 71 68 74
No comments:
Post a Comment