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Friday, April 30, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups
-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio 33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer 25 29 20
D. Martin 15 11 19
B. Mills 11 11 12
J. Munger 1 1 2
Undec 15 11 19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer 38% 43% 32%
B. Mills 19 20 19
D. Martin 16 15 17
J. Munger 3 3 4
Undec 24 20 28

Brewer As Gov.
-           All Men Wom
Approve 52% 56% 48%
Disapprove 30 28 31

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio 70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills 27 /11 29 /11 26 /12
D. Martin 26 /11 27 /13 25 / 9
J. Munger 5 / 9 4 /11 6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady 45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn 38 38 37 45
Other 5 7 6 13
Undec 11 10 9 13

Quinn As Gov.
-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve 40% 43% 43% 45% 52% 47% 57% 61%
Disapprove 58 56 55 53 47 49 41 37

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady 47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21% n/a
P. Quinn 43 /50 37 /59 44 /51 52 /44 53 /43 55%/39%


Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav
-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons 21%/59 7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%


A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid 47% 43% 44% 44%
J. Gibbons 37 45 36 35
Other 12 8 15 13
Undec 3 4 4 8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon 45% 45% 42% 36%
R. Reid 39 38 37 40
Other 9 9 13 14
Undec 8 8 8 10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval 53% 55% 53% 45%
R. Reid 35 34 35 33
Other 6 6 7 11
Undec 5 4 5 12

Gibbons As Gov.
-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve 35% 42% 37% 39% 35% 35%
Disapprove 63 57 61 59 63 61

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid 43 /48 36 /53 43 /48 40 /52
M. Montandon 41 /28 35 /32 39 /30 39 /29
J. Gibbons 32 /65 35 /62 33 /61 35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo 56% 52% 55% 54% 57% 65%
R. Lazio 24 29 30 35 29 26
Other 6 6 5 5 6 5
Undec 14 13 10 7 9 5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo 50% 50%
S. Levy 27 26
Other 6 7
Undec 17 17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo 55% 51% 56%
C. Paladino 25 28 27
Other 5 6 6
Undec 15 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio 38 /38 46 /32 40 /34 45 /34 36 /44 33 /49
S. Levy 35 /32 33 /34 n/a n/a n/a n/a
C. Paladino 27 /41 31 /31 30 /33 n/a n/a n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup
-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert 61% 55%
P. Corroon 30 30
Undec 9 15

Fav/Unfav
G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon 30 /14

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