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Friday, April 30, 2010

House 2010

PA-12
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/30). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 36%R, 11%I. Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Burns 46% 21% 83% 49% 49% 43%
M. Critz 40 64 8 26 38 42
Undec 14 15 9 25 13 15

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Burns 46%/30% 28%/43% 73%/11% 44%/29% 50%/28% 42%/32%
M. Critz 44 /33 64 /16 16 /58 37 /34 42 /37 46 /29
B. Obama 38 /55 62 /29 7 /89 24 /66 35 /62 41 /48

NH-01
A WMUR-TV/Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21; surveyed 258 adults; margin of error +/- 6.1%. Subsample of 229 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D), BAE Systems Gov't Relations VP Rick Ashooh (R), businessman Bob Bestani (R), ex-Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta (R) and magazine publisher Sean Mahoney (R).

General Election Matchups (LVs)
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
R. Ashooh 39% 5% 70% 29% 47% 32% 36%
C. Shea-Porter 36 81 6 20 31 41 33
Other 0 1 0 0 0 0 3
Undec 25 13 23 52 22 27 28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Bestani 38% 6% 70% 21% 47% 30% 36%
C. Shea-Porter 37 78 8 22 31 41 32
Other 1 0 0 3 1 0 2
Undec 25 16 22 54 21 29 30

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
F. Guinta 42% 7% 75% 28% 50% 34% 43%
C. Shea-Porter 38 81 7 33 33 42 33
Other 1 1 0 3 1 0 2
Undec 19 11 19 36 16 23 22

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
S. Mahoney 40% 6% 73% 27% 51% 31% 39%
C. Shea-Porter 37 79 8 25 30 43 32
Other 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
Undec 23 15 19 49 19 26 28

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3
C. Shea-Porter 37%/44% 68%/10% 12%/76% 35%/39% 35%/40%
F. Guinta 22 /18 16 /23 29 /13 21 /20 23 /14
S. Mahoney 6 / 7 5 / 8 7 / 7 6 / 7 5 / 3
R. Ashooh 4 / 2 3 / 3 5 / 2 4 / 1 4 / 0
B. Bestani 2 / 3 2 / 5 2 / 2 0 / 3 1 / 2

NH-02
A WMUR-TV/Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21; surveyed 254 adults; margin of error +/- 6.1%. Subsample of 231 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Ex-Rep. Charlie Bass (R), '08 nominee Jennfier Horn (R), atty Ann McLane Kuster (D) and '02 nominee Katrina Swett (D).

General Election Matchups (LVs)
-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
C. Bass 42% 12% 76% 43% 51% 33% 39%
A. McLane Kuster 30 55 4 25 30 31 28
Other 1 0 1 3 1 0 1
Undec 27 32 20 29 18 37 32

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
C. Bass 44% 14% 79% 40% 55% 33% 37%
K. Swett 27 50 3 18 23 30 30
Other 1 0 1 3 1 0 1
Undec 29 36 18 40 21 38 33

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
J. Horn 33% 7% 66% 23% 43% 22% 28%
A. McLane Kuster 32 57 7 21 30 34 25
Other 0 0 0 3 1 0 3
Undec 35 36 27 54 26 44 44

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
J. Horn 35% 6% 68% 30% 46% 24% 30%
K. Swett 31 54 8 24 30 31 26
Undec 34 41 24 46 23 45 43

Fav/Unfav
-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3
C. Bass 32%/25% 22%/36% 43%/17% 40%/20% 44%/19%
J. Horn 20 /15 4 /23 34 /10 20 /17 15 / 9
K. Swett 13 /14 16 / 7 13 /24 6 /11 16 /13
A. McLane Kuster 8 / 4 15 / 1 2 / 7 4 / 9 8 / 3
B. Guida 6 / 7 1 / 7 14 / 3 0 /15 3 / 3
J. DeJoie 4 / 3 5 / 4 3 / 2 0 / 4 4 / 4

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