A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).
General Election Matchup
- Now 3/29
R. Shelby 58% 59%
W. Barnes 31 32
Other 3 3
Undec 8 6
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/29
R. Shelby 67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes 29 /27 35 /26
Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)
Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04
B. Halter 47% 43% 51% 45% 58% 40% 53% 48% 46%
B. Lincoln 44 49 39 47 28 51 35 44 46
Undec 9 8 10 8 14 9 12 8 8
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman 58% 25% 90% 65% 64% 52% 54% 52% 50% 49%
B. Lincoln 38 73 5 29 32 44 40 42 43 42
Undec 4 2 5 6 4 4 6 6 7 9
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman 53% 20% 87% 58% 59% 47% 50% 47% 48% 48%
B. Halter 42 78 7 35 36 48 41 42 41 40
Undec 5 2 6 7 5 5 9 11 11 12
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 5/12 4/28
J. Boozman 52%/34% 21%/56% 85%/12% 56%/30% 45%/34% 44%/32%
B. Halter 47 /37 75 /13 15 /63 46 /39 47 /34 48 /32
B. Lincoln 37 /58 59 /36 12 /81 37 /61 39 /55 41 /54
Fav/Unfav (Dems)
- All Men Wom 5/12 4/28
B. Halter 63%/21% 59%/25% 67%/17% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln 59 /36 64 /33 54 /39 61 /35 59 /33
Kentucky
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/17 9/2
R. Paul 44% 7% 86% 42% 50% 38% 42% 45% 37%
J. Conway 41 75 6 31 36 46 39 39 41
Undec 15 18 8 27 14 16 19 16 22
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 5/12 3/17
R. Paul 53%/33% 29%/57% 79%/ 9% 58%/20% 56%/27% 55%/25%
J. Conway 48 /43 76 /19 17 /70 46 /39 46 /44 44 /40
Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden 30% 28% 32% 30% 45% 47% 26% 25% 23% 14%
S. Angle 29 33 25 25 5 8 13 13 9 5
D. Tarkanian 23 22 24 22 27 29 28 24 21 33
C. Christensen 3 2 4 2 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Chachas 2 1 3 3 3 1 -- 1 -- --
Others 2 3 1 n/a n/a n/a 1 4 3 1
None of these 3 2 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 8 9 7 18 16 15 32 33 44 47
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7
H. Reid 42% 71% 9% 40% 39% 45% 42% 40%
S. Angle 39 10 73 36 43 35 44 45
Others 5 3 5 7 4 6 n/a n/a
None 4 3 4 7 5 3 n/a n/a
Undec 10 13 9 10 9 11 14 15
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
S. Lowden 42% 13% 75% 39% 49% 35% 47% 46% 52% 50% 51%
H. Reid 39 69 7 36 34 44 37 38 39 40 41
Others 3 3 3 5 3 3 5 5 n/a n/a n/a
None 6 4 7 9 5 7 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 10 11 8 11 9 11 8 11 9 10 8
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
D. Tarkanian 42% 15% 74% 37% 45% 39% 39% 51% 49% 48%
H. Reid 41 69 11 37 37 45 39 40 41 42
Others 4 4 5 4 3 5 11 n/a n/a n/a
None of these 3 4 1 6 3 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 10 8 9 16 12 8 11 9 10 10
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7
S. Lowden 41%/28% 45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17%
H. Reid 37 /49 33 /54 34 /56 33 /51 33 /52
D. Tarkanian 31 /17 n/a 28 /22 30 /17 33 /16
S. Angle 29 /23 n/a 20 /19 19 / 9 21 /11
Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
- Now 5/11 4/7
S. Lowden 45%/22% 46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian 44 / 7 42 /12 46 /12
S. Angle 41 /13 38 /11 22 /15
Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher 47% 87% 10% 35% 43% 51%
R. Portman 46 8 84 44 48 45
Other 1 2 1 0 2 0
Undec 6 3 5 20 7 5
Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/10 8/12 5/09
J. Sestak 43% 76% 6% 35% 37% 49% 40% 39% 42% 37%
P. Toomey 40 8 82 35 44 36 45 42 41 32
Undec 17 16 12 30 19 15 15 19 17 31
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 5/12 3/10
J. Sestak 48%/30% 71%/11% 20%/55% 47%/27% 39%/26% 35%/23%
P. Toomey 47 /42 17 /67 85 /12 47 /40 45 /40 41 /36
Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 5/4 3/9
P. Murray 47% 49% 45%
P. Akers 32 35 37
Other 6 6 5
Undec 15 10 13
- Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 50% 52% 48% 48% 50%
D. Benton 35 38 40 37 38
Other 6 3 4 3 3
Undec 9 7 8 12 9
- Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier 37 36 37 30 34
Other 6 4 5 6 4
Undec 10 8 11 15 13
- Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi 47 46 46 49 48
Other 2 2 3 3 1
Undec 4 3 4 2 5
Fav/Unfav
- Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi 52 /43 52 /44 52 /44 51 /45 54 /41
C. Didier 33 /31 28 /31 26 /29 27 /26 28 /28
D. Benton 31 /32 32 /30 34 /25 26 /29 33 /28
P. Akers 27 /33 31 /29 29 /27 n/a n/a
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