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Friday, May 28, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown 48% 78% 12% 41% 45% 52% 47% 61% 57% 27% 43%
S. Poizner 32 8 67 31 37 28 40 11 16 27 43
Undec 19 14 21 28 18 20 14 28 27 45 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown 48% 79% 11% 38% 48% 48% 46% 72% 55% 27% 37%
M. Whitman 36 11 72 35 40 32 42 17 20 45 43
Undec 16 11 17 27 12 20 12 11 25 27 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Brown 37%/39% 62%/11% 9%/78% 26%/78% 38%/40% 36%/37%
M. Whitman 24 /44 12 /60 41 /26 21 /36 26 /42 21 /45
S. Poizner 19 /43 13 /48 30 /43 13 /31 20 /42 17 /43

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups
-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 45% 52%
J. Arnold-Jones 31 30
Other 11 6
Undec 13 12

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 47% 52%
P. Domenici Jr. 30 35
Other 15 6
Undec 9 6

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 43% 51%
S. Martinez 42 32
Other 3 7
Undec 12 10

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 47% 43%
D. Turner 31 34
Other 11 7
Undec 11 16

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 45% 45%
A. Weh 39 35
Other 9 7
Undec 7 13

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     3/24
S. Martinez 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish 53 /41 55 /43
P. Domenici Jr. 47 /42 44 /39
A. Weh 43 /46 33 /31
D. Turner 39 /35 33 /30
J. Arnold-Jones 38 /33 26 /32

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 898 adults; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup (LVs)
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland 49% 88% 14% 44% 47% 51%
J. Kasich 44 7 82 30 44 44
Other 1 2 0 5 2 1
Undec 6 4 4 20 7 5

Strickland As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08 5/07
Approve 55% 69% 40% 64% 57% 54% 48% 56% 61% 64% 68%
Disapprove 35 25 50 25 36 34 37 34 25 24 16

Strickland Handling Economy
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08
Approve 46% 62% 33% 43% 50% 42% 41% 48% 51% 50%
Disapprove 46 33 62 48 44 48 49 45 38 41

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