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Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek 33 51 17 29 30 35 31 53 22 25
Undec 22 20 19 32 19 24 20 19 35 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek 39 67 11 41 30 45 33 59 48 46
Undec 18 20 12 25 17 18 16 28 17 17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist 34 54 13 40 32 36 34 47 27 30
Undec 22 26 15 31 18 26 18 38 27 30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 34% 9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist 27 32 18 35 25 28 27 29 22 33
K. Meek 25 47 7 22 22 28 22 45 22 29
Undec 14 12 13 20 12 15 12 13 22 21

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve 35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove 51 41 58 53 51 50 51 48 57 38

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio 31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek 17 /20 29 /13 8 /28 9 /19 13 /28 19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr 30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups
R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson 22
M. Delphine 5
Undec 20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman 23
M. Delphine 5
Undec 20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden 24
M. Delphine 5
Undec 18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray 48% 50% P. Murray 49% 49%
D. Benton 37 38 C. Didier 30 34
Other 3 3 Other 6 4
Undec 12 9 Undec 15 13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi 49% 48% P. Murray 47% 48%
P. Murray 46 46 C. Widener 32 33
Other 3 1 Other 5 5
Undec 2 5 Undec 16 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/11
P. Murray 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi 51 /45 54 /41
C. Didier 27 /26 28 /28
C. Widener 26 /26 29 /26
D. Benton 26 /29 33 /28

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