Senate - Wisconsin (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 11/20-22; surveyed 767 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/24). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 30%R, 37%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov/ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 50% 88% 10% 47% 43% 55%
T. Thompson 41 5 82 41 49 34
Undec 10 8 9 12 8 11

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 48% 89% 5% 44% 43% 52%
T. Wall 34 3 71 32 40 29
Undec 19 8 24 24 17 20

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold 47% 90% 6% 41% 43% 51%
D. Westlake 32 3 67 30 38 26
Undec 21 7 27 29 19 22 

Feingold As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 45% 78% 10% 43% 40% 50%
Disapprove 37 5 71 39 46 29 

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Thompson 38%/45% 17%/66% 57%/25% 42%/44% 44%/43% 33%/47%
D. Westlake 2 / 9 4 /13 3 / 7 1 / 8 3 /12 2 / 7
T. Wall 2 /13 3 /19 2 / 9 1 /12 2 /16 1 /11

Governor - Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Nevada News Bureau poll; conducted 11/20-21 by PMI, Inc. (IVR); surveyed 3,080 active voters; margin of error +/- 1.8% (release, 11/23). Tested: Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman (D), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-AG/ex-state Assemb./ex-Gaming Commission chair Brian Sandoval (R). (Note: Goodman appears in this matchup as an indie).

General Election Matchup
B. Sandoval 35%
O. Goodman 28
R. Reid 21
Other 16 

Governor - Arizona (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/18; surveyed 570 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/23). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, ex-state GOP Chair John Munger and Paradise Valley Mayor Vernon Parker.

Primary Election Matchup
J. Arpaio 47%
D. Martin 22
J. Brewer 10
J. Munger 6
V. Parker 6
Other 3
Undec 7

Brewer As Gov.
Approve 43%
Disapprove 54 

Fav/Unfav
J. Arpaio 83%/13%
D. Martin 60 /10
J. Brewer 54 /40
J. Munger 28 /22
V. Parker 22 /25 

House - MO-07 (2010)

House (2010)
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 11/16-17 for the SW MO Leadership PAC; surveyed 301 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.6% (release, 11/20). Tested: State Sen. Jack Goodman, auctioneer Billy Long, Greene Co. Prosecutor Darrell Moore and state Sen. Gary Nodler (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom
D. Moore    16% 16% 15%
G. Nodler   16  13  19
J. Goodman  13  15  11
B. Long     12  14  11
Undec       40  39  41

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom
D. Moore    27%/ 2% 30%/ 3% 23%/ 1%
G. Nodler   27 / 9  31 / 8  22 /10
B. Long     27 / 9  35 /11  19 / 8
J. Goodman  21 / 3  24 / 2  19 / 3

House - FL-12 (2010)

House (2010)
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 11/17-19 for the DCCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/23). Tested: Polk Co. Elections Supt. Lori Edwards (D) and ex-state Rep. Dennis Ross (R).

General Election Matchup
L. Edwards  46%
D. Ross     42

House - FL-02 (2010)

House (2010)
A Research Network poll; conducted 11/12-16 for state Sen. Min. Leader Al Lawson (D); surveyed 441 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 11/19). Tested: Lawson and Rep. Allen Boyd.

Primary Election Matchup
A. Lawson    35%
A. Boyd      31

Boyd As Rep.
Favorable    45%
Unfavorable  43

Fav/Unfav
A. Boyd      53%/38%
A. Lawson    48 /12

Senate - Massachusetts (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 11/13-18 by UNH Survey Center; surveyed 537 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 11/22). Tested: Rep. Mike Capuano (08), AG Martha Coakley, City Year co-founder Alan Khazei and Boston Celtics managing partner Steve Pagliuca.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
M. Coakley   43% 42% 43% 33% 49% 43% 47% 36%
M. Capuano   22  26  16  24  22  22  22  22
S. Pagliuca  15  11  21  24   9  16   8  14
A. Khazei     6   6   6   9   4   6   8  --
Other         1   1   1   1  --   1  --  --
Undec        13  14  12  10  15  12  16  28

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Coakley   71%/13% 72%/12% 70%/14% 64%/20% 76%/ 8%
M. Capuano   56 /14  58 /11  53 /17  56 /14  56 /13
S. Pagliuca  40 /22  35 /25  48 /19  42 /19  38 /25
A. Khazei    28 /12  30 /10  24 /14  27 /15  29 /10

Senate - North Dakota (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 11/17-18 for the League of American Voters, "a group which opposes ... health care legislation"; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/20). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 29%D, 33%I. Tested: Sen. Byron Dorgan (D), Gov. John Hoeven (R) and '00 nominee/ex-Navy officer Duane Sand (R).

General Election Matchups
J. Hoeven  55%
B. Dorgan  36
Other      --
Undec       9

B. Dorgan  60%
D. Sand    28
Other       2
Undec      10

Fav/Unfav
J. Hoeven  93%/ 7%
B. Dorgan  73 /26
D. Sand    48 /16

Governor - Arizona (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/18; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 11/23). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 9/24
T. Goddard  44% 42%
J. Brewer   35  35
Other        9  13
Undec       12  11

J. Arpaio   51%
T. Goddard  39
Other        7
Undec        4

T. Goddard  40%
D. Martin   38
Other       11
Undec       11

Brewer As Gov.
-           Now 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     39% 37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  57  57   48   45

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     9/24
J. Arpaio   63%/31%  n/a
T. Goddard  51 /35  54 /38
J. Brewer   44 /48  42 /54
D. Martin   41 /27   n/a

Governor - Michigan (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 11/12-17 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 950 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (Bell, Detroit Free Press, 11/22). Tested: LG John Cherry (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-state Rep. John Freeman (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), ex-MSU head football coach George Perles (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
J. Cherry         20%
A. Dillon          6
G. Perles          6
J. Freeman         2
A. Wheeler Smith   2
Other             --
None               4
Undec             59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
P. Hoekstra       21%
M. Cox            15
M. Bouchard       13
R. Snyder          5
T. George          3
Other              1
None               6
Undec             37

Senate - California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/20). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 9/23 7/22 3/9    
B. Boxer    46% 49%  45%  47%
C. Fiorina  37  39   41   38
Other        5   4    7   10
Undec       12   8    7    5

-           Now 9/23
B. Boxer    46% 46%
C. DeVore   36  37
Other        5   7
Undec       13  10

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     9/23    7/22    3/9
B. Boxer    51%/42% 51%/42% 50%/47% 50%/46%
C. Fiorina  40 /29  32 /35  30 /35  39 /31
C. DeVore   31 /25  31 /37   n/a     n/a

Senate - Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/16-18 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/19). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom
C. Crist  47% 44% 51%
M. Rubio  37  41  31
Undec     16  15  18

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 1/28
C. Crist  50% 19% 85% 52% 53% 47% 57%  5% 53% 49% 49%
K. Meek   33  57   6  32  31  35  27  65  36  37  28
Undec     17  24   9  16  16  18  16  30  11  14  23

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 1/28
K. Meek   38% 65%  6% 39% 35% 41% 33% 69% 39% 41% 31%
M. Rubio  30  11  54  28  35  25  34   4  26  25  22
Undec     32  24  40  33  30  34  33  27  35  34  47

If Crist Were To Run As An Indie Against Meek And Rubio, For Whom Would You Vote?
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist  32% 17% 39% 45% 33% 31% 36%  4% 37% 36%
K. Meek   31  56   5  27  28  34  25  66  35  35
M. Rubio  27  11  50  22  30  24  31   4  23  22
Undec     10  16   6   6   9  11   8  26   5   7

If Crist Were To Run As A Dem Against Rubio, For Whom Would You Vote?
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist  45% 54% 39% 40% 43% 47% 42% 52% 53% 54%
M. Rubio  34  14  57  34  40  28  41   4  23  21
Undec     21  32   4  26  17  25  17  44  24  25

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/28
C. Crist  59%/32% 52%/39% 67%/26% 58%/31% 65%/23%
K. Meek   23 / 9  40 / 5   5 /16  21 / 7  18 / 7
M. Rubio  21 /22  11 /29  35 /15  18 /21  11 /17

Senate - New York (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 11/12-17; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 216 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 11/19). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
R. Giuliani    71%
G. Pataki      24
Undec           5

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/22
R. Giuliani    54% 33% 84% 55% 60% 47% 51%
K. Gillibrand  40  59  12  41  36  44  40
Undec           6   8   4   4   3   8   9

Senate - Arizona (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/18; surveyed 570 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/20). Tested: Sen. John McCain, ex-Rep. J.D. Heyworth and Minutemen co-founder Chris Simcox.

General Election Matchup
J. McCain      45%
J.D. Heyworth  43
C. Simcox       4
Other           2
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav
J. McCain      74%/24%
J.D. Heyworth  67 /16
C. Simcox      27 /26

Governor - Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/16-18 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/19). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: State Sen. Paula Dockery (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  45% 48% 42%
P. Dockery    9   7  11
Undec        46  45  47

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum  35%  6% 72% 31% 41% 29% 41%  3% 33% 31%
A. Sink      33  58   5  32  29  37  27  67  36  39
Undec        32  36  23  37  30  34  32  30  31  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
A. Sink      35% 62%  5% 33% 33% 37% 29% 68% 37% 39%
P. Dockery   13   3  30   7  15  11  16   3   7   6
Undec        52  35  65  60  52  52  55  29  56  55

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum  39%/24% 27%/40% 56%/ 9% 36%/20% 43%/21% 35%/27%
A. Sink      25 / 9  44 / 4   6 /17  22 / 6  24 /10  26 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 4   5 / 6  16 / 2   7 / 4   9 / 4   9 / 4

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/18). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
R. Giuliani  57% 50%  55%  58%
D. Paterson  30  39   33   30
Other        10   8    8    9
Undec         3   2    5    4

-            Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
A. Cuomo     49% 58%  48%  55%
R. Giuliani  46  37   41   37
Other         2   3    6    3
Undec         4   3    6    5

-            Now 9/22
R. Lazio     41% 38%
D. Paterson  37  38
Other        13  13
Undec         8  11

-            Now 9/22
A. Cuomo     57% 65%
R. Lazio     29  26
Other         6   5
Undec         9   5

Paterson As Gov.
-            Now 7/14 5/14 3/11
Approve      38% 32%  31%  39
Disapprove   59  67   67   59

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     9/22    7/14    5/14
R. Giuliani  58%/38% 55%/44% 56%/39% 57%/38%
A. Cuomo     56 /34  68 /25  64 /32  65 /29
R. Lazio     36 /44  33 /49   n/a     n/a
D. Paterson  36 /59  38 /57  38 /60  33 /65

A Marist College poll; conducted 11/12-17; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 365 Dems and 216 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 6.7%, respectively (releases, 11/19-20). Tested: Paterson, Cuomo, Giuliani and Lazio.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo     72% 70%  69%  70%  62%
D. Paterson  21  23   24   21   26
Undec         7   7    7    9   12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
R. Giuliani  84% 83%  77%  75%  78%
R. Lazio     13  13   16   14   17
Undec         3   4    7   11    5

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 11/08
R. Giuliani  60% 41% 88% 61% 60%  54%  56%  53%  47%  41%
D. Paterson  35  53   9  32  34   37   32   38   46   51
Undec         5   5   4   7   6    9   12    9    7    8

-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
D. Paterson  44% 66% 17% 40% 43%  41%  37%  47%
R. Lazio     44  21  74  47  43   40   40   35
Undec        12  13   9  13  14   19   23   18

-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo     53% 72% 23% 52% 53%  51%  55%  56%
R. Giuliani  43  24  73  45  43   43   38   39
Undec         4   4   4   3   4    6    7    5

-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo     69% 86% 42% 70% 71%  68%  67%  71%
R. Lazio     24   7  50  25  21   22   22   20
Undec         7   7   8   6   8   10   11    9

Paterson As Gov.
-               All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15
Excellent/good  20% 23% 15% 19% 20%  21%  19%  26%  46%  44%
Fair/poor       76  71  83  78  76   76   77   71   48   48

Cuomo As AG
-               All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 10/08
Excellent/good  66% 72% 61% 64% 69%  67%  70%  71%  50%
Fair/poor       28  20  36  29  26   27   25   23   34

Do You Want Paterson To Run For GOV?
-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes  30% 34% 28% 27% 31% 29%
No   63  57  66  66  62  63

Senate - Arkansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 11/16-17 for the League of American Voters, "a group which opposes ... health care legislation"; surveyed 501 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/19). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R).

General Election Matchups
B. Lincoln  41%               B. Lincoln  45%
G. Baker    39                K. Hendren  29
Other        2                Other        2
Undec       18                Undec       24

Fav/Unfav
B. Lincoln  52%/39%
K. Hendren  24 / 9
G. Baker    22 / 7

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/19). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 9/24
J. Brown     42% 44%
T. Campbell  33  34
Other         6   6
Undec        19  16

-            Now 9/24
J. Brown     43% 45%
S. Poizner   32  32
Other         7   5
Undec        18  18

-            Now 9/24 1/15             
J. Brown     41% 44%  40%
M. Whitman   41  35%  38
Other         3   3    5
Undec        14  18   17

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     9/24    1/15
J. Brown     48%/41% 53%/37% 46%/38%
M. Whitman   47 /27  45 /28  43 /22
T. Campbell  40 /20  42 /27   n/a
S. Poizner   36 /26  36 /32   n/a

Senate - Missouri (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) poll; conducted 11/13-15; surveyed 763 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 11/18). Party ID Breakdown: 36%D, 32%R, 33%I. Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07), State Sen. Chuck Purgason (R) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
R. Blunt     53% 57% 50%
C. Purgason  16  18  13
Undec        31  25  37

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 1/11
R. Carnahan  43% 83%  7% 32% 40% 45% 38% 75% 44% 45%
R. Blunt     42   6  82  44  45  39  47  10  29  44
Undec        15  11  10  24  15  15  15  15  27  11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Carnahan  42% 82%  6% 31% 36% 47% 38% 70% 44%
C. Purgason  35   3  71  36  40  31  39  10  24
Undec        23  15  23  33  25  22  24  20  31

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/11
R. Carnahan  40%/36% 74%/ 5% 10%/67% 33%/40% 45%/36%
R. Blunt     30 /38  16 /53  53 /14  23 /44  40 /43
C. Purgason   7 /14   8 /17   7 /11   5 /15   n/a

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Hart Research Assoc. (D) poll; conducted 11/11-12 for ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D); surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/17). Tested: Hoffman, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
M. Kirk         40%           M. Kirk         40%
A. Giannoulias  37            D. Hoffman      30
Undec           23            Undec           30

Generic Dem     46%
Generic GOPer   39
Depends         10
Undec            5

Fav/Unfav
M. Kirk         21%/11%
A. Giannoulias  20 /12
D. Hoffman       7 / 4
P. Hughes        6 / 1

Governor - Tennessee (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 10/19-20 for businessman Mike McWherter (D); surveyed 602 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/17). Tested: McWherter, businessman Ward Cammack, state Sen. Roy Herron, state Senate Min. Leader Jim Kyle and ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan.

Primary Election Matchup
M. McWherter  26%
R. Herron      6
K. McMillan    6
J. Kyle        5
W. Cammack     1
Undec         56

Governor - Minnesota (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/10; surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 330 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.4%, respectively (release, 11/16). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), ex-state Rep. Matt Entenza (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Laura Brod (R), ex-Sen. Norm Coleman (R), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
R.T. Rybak            30%
M. Dayton             30
M. Anderson Kelliher   8
M. Entenza             6
Other                  5
Undec                 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
N. Coleman            50%
M. Seifert            11
L. Brod                5
T. Emmer               1
Other                  7
Undec                 26

Senate - Delaware (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc. (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 11/10-15; surveyed 850 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 11/16). Party ID breakdown: 49%D, 28%R, 23%I. Tested: AG Beau Biden (D) and Rep. Mike Castle (R).

General Election Matchup
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/30
B. Biden   45% 65% 17% 37% 40% 49% 34%
M. Castle  40  21  72  42  44  37  55
Other       6   4   9   9   7   6   3
Undec       8  10   3  12   8   8   8

House - AR-02 (2010)

House (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 11/11-13; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/16). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 29%R, 32%I. Tested: Rep. Vic Snyder (D), ex-U.S. Atty Tim Griffin (R), ex-insurance exec. David Meeks (R) and restaurateur Scott Wallace (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Snyder   44% 80%  6% 34% 40% 47% 40% 68% 25%
T. Griffin  43   9  83  49  47  40  50  10  43
Undec       13  11  11  16  12  13  10  22  32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Snyder   45% 81% 10% 34% 40% 50% 42% 66% 31%
D. Meeks    42  10  79  47  47  38  48  12  37
Undec       13   9  10  19  13  13  10  22  32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Snyder   44% 82%  6% 33% 40% 48% 40% 72% 31%
S. Wallace  42   9  82  48  48  38  48  13  37
Undec       13   9  12  19  12  14  12  15  32

Snyder As Rep.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Approve     42% 75% 12% 30% 40% 44% 38% 67% 28%
Disapprove  46  17  75  56  51  43  50  22  58

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Griffin  14%/19% 12%/28% 19%/12% 11%/16% 17%/24% 11%/16%
S. Wallace  11 /14  11 /17  15 /10   6 /15  12 /17  10 /12
D. Meeks     7 /15   9 /20   6 /10   6 /12  10 /20   5 /10

Senate - Iowa (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 11/8-11 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 539 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (releases, 11/14-16). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup (LVs)
C. Grassley  57%
R. Conlin    30
Not vote      3
Undec        10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     9/16
C. Grassley  64%/30% 64%/28%
R. Conlin    22 /16   n/a

Grassley As Sen.
-            Now 9/16 4/1 1/09
Approve      57% 57%  66% 75%
Disapprove   32  30   20  12

Senate - New York [Gillibrand] (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 11/8-12; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/16). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '06 candidate Jonathan Tasini (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom
K. Gillibrand   47% 46% 49%
J. Tasini       13  16  11
Undec           39  39  40

General Election Matchups
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17
R. Giuliani     49% 29% 77% 54% 51% 48% 53%   46%
K. Gillibrand   43  62  19  36  42  43  36    38
Undec            8   9   4  10   7   9  10    16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 8/20 5/21 3/18
K. Gillibrand   45% 61% 24% 38% 43% 45% 41%   39%  43%  41%
G. Pataki       44  30  65  44  46  42  46    42   43   41
Undec           12   9  10  18  11  13  13    18   14   18
Elect Gillibrand?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Elect her       33% 37% 28% 31% 32% 34%
Prefer another  38  33  47  38  43  34
Undec           29  30  25  31  25  32

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/18   9/17
R. Giuliani   62%/34% 44%/52% 85%/12% 65%/28% 60%/35% 56%/38%
G. Pataki     55 /36  51 /41  66 /26  51 /40  53 /34   n/a
K. Gillibrand 34 /24  37 /19  31 /31  31 /25  28 /26  29 /24
J. Tasini      4 / 7   5 / 7   3 / 4   3 / 7   n/a     n/a

Gillibrand As Sen.
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good  33% 38% 28% 25% 30% 35%
Fair/poor       45  38  52  49  48  41

Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17
For GOV             32% 16% 50% 38% 33% 31% 32%   27%
For SEN             19  18  24  17  18  21  21    24
Not run for either  44  63  18  41  44  44  43    45

Senate - New York [Schumer] (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 11/8-12; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/16). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D) and comedian/drug law activist Randy Credico (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk His
C. Schumer  83% 78% 87% 83% 92% 83%
R. Credico   9  15   4   9   2  11
Undec        8   7   9   9   6   6

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
C. Schumer  60%/30% 76%/13% 42%/50% 52%/37% 57%/35% 62%/26%
R. Credico   3 / 7   3 / 7   3 / 5   2 / 6   3 / 8   2 / 6

Re-Elect Schumer?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Re-elect him    60% 78% 39% 51% 56% 64%
Prefer another  32  15  53  40  37  28
Undec            8   7   8   9   7   8

Schumer As Sen.
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good  57% 75% 38% 49% 54% 60%
Fair/poor       39  22  61  44  43  36

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 11/8-12; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/16). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Wht Blk His 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo     75% 80% 63% 78% 70%   66%  65%  65%  69%  70%
D. Paterson  16  12  31  17  20    20   23   23   16   19
Undec         8   8   6   6  10    14   12   13   15   11

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
R. Giuliani  56% 37% 84% 58% 55% 56% 56%   52%  56%  57%
D. Paterson  33  53   8  28  33  33  33    35   33   34
Undec        11  10   8  15  12  11  11    13   11    9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     53% 78% 24% 43% 49% 57% 50%   52%  53%  49%
R. Giuliani  41  18  68  49  46  36  43    39   40   44
Undec         6   3   8   9   6   6   6     9    7    7

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
R. Lazio     42% 24% 70% 43% 46% 39% 37%   35%  37%  39%
D. Paterson  39  57  17  34  38  40  39    39   38   41
Undec        19  19  13  22  16  21  23    26   25   20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     67% 89% 42% 59% 63% 71% 66%   64%  66%  65%
R. Lazio     22   7  46  23  27  18  21    18   16   20
Undec        11   5  12  17  10  11  14    18   18   15

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/18   9/17
A. Cuomo     70%/20% 81%/10% 59%/31% 62%/24% 67%/20% 66%/21%
R. Giuliani  62 /34  44 /52  85 /12  65 /28  60 /35  56 /38
D. Paterson  33 /56  39 /49  25 /65  33 /56  27 /61  29 /59
R. Lazio     29 /22  23 /25  40 /16  26 /21  23 /27  22 /25
C. Collins   12 / 8   9 /11  16 / 5  12 / 6   n/a     n/a

Elect Paterson?
-               All Dem GOP Ind 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18
Elect him       17% 19% 13% 17% 15%   14%  15%  17%  15%
Prefer another  69  63  76  69  72    71   68   69   70
Undec           15  17  11  14  13    16   16   13   15

Paterson As Gov.
-               Now 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Excellent/good  21% 19%   18%  23%  22%  20%  18%  18%  19%
Fair/poor       79  79    80   76   77   78   81   81   78

Cuomo As AG
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good  67% 77% 58% 59% 65% 70%
Fair/poor       29  19  39  33  30  26

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
For GOV         52% 67% 35% 46% 50% 55% 49%   47%  52%  45%
Reelect as AG   28  20  41  30  32  25  36    34   31   31

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Declare now     33% 34% 32% 33% 31% 35%
Time to wait    52  55  53  47  53  52

Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17
For GOV             32% 16% 50% 38% 33% 31% 32%   27%
For SEN             19  18  24  17  18  21  21    24
Not run for either  44  63  18  41  44  44  43    45

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 11/8-11 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 539 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (releases, 11/14-16). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), businessman Christian Fong (R), State Rep./ex-state House Speaker Chris Rants (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups (LVs)
T. Branstad       57%         C. Culver         42%
C. Culver         33          C. Fong           34
Not vote           2          Not vote           4
Undec              8          Undec             20

C. Culver         42%         B. Vander Plaats  45%
C. Rants          35          C. Culver         37
Not vote           5          Not vote           5
Undec             18          Undec             18

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     9/16
T. Branstad       60%/22% 59%/22%
C. Culver         48 /46  55 /38
B. Vander Plaats  24 /12  22 /16
C. Rants          14 /11  15 /13
C. Fong           10 / 6  11 / 5

Culver As Gov.
-           Now 9/16 4/1 1/09
Approve     40% 50%  55% 60%
Disapprove  49  39   36  32

Senate - Connecticut (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/3-8; surveyed 1,236 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 474 Dems and 332 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.5% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 11/12). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-Amb. Thomas Foley (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 9/14 7/20 5/25
C. Dodd      55% 56%  52%  44%
M. Alpert    22  13   18   24
Other         1   4    2    1
Not vote      1   2    1    2
Undec        21  25   27   30

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 9/14 7/20 5/25
R. Simmons   28% 43%  42%  48%
L. McMahon   17  n/a  n/a  n/a
T. Foley      9   5    5   n/a
P. Schiff     5   2   --   n/a
S. Caligiuri  4   4    5   10
Other        --   2    1    1
Not vote      2   2    1    2
Undec        36  43   45   39

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
R. Simmons   49% 15% 87% 57% 52% 45% 44%  48%  45%  50%  43%
C. Dodd      38  68   6  29  35  41  39   39   39   34   42
Other        --  --  --  --  --  --   1   --    2    2    1
Not vote      2   2  --   1   2   1   1    2    1    2    1
Undec        11  14   6  12  11  12  15   10   13   12   12

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. McMahon   43% 12% 79% 51% 47% 39%
C. Dodd      41  71  13  32  40  42
Other        --  --  --   1  --   1
Not vote      2   1  --   3   2   1
Undec        14  17   7  13  11  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd      42% 72% 11% 35% 41% 44% 40%  42%  41%  37%  47%
S. Caligiuri 42  11  80  49  46  38  36   40   39   41   34
Other         1  --   1  --  --   1   2    1    1    3    2
Not vote      2   1   3   1   2   2   2    1    2    2    2
Undec        14  16   5  14  11  16  20   15   17   17   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 3/31
T. Foley     47% 12% 85% 58% 50% 43% 38%  42%  43%
C. Dodd      40  73   9  27  38  42  40   42   35
Other        --  --  --   1  --   1   2    1    3
Not vote      1   1  --  --   1   1   2    1    2
Undec        13  14   5  14  12  14  18   14   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20
C. Dodd      42% 74% 11% 34% 41% 43% 42%  43%
P. Schiff    41  10  81  47  44  38  36   38
Other         1  --  --   1  --   1   2    1
Not vote      1   1   2   1   1   1   2    2
Undec        15  16   6  17  13  17  19   16

Do You Feel That Dodd Deserves To Be Re-Elected?
-        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes      39% 65% 14% 30% 34% 43%
No       53  25  83  62  58  49
Undec     8  10   3   8   8   8

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/14    7/20
C. Dodd      42%/49% 68%/22% 19%/77% 34%/59% 40%/48% 40%/50%
R. Simmons   40 /10  25 /16  61 / 7  42 / 7  41 /11  39 /12
T. Foley     20 / 6  11 / 8  33 / 3  21 / 4  12 / 6  17 / 5
L. McMahon   20 /13   7 /18  15 / 2  12 / 3   n/a     n/a
S. Caligiuri 10 / 3   4 / 3  15 / 2  12 / 3  11 / 5  12 / 4
P. Schiff     7 / 4   1 / 5  13 / 2   8 / 4   6 / 2   7 / 3
M. Alpert     1 / 3   2 / 5   2 /--  -- / 1   2 / 2   3 / 1

Dodd As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
Approve      40% 65% 13% 34% 38% 43% 43%  42%  38%  33%  49%
Disapprove   54  28  86  60  56  52  49   52   53   58   44

Senate - Massachusetts (2010)

Senate (2010)
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 11/4-7; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Van Sack, Boston Herald, 11/12). Tested: Rep. Mike Capuano (D-08), AG Martha Coakley (D), City Year co-founder Alan Khazei (D), Boston Celtics managing partner Steve Pagliuca (D), state Sen. Scott Brown (R) and '00 nominee/'02 Sec/State nominee/'06 MA-09 nominee Jack E. Robinson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. Coakley      44%
S. Pagliuca     17
M. Capuano      16
A. Khazei        3
Undec           20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
S. Brown        45%
J. E. Robinson   7
Undec           47

Senate - North Carolina (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 11/9-11; surveyed 711 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 11/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 34%R, 19%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Rep. Bob Etheridge (D-02), Raleigh Mayor Kevin Foy (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and '00 GOV candidate/ex-LG Dennis Wicker (D). Note: Cunningham announced 11/9 that he will not run.

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8 8/10 7/12 5/21
R. Burr       44% 15% 81% 54% 48% 41% 46%  42% 43%  40%  42%
C. Cunningham 31  51   9  20  30  32  27   30  28   31   34
Undec         25  34  11  26  22  27  27   29  29   29   24

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8
R. Burr       45% 17% 80% 53% 49% 41% 44%  41%
B. Etheridge  35  58   9  22  33  36  33   34 
Undec         20  25  11  25  18  23  23   25

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8 8/10
R. Burr       44% 15% 80% 54% 46% 43% 45%  47% 43%
K. Foy        32  55   8  19  33  31  29   29  27  
Undec         23  30  13  26  21  26  26   29  24

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8 8/10 7/12 5/10
R. Burr       45% 16% 80% 52% 49% 41% 44%  43% 43%  42%  45%
K. Lewis      32  55   7  20  30  34  30   27  27   31   31
Undec         23  29  13  28  21  26  26   29  23   27   24

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8 8/10 3/15
R. Burr       45% 16% 80% 56% 49% 41% 44%  42% 45%  43%
E. Marshall   34  58   8  20  32  36  32   31  31   35
Undec         21  26  12  24  19  23  24   27  26   22

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8
R. Burr       45% 16% 81% 51% 49% 41% 44%  42%
D. Wicker     33  57   8  19  32  34  30   31 
Undec         22  27  11  30  19  25  26   27

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/4 9/8 8/10 7/12 6/14
R. Burr       44% 14% 82% 51% 49% 40% 45%  45% 42%  40%  38%
Generic Dem   40  68   6  30  38  41  34   38  35   38   41
Undec         16  18  12  18  13  19  22   18  23   23   21

Burr As Sen.
-             All Dem GOP Ind 10/4 9/8 8/10 7/12 6/14 5/10
Approve       40% 22% 63% 46% 36%  38% 38%  36%  34%  36%
Disapprove    31  44  12  30  35   32  32   29   35   32

Senate - Ohio (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/5-9; surveyed 1,123 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 394 Dems and 406 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/12). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D), car dealer Tom Ganley (R) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
L. Fisher   24% 29% 20% 26%  24% 20% 18%  18%
J. Brunner  22  23  22  17   21  16  14   16
Other        1   2   1   1    2   5  19   14
Not vote     2   3  --   2    3   1   2   --
Undec       51  43  57  55   51  59  46   53

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4
R. Portman  26% 29$ 24% 27%  33% 29%
T. Ganley    7   6   8   9   10   8
Other        2   3   1   1    1   9
Not vote     1  --   2   2    2   1
Undec       64  62  65  61   55  54

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
R. Portman  39% 10% 76% 38% 44% 34% 31%  33% 31% 33%  27%
L. Fisher   36  70   3  27  33  38  42   37  42  41   42
Other       --  --  --   1  --  --   1    2   1   1    1
Not vote     1  --   1   2   1   1   1    2  --   2    1
Undec       24  19  20  33  22  26  26   26  26  24   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
R. Portman  38% 10% 74% 36% 43% 34% 34%  34% 32% 34%  28%
J. Brunner  34  65   4  30  31  37  39   35  40  39   38
Other       --  --  --   1  --  --   1    1  --   1    1
Not vote     1   1   1   1   1   1   1    1  --   2    1
Undec       27  24  21  33  26  28  25   29  27  25   31

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   38% 72%  6% 28% 38% 38% 41%  36%
T. Ganley   34   7  70  32  37  31  29   30
Other       --  --  --   1   1  --   1    1
Not vote     1  --   1   3   1   2   1    2
Undec       27  21  22  36  24  30  27   31

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  35% 69%  3% 31% 31% 39% 39%  35%
T. Ganley   32   4  68  29  39  26  31   31
Other        1  --  --   1   1  --   2    1
Not vote     2   2   1   1   2   1   1    2
Undec       30  25  28  38  27  33  27   31

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/13    7/1
L. Fisher   25%/15% 42%/ 4%  9%/31% 22%/15% 33%/13% 29%/17%
R. Portman  22 / 7  11 /12  38 / 2  21 / 7  20 / 7  21 / 6
J. Brunner  20 /18  36 / 5   4 /39  20 /14  27 /14  27 /16
T. Ganley   12 / 5   4 / 9  18 / 1  13 / 5  15 / 5  12 / 4

Fisher As LG
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve     39% 54% 17% 42% 39% 39% 44%  39% 49%
Disapprove  23   8  43  24  31  17  21   24  17

Brunner As Sec/State
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
Approve     38% 54% 13% 41% 40% 36% 41%  38% 45% 41%  44%
Disapprove  25   8  48  23  29  23  23   25  20  19   16

Governor - Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 11/4-8; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Grillo, Boston Herald, 11/12).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
C. Mihos    33%
C. Baker    30

General Election Matchups
D. Patrick  36%               D. Patrick  38%
T. Cahill   26                T. Cahill   26
C. Mihos    20                C. Baker    15

Patrick As Gov.
Approve     42%
Disapprove  51

Patrick Handling MA Economy
Approve     37%
Disapprove  55

Governor - Ohio (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/5-9; surveyed 1,123 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 11/11). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
T. Strickland  40% 76%  9% 34% 41% 40% 46%  43% 51% 51%  56%
J. Kasich      40  10  76  39  43  38  36   38  32  31   26
Other           1  --   1   2   2  --   2    2   1   1    1
Not vote        1   1  --   1  --   1   1    1   1   2    1
Undec          18  13  14  25  14  21  15   16  16  15   16

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/13    7/1
T. Strickland  38%/37% 62%/18% 14%/62% 34%/36% 43%/34% 42%/37%
J. Kasich      23 / 7   9 /11  41 / 5  22 / 5  22 /10  26 / 7

Strickland As Gov.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/2
Approve        45% 65% 20% 47% 44% 45% 48%  46% 57% 56%  63%
Disapprove     43  23  66  42  46  40  42   42  29  30   25

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 11/3-5 for ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D); surveyed 500 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/9). Tested: Jackson, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias, ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman and atty Jacob Meister.

Primary Election Matchup
A. Giannoulias       31%
C. Robinson Jackson  13
D. Hoffman            8
J. Meister            2
Undec                45

Fav/Unfav
A. Giannoulias       37%/10%
C. Robinson Jackson  23 / 9
D. Hoffman           13 / 5
J. Meister            4 / 2

Governor - Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/3-8; surveyed 1,236 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 474 Dems; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/10). Tested: Gov. Jodi Rell (R), ex-state House Speaker Jim Amann (D), Sec/State Susan Bysiewicz (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), state Sen. Gary LeBeau (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D) and Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D). (Note: Rell withdrew from the race on 11/9. For more on that, please see today's CT GOV story.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             Now 2/8
S. Bysiewicz  26% 44%
N. Lamont     23  n/a
D. Malloy      9  12
J. Amman       3   4
G. LeBeau      2  n/a
R. Marconi     1  n/a
Other          1   3
Not vote       2   2
Unded         33  36

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/8
J. Rell       46% 12% 91% 56% 52% 41% 53%
S. Bysiewicz  40  74   5  26  35  45  32
Other          1  --  --   1   1  --   1
Not vote      --   1  --  --  --   1   1
Undec         12  13   3  16  11  13  14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Rell       53% 22% 94% 62% 56% 50%
N. Lamont     33  62   3  23  32  34
Other          1   1  --   1   1   1
Not vote       1   1  --   1   1   1
Undec         12  14   2  13  10  14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/8
J. Rell       52% 20% 92% 63% 57% 48% 58%
D. Malloy     33  66   5  19  31  36  26
Other          1   2  --   1   2   1   1
Not vote       1   1  --   1   1   1   1
Undec         12  11   3  16  10  15  14

Reelect Rell In '10?
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 12/17 7/08
Definitely    19%  5% 41% 20% 23% 14% 14%  15%  14%   13%
Probably      38  22  48  46  36  39  43   43   40    40
Probably not  19  28   6  16  18  20  21   19   18    20
Definite not  19  37   1  13  18  20  16   16   13    13
Undec          6   8   4   5   5   7   6    8   14    13

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/8
J. Rell       60%/29% 36%/51% 85%/ 6% 70%/18% 70%/17%
S. Bysiewicz  43 /11  55 / 3  26 /27  41 /12  40 /12
N. Lamont     31 /24  45 /11  12 /45  27 /27   n/a
D. Malloy     21 /10  32 / 3   7 /16  16 /14  19 /11
J. Amann       7 / 8   9 / 5   3 /13   6 / 9   7 /13
R. Marconi     5 / 3   5 / 2  10 / 1   4 / 5   n/a
G. LeBeau      4 / 4   7 / 4   2 / 1   2 / 5   n/a

Rell As Gov.
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
Approve       64% 47% 86% 68% 67% 61% 59%  65%  73%  72%  75%
Disapprove    30  46  11  25  27  34  34   30   20   22   19

Senate - California (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 10/27-11/2 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R); surveyed 1,500 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/8). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 28%R, 26%I. Tested: Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
C. Fiorina  27%
C. DeVore   27
Other        2
Undec       40

Boxer As Sen.
Approve     43%
Disapprove  36

Fav/Unfav
B. Boxer    49%/36%
C. Fiorina   9 /12
C. DeVore    6 / 4

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 10/27-11/2 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/Public Opinion Strategies (R); surveyed 1,500 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/8). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 28%R, 26%I. Tested: '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
M. Whitman   35%
T. Campbell  27
S. Poizner   10
Other         2
Undec        23

Fav/Unfav
J. Brown     44%/27%
G. Newsom    27 /26
Lo. Sanchez  18 /12
T. Campbell  17 / 8
M. Whitman   17 /14
S. Poizner   11 / 7

Governor - Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A PMI, Inc. (IVR) poll; conducted 11/6-7 for activist Chuck Muth; surveyed 4,796 GOP primary RVs; margin of error 1.4% (Ralston, "RalstonFlash," 11/8). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons, ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-AG/ex-state Assemb./ex-Gaming Cmsn chair Brian Sandoval.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Sandoval   36%
J. Gibbons    24
M. Montandon   7
Neither       33

Governor - Rhode Island (2010)

Governor (2010)
An Alpha Research Assoc. poll; conducted 10/26-29 for ex-Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I); surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Gregg/Peoples, Providence Journal, 11/9). Tested: Chafee, Gen. Treas. Frank Caprio (D), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and businessman Rory Smith (R).

General Election Matchups
L. Chafee  36%                L. Chafee  37%
F. Caprio  34                 P. Lynch   24
R. Smith    8                 R. Smith   15

Governor - California (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Capitol Weekly poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Probolsky Research; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsamples of 397 Dem primary LVs and 289 GOP primary LVs; margins of error 4.9% and 5.8%, respectively. (release, 10/30). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Dem Ind Men Wom 5/29 1/25
J. Brown     46% 48% 35% 49% 44% 24%  14%
G. Newsom    19  20  16  18  20  16    9
Other         7   7  12   7   7  30   53
Undec        25  24  37  24  27  28   22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All GOP Ind Men Wom 5/29 1/25
M. Whitman   37% 36% 45% 40% 34% 10%  14%
T. Campbell  15  15  15  19  10  13   15
S. Poizner    6   6  --   4   7   8    4
Other         7   7   5   8   5   1    1
Undec        35  35  35  28  42  65   62

Governor - Maryland (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Clarus Research Group poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 637 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/5). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Balt DC  West Shore/S
M. O'Malley   47% 75%  7% 34% 38% 54% 45%  61% 28%  38%
B. Ehrlich    40  10  85  48  47  33  45   19  50   51
Other          3   3   3   5   3   3   3    2   8    2
Undec         10  12   6  14  11  11   7   17  14    9

Re-Elect O'Malley?
Re-elect him  39%
Someone new   48
Depends        6
Undec          7

O'Malley As Gov.
Approve       48%
Disapprove    40

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJHL-TV/WJLA-TV/WTVR-TV poll; conducted 10/30-11/01 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 574 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 37%R, 32%D, 29%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/19 10/4 9/28
B. McDonnell  58% 18% 91% 60% 62% 54% 58%   59%   54%  55%
C. Deeds      40  81   8  35  36  43  41    40    43   41
Undec          2   1   1   4   2   3   1     1     4    4

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 10/30-11/1 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 582 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/2). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 33%R, 22%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/28 10/21 10/14 10/7
C. Christie  45% 15% 78% 55% 48% 41% 43%   41%   40%   43%
J. Corzine   42  72  13  25  38  45  43    39    39    40
C. Daggett   10  11   7  16  10  10  11    19    18    14
Other         1   1  --   1   1   1  --    --     1     1
Undec         3   2   3   3   3   3   3     1     3     2

A Democracy Corps (D) poll; conducted 10/29-11/1 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D); surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Party reg. breakdown: 42%D, 27%R, 31%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/28 10/21 10/7 9/23
J. Corzine   41% 69%  7% 33% 39% 43% 43%   42%   41%  39%
C. Christie  36  10  76  37  42  31  38    39    38   40
C. Daggett   14  12  12  19  11  17  12    13    14   11
Undec         8   8   5  10   8   8   7     6     7    9

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     10/28   10/21   10/7    9/23    9/9
J. Corzine   39%/47% 40%/43% 38%/46% 37%/46% 35%/47% 36%/48%
C. Christie  35 /43  35 /42  35 /42  30 /42  32 /34  33 /33
C. Daggett   16 /32  16 /34  15 /25  15 /18   8 /10   5 /11

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 10/25-28 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 805 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias, ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
A. Giannoulias  46%           M. Kirk         48%
M. Kirk         43            D. Hoffman      39

Senate - North Carolina (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 10/31-11/1 for Change Congress; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/3). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 32%R, 25%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Rep. Bob Etheridge (D-02) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Burr       43% 16% 81% 41% 49% 37% 58%  5%  8% 
B. Etheridge  35  62   5  26  33  37  22  67  62
Undec         22  22  14  33  18  26  20  28  30

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Burr       42% 15% 80% 40% 46% 38% 57%  5%  8%
E. Marshall   35  61   5  28  34  36  22  67  63
Undec         23  24  15  32  20  26  21  28  29

Re-Elect Burr?
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Re-elect him  21% 10% 40% 16% 24% 18% 28%  4%  6%
Someone new   45  64  22  42  43  47  37  66  62
Undec         34  26  38  42  33  35  35  30  32

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr       39%/46% 16%/66% 66%/21% 44%/43% 42%/42% 36%/50%

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Siena College poll; conducted 11/1; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Party ID breakdown: 44%R, 32%D, 21%I. Tested: Accountant/ex-GOP candidate Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R). Note: The matchup IDed Scozzafava as having "suspended her campaign" on 10/31 and "released those individuals supporting her campaign to transfer their support as they see fit."

Special Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/29 10/13 9/29
D. Hoffman     41% 15% 63% 37% 46% 36% 35%   23%   16%
B. Owens       36  62  14  43  35  36  36    33    28
D. Scozzafava   6   6   9   2   4   8  20    29    35
Undec          18  17  14  18  14  20   9    16    21

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/29
D. Hoffman     47%/33% 31%/50% 66%/19% 37%/37% 41%/37%
J. Biden       41 /37  64 /18  26 /53  40 /33   n/a
B. Owens       37 /38  65 /17  18 /55  35 /36  40 /36
D. Scozzafava  27 /48  36 /41  25 /54  21 /46  29 /51

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 10/31-11/1; surveyed 1,747 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.3% (release, 11/1). Party ID breakdown: 47%R, 33%D, 20%I. Tested: Hoffman, Owens and Scozzafava. Note: A three-way matchup question was also asked, but the wording was changed on 10/31 to reflect Scozzafava's withdrawl, and again on 11/1 to reflect her endorsement of Owens, so it is not included here.

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Hoffman     54% 21% 75% 55% 60% 48%
B. Owens       38  74  15  33  33  42
Undec           8   5  10  11   7  10
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Hoffman     53% 25% 71% 58% 59% 48%
D. Scozzafava  36  57  24  31  32  40
Undec          10  17   5  11   9  12
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Owens       37% 68% 18% 29% 33% 40%
D. Scozzafava  34  21  45  28  34  34
Undec          30  11  38  43  34  26

House - NY-23 (2010)

House (2009)
A KPIX-TV poll; conducted 10/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 581 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/29). Tested: LG John Garamendi (D) and atty David Harmer (R).

Special Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Garamendi  50% 77% 12% 35% 44% 55%
D. Harmer     40  15  81  42  44  37
Other          6   5   2  18   7   5
Undec          4   3   4   4   4   3

Senate - Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9 poll; conducted 10/25-28 by Schroth, Eldon & Assoc. (D)/Polling Co. (R); surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
C. Crist  50%
M. Rubio  28
Undec     22

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
K. Meek   26%
M. Ferre   6
Undec     68

Crist As Gov.
Excellent/good  42%
Fair/poor       55

Senate - North Carolina (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 10/21-22 by McLaughlin & Assoc. (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/30). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn
R. Burr      44% 17% 79% 47% 50% 38% 54%  9% 20% 25%
E. Marshall  33  57   6  25  30  36  25  59  60  50
Undec        23  26  15  29  21  26  21  32  20  25

Governor - New Jersey (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Monmouth Univ./Gannett poll; conducted 10/31-11/1; surveyed 722 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 11/2). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 28%R, 33%I. Tested: Gov. Jon Corzine (D), ex-U.S. Atty Chris Christie (R) and ex-EPA regional admin. Chris Daggett (I).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/30 10/18 9/29 9/10
J. Corzine   43% 77% 10% 33% 39% 46% 42%   39%   40%  39%
C. Christie  41   8  82  43  46  36  43    39    43   47
C. Daggett    8   7   4  12   8   8   8    14     8    5
Other         2   2   1   2   2   2   1     1     1    1
Undec         7   5   3  10   5   9   5     7     8    7

Corzine As Gov.
-            All Dem GOP Ind 10/30 10/18 9/29 9/10 8/2 7/14
Approve      36% 65% 11% 28% 35%   41%   37%  37%  38% 38%
Disapprove   54  21  84  63  55    55    51   52   54  51

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/30   10/18
C. Christie  40%/38%  9%/62% 78%/13% 41%/36% 44%/36% 40%/41%
J. Corzine   40 /44  73 /10  13 /77  33 /52  39 /49  37 /51
C. Daggett   21 /21  16 /16  18 /29  30 /20  22 /22  28 /15

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/31-11/1; surveyed 994 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/12 9/14 7/27
C. Christie  47% 15% 82% 52% 49% 44% 42%   40%   44%  50%
J. Corzine   41  72   9  29  36  45  38    39    35   36
C. Daggett   11  11   8  16  12   9  13    13    13   n/a
Undec         2   2   1   3   2   1   6     8     7   14

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/26   10/12
C. Christie  43%/42% 20%/64% 72%/17% 39%/39% 45%/44% 42%/44%
J. Corzine   34 /57  60 /28   9 /86  22 /65  33 /60  37 /55
C. Daggett   24 /35  29 /30  16 /46  28 /27  31 /36  30 /24

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 10/27-11/1; surveyed 1,533 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 11/2). Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/12 9/28 8/30 8/9
C. Christie  42%  6% 78% 47% 47% 37% 38%   41%   43%  47%  46%
J. Corzine   40  77  10  32  36  44  43    40    39   37   40
C. Daggett   12  12   9  17  12  11  13    14    12    9    7
Undec         6   6   3   4   4   8   5     5     6    6    6

(If Daggett) Who Is Your Second Choice?
-            Now 10/26 10/12
J. Corzine   39% 27%   33%
C. Christie  29  43    40
Other         7   4     4
Won't vote   17  18    13
Undec         8   9    10

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/26   10/12
C. Christie  41%/40% 12%/66% 70%/13% 42%/42% 37%/42% 38%/40%
J. Corzine   39 /53  70 /19  14 /83  30 /64  41 /52  40 /53
C. Daggett   23 /17  20 /12  21 /25  29 /15  21 /16  19 / 7

A Richard Stockton College poll; conducted 10/27-29 by Zogby Int'l; surveyed 1,093 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 10/30). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 32%R, 26%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind
J. Corzine   40% 71% 11% 26%
C. Christie  39  10  77  39
C. Daggett   14  13   8  23
Other         1   1  --   2
Undec         6   5   4  10

A Neighborhood Research (R) poll; conducted 10/27-29; surveyed 341 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 10/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 31%R, 25%I. Tested: Corzine, Christie and Daggett.

General Election Matchup
-            Now 10/6 9/17 8/21
C. Christie  42% 36%  37%  37%
J. Corzine   35  35   33   35
C. Daggett    8  11    8    6
Undec        15  18   22   22

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     10/6    9/17    8/21
C. Christie  34%/25% 28%/31% 28%/26% 19%/26%
J. Corzine   26 /48  28 /46  21 /48  21 /46
C. Daggett   11 /12  17 / 4   8 / 1   3 / 1

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/30-11/1; surveyed 1,457 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 35%R, 30%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/19 9/28 8/31
B. McDonnell  56% 11% 94% 63% 61% 51% 55%   52%   48%  49%
C. Deeds      42  87   6  33  38  47  40    40    43   42
Undec          2   2  --   4   2   2   5     7     8    9

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/26   10/19
B. McDonnell  55%/35% 15%/72% 90%/ 5% 59%/29% 56%/36% 56%/35%
C. Deeds      39 /45  78 /11   8 /74  29 /48  38 /49  41 /48

A Richmond Times-Dispatch poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/1). Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8
B. McDonnell  53%  9% 94% 51% 60% 46% 60%  8% 48%
C. Deeds      41  85   5  36  35  47  35  82  40
Undec          6   6   1  13   5   7   5  10  12

Governor - Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9 poll; conducted 10/25-28 by Schroth, Eldon & Assoc. (D)/Polling Co. (R); surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup
A. Sink      38%
B. McCollum  37
Undec        25