A Capitol Weekly poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Probolsky Research; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Subsamples of 397 Dem primary LVs and 289 GOP primary LVs; margins of error 4.9% and 5.8%, respectively. (release, 10/30). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom (D), '00 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Dem Ind Men Wom 5/29 1/25
J. Brown 46% 48% 35% 49% 44% 24% 14%
G. Newsom 19 20 16 18 20 16 9
Other 7 7 12 7 7 30 53
Undec 25 24 37 24 27 28 22
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All GOP Ind Men Wom 5/29 1/25
M. Whitman 37% 36% 45% 40% 34% 10% 14%
T. Campbell 15 15 15 19 10 13 15
S. Poizner 6 6 -- 4 7 8 4
Other 7 7 5 8 5 1 1
Undec 35 35 35 28 42 65 62
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