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Monday, November 16, 2009

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 11/8-12; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/16). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- All Wht Blk His 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo 75% 80% 63% 78% 70% 66% 65% 65% 69% 70%
D. Paterson 16 12 31 17 20 20 23 23 16 19
Undec 8 8 6 6 10 14 12 13 15 11

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
R. Giuliani 56% 37% 84% 58% 55% 56% 56% 52% 56% 57%
D. Paterson 33 53 8 28 33 33 33 35 33 34
Undec 11 10 8 15 12 11 11 13 11 9

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo 53% 78% 24% 43% 49% 57% 50% 52% 53% 49%
R. Giuliani 41 18 68 49 46 36 43 39 40 44
Undec 6 3 8 9 6 6 6 9 7 7

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
R. Lazio 42% 24% 70% 43% 46% 39% 37% 35% 37% 39%
D. Paterson 39 57 17 34 38 40 39 39 38 41
Undec 19 19 13 22 16 21 23 26 25 20

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo 67% 89% 42% 59% 63% 71% 66% 64% 66% 65%
R. Lazio 22 7 46 23 27 18 21 18 16 20
Undec 11 5 12 17 10 11 14 18 18 15

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/18 9/17
A. Cuomo 70%/20% 81%/10% 59%/31% 62%/24% 67%/20% 66%/21%
R. Giuliani 62 /34 44 /52 85 /12 65 /28 60 /35 56 /38
D. Paterson 33 /56 39 /49 25 /65 33 /56 27 /61 29 /59
R. Lazio 29 /22 23 /25 40 /16 26 /21 23 /27 22 /25
C. Collins 12 / 8 9 /11 16 / 5 12 / 6 n/a n/a

Elect Paterson?
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18
Elect him 17% 19% 13% 17% 15% 14% 15% 17% 15%
Prefer another 69 63 76 69 72 71 68 69 70
Undec 15 17 11 14 13 16 16 13 15

Paterson As Gov.
- Now 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Excellent/good 21% 19% 18% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 19%
Fair/poor 79 79 80 76 77 78 81 81 78

Cuomo As AG
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good 67% 77% 58% 59% 65% 70%
Fair/poor 29 19 39 33 30 26

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
For GOV 52% 67% 35% 46% 50% 55% 49% 47% 52% 45%
Reelect as AG 28 20 41 30 32 25 36 34 31 31

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Declare now 33% 34% 32% 33% 31% 35%
Time to wait 52 55 53 47 53 52

Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17
For GOV 32% 16% 50% 38% 33% 31% 32% 27%
For SEN 19 18 24 17 18 21 21 24
Not run for either 44 63 18 41 44 44 43 45

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