A Siena College poll; conducted 11/1; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Party ID breakdown: 44%R, 32%D, 21%I. Tested: Accountant/ex-GOP candidate Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R). Note: The matchup IDed Scozzafava as having "suspended her campaign" on 10/31 and "released those individuals supporting her campaign to transfer their support as they see fit."
Special Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/29 10/13 9/29
D. Hoffman 41% 15% 63% 37% 46% 36% 35% 23% 16%
B. Owens 36 62 14 43 35 36 36 33 28
D. Scozzafava 6 6 9 2 4 8 20 29 35
Undec 18 17 14 18 14 20 9 16 21
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 10/29
D. Hoffman 47%/33% 31%/50% 66%/19% 37%/37% 41%/37%
J. Biden 41 /37 64 /18 26 /53 40 /33 n/a
B. Owens 37 /38 65 /17 18 /55 35 /36 40 /36
D. Scozzafava 27 /48 36 /41 25 /54 21 /46 29 /51
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 10/31-11/1; surveyed 1,747 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.3% (release, 11/1). Party ID breakdown: 47%R, 33%D, 20%I. Tested: Hoffman, Owens and Scozzafava. Note: A three-way matchup question was also asked, but the wording was changed on 10/31 to reflect Scozzafava's withdrawl, and again on 11/1 to reflect her endorsement of Owens, so it is not included here.
General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Hoffman 54% 21% 75% 55% 60% 48%
B. Owens 38 74 15 33 33 42
Undec 8 5 10 11 7 10
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Hoffman 53% 25% 71% 58% 59% 48%
D. Scozzafava 36 57 24 31 32 40
Undec 10 17 5 11 9 12
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Owens 37% 68% 18% 29% 33% 40%
D. Scozzafava 34 21 45 28 34 34
Undec 30 11 38 43 34 26
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