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Friday, November 20, 2009

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/18). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
R. Giuliani 57% 50% 55% 58%
D. Paterson 30 39 33 30
Other 10 8 8 9
Undec 3 2 5 4

- Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
A. Cuomo 49% 58% 48% 55%
R. Giuliani 46 37 41 37
Other 2 3 6 3
Undec 4 3 6 5

- Now 9/22
R. Lazio 41% 38%
D. Paterson 37 38
Other 13 13
Undec 8 11

- Now 9/22
A. Cuomo 57% 65%
R. Lazio 29 26
Other 6 5
Undec 9 5

Paterson As Gov.
- Now 7/14 5/14 3/11
Approve 38% 32% 31% 39
Disapprove 59 67 67 59

Fav/Unfav
- Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
R. Giuliani 58%/38% 55%/44% 56%/39% 57%/38%
A. Cuomo 56 /34 68 /25 64 /32 65 /29
R. Lazio 36 /44 33 /49 n/a n/a
D. Paterson 36 /59 38 /57 38 /60 33 /65


A Marist College poll; conducted 11/12-17; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 365 Dems and 216 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 6.7%, respectively (releases, 11/19-20). Tested: Paterson, Cuomo, Giuliani and Lazio.
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 72% 70% 69% 70% 62%
D. Paterson 21 23 24 21 26
Undec 7 7 7 9 12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
R. Giuliani 84% 83% 77% 75% 78%
R. Lazio 13 13 16 14 17
Undec 3 4 7 11 5

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 11/08
R. Giuliani 60% 41% 88% 61% 60% 54% 56% 53% 47% 41%
D. Paterson 35 53 9 32 34 37 32 38 46 51
Undec 5 5 4 7 6 9 12 9 7 8

- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
D. Paterson 44% 66% 17% 40% 43% 41% 37% 47%
R. Lazio 44 21 74 47 43 40 40 35
Undec 12 13 9 13 14 19 23 18

- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 53% 72% 23% 52% 53% 51% 55% 56%
R. Giuliani 43 24 73 45 43 43 38 39
Undec 4 4 4 3 4 6 7 5

- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo 69% 86% 42% 70% 71% 68% 67% 71%
R. Lazio 24 7 50 25 21 22 22 20
Undec 7 7 8 6 8 10 11 9

Paterson As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15
Excellent/good 20% 23% 15% 19% 20% 21% 19% 26% 46% 44%
Fair/poor 76 71 83 78 76 76 77 71 48 48

Cuomo As AG
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 10/08
Excellent/good 66% 72% 61% 64% 69% 67% 70% 71% 50%
Fair/poor 28 20 36 29 26 27 25 23 34

Do You Want Paterson To Run For GOV?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 30% 34% 28% 27% 31% 29%
No 63 57 66 66 62 63

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