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Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Governor - Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/3-8; surveyed 1,236 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 474 Dems; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/10). Tested: Gov. Jodi Rell (R), ex-state House Speaker Jim Amann (D), Sec/State Susan Bysiewicz (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), state Sen. Gary LeBeau (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D) and Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D). (Note: Rell withdrew from the race on 11/9. For more on that, please see today's CT GOV story.)
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 2/8
S. Bysiewicz 26% 44%
N. Lamont 23 n/a
D. Malloy 9 12
J. Amman 3 4
G. LeBeau 2 n/a
R. Marconi 1 n/a
Other 1 3
Not vote 2 2
Unded 33 36

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/8
J. Rell 46% 12% 91% 56% 52% 41% 53%
S. Bysiewicz 40 74 5 26 35 45 32
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- 1
Not vote -- 1 -- -- -- 1 1
Undec 12 13 3 16 11 13 14

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Rell 53% 22% 94% 62% 56% 50%
N. Lamont 33 62 3 23 32 34
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Undec 12 14 2 13 10 14

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/8
J. Rell 52% 20% 92% 63% 57% 48% 58%
D. Malloy 33 66 5 19 31 36 26
Other 1 2 -- 1 2 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1 1
Undec 12 11 3 16 10 15 14

Reelect Rell In '10?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 12/17 7/08
Definitely 19% 5% 41% 20% 23% 14% 14% 15% 14% 13%
Probably 38 22 48 46 36 39 43 43 40 40
Probably not 19 28 6 16 18 20 21 19 18 20
Definite not 19 37 1 13 18 20 16 16 13 13
Undec 6 8 4 5 5 7 6 8 14 13

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 2/8
J. Rell 60%/29% 36%/51% 85%/ 6% 70%/18% 70%/17%
S. Bysiewicz 43 /11 55 / 3 26 /27 41 /12 40 /12
N. Lamont 31 /24 45 /11 12 /45 27 /27 n/a
D. Malloy 21 /10 32 / 3 7 /16 16 /14 19 /11
J. Amann 7 / 8 9 / 5 3 /13 6 / 9 7 /13
R. Marconi 5 / 3 5 / 2 10 / 1 4 / 5 n/a
G. LeBeau 4 / 4 7 / 4 2 / 1 2 / 5 n/a

Rell As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
Approve 64% 47% 86% 68% 67% 61% 59% 65% 73% 72% 75%
Disapprove 30 46 11 25 27 34 34 30 20 22 19

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