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Friday, November 20, 2009

Senate - Florida (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/16-18 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/19). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- All Men Wom
C. Crist 47% 44% 51%
M. Rubio 37 41 31
Undec 16 15 18

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 1/28
C. Crist 50% 19% 85% 52% 53% 47% 57% 5% 53% 49% 49%
K. Meek 33 57 6 32 31 35 27 65 36 37 28
Undec 17 24 9 16 16 18 16 30 11 14 23

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 1/28
K. Meek 38% 65% 6% 39% 35% 41% 33% 69% 39% 41% 31%
M. Rubio 30 11 54 28 35 25 34 4 26 25 22
Undec 32 24 40 33 30 34 33 27 35 34 47

If Crist Were To Run As An Indie Against Meek And Rubio, For Whom Would You Vote?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 32% 17% 39% 45% 33% 31% 36% 4% 37% 36%
K. Meek 31 56 5 27 28 34 25 66 35 35
M. Rubio 27 11 50 22 30 24 31 4 23 22
Undec 10 16 6 6 9 11 8 26 5 7

If Crist Were To Run As A Dem Against Rubio, For Whom Would You Vote?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 45% 54% 39% 40% 43% 47% 42% 52% 53% 54%
M. Rubio 34 14 57 34 40 28 41 4 23 21
Undec 21 32 4 26 17 25 17 44 24 25

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 1/28
C. Crist 59%/32% 52%/39% 67%/26% 58%/31% 65%/23%
K. Meek 23 / 9 40 / 5 5 /16 21 / 7 18 / 7
M. Rubio 21 /22 11 /29 35 /15 18 /21 11 /17

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