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Thursday, November 12, 2009

Senate - Connecticut (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/3-8; surveyed 1,236 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsamples of 474 Dems and 332 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.5% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 11/12). Tested: Sen. Chris Dodd (D), businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-Amb. Thomas Foley (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), state Sen. Sam Caligiuri (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
- Now 9/14 7/20 5/25
C. Dodd 55% 56% 52% 44%
M. Alpert 22 13 18 24
Other 1 4 2 1
Not vote 1 2 1 2
Undec 21 25 27 30

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
- Now 9/14 7/20 5/25
R. Simmons 28% 43% 42% 48%
L. McMahon 17 n/a n/a n/a
T. Foley 9 5 5 n/a
P. Schiff 5 2 -- n/a
S. Caligiuri 4 4 5 10
Other -- 2 1 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2
Undec 36 43 45 39

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
R. Simmons 49% 15% 87% 57% 52% 45% 44% 48% 45% 50% 43%
C. Dodd 38 68 6 29 35 41 39 39 39 34 42
Other -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 -- 2 2 1
Not vote 2 2 -- 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1
Undec 11 14 6 12 11 12 15 10 13 12 12

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. McMahon 43% 12% 79% 51% 47% 39%
C. Dodd 41 71 13 32 40 42
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1
Not vote 2 1 -- 3 2 1
Undec 14 17 7 13 11 18

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
C. Dodd 42% 72% 11% 35% 41% 44% 40% 42% 41% 37% 47%
S. Caligiuri 42 11 80 49 46 38 36 40 39 41 34
Other 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 2 1 1 3 2
Not vote 2 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
Undec 14 16 5 14 11 16 20 15 17 17 16

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 3/31
T. Foley 47% 12% 85% 58% 50% 43% 38% 42% 43%
C. Dodd 40 73 9 27 38 42 40 42 35
Other -- -- -- 1 -- 1 2 1 3
Not vote 1 1 -- -- 1 1 2 1 2
Undec 13 14 5 14 12 14 18 14 16

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20
C. Dodd 42% 74% 11% 34% 41% 43% 42% 43%
P. Schiff 41 10 81 47 44 38 36 38
Other 1 -- -- 1 -- 1 2 1
Not vote 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 15 16 6 17 13 17 19 16

Do You Feel That Dodd Deserves To Be Re-Elected?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 39% 65% 14% 30% 34% 43%
No 53 25 83 62 58 49
Undec 8 10 3 8 8 8

Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 9/14 7/20
C. Dodd 42%/49% 68%/22% 19%/77% 34%/59% 40%/48% 40%/50%
R. Simmons 40 /10 25 /16 61 / 7 42 / 7 41 /11 39 /12
T. Foley 20 / 6 11 / 8 33 / 3 21 / 4 12 / 6 17 / 5
L. McMahon 20 /13 7 /18 15 / 2 12 / 3 n/a n/a
S. Caligiuri 10 / 3 4 / 3 15 / 2 12 / 3 11 / 5 12 / 4
P. Schiff 7 / 4 1 / 5 13 / 2 8 / 4 6 / 2 7 / 3
M. Alpert 1 / 3 2 / 5 2 /-- -- / 1 2 / 2 3 / 1

Dodd As Sen.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
Approve 40% 65% 13% 34% 38% 43% 43% 42% 38% 33% 49%
Disapprove 54 28 86 60 56 52 49 52 53 58 44

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