House 2010

NM-02
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 2/16-18 for ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R); surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/19). Tested: Pearce and Rep. Harry Teague (D).

General Election Matchups

S. Pearce      48%
H. Teague      44
Undec           8

Generic GOPer  47%
Generic Dem    37

Re-Elect Teague?

Re-elect him   38%
Someone new    47

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 9/22                           Now 9/22
T. Branstad  53% 54%          B. Vander Plaats  46% 43%
C. Culver    37  34           C. Culver         40  39
Other         6   8           Other              7   9
Undec         4   4           Undec              7   9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     9/22
T. Branstad       57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         42 /55  43 /50

Culver As Gov.

-            Now 9/22
Approve      41% 43%
Disapprove   57  53

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4/0% (release, 2/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve     56% 51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%  54%  53%
Disapprove  37  40   40    30    42   36   34   36   37

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. Sandoval   38%
J. Gibbons    32
M. Montandon   9
Undec         19M

General Election Matchups

R. Reid       47%
J. Gibbons    36
Undec         14

M. Montandon  40%
R. Reid       40
Undec         19M

B. Sandoval   50%
R. Reid       34
Undec         15

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   37%/10%
J. Gibbons    29 /58
R. Reid       23 /37
M. Montandon  10 / 5

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/16-21; surveyed 1,662 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland  44% 82% 11% 38% 38% 48% 40%  46%  43% 51% 51%
J. Kasich      39   9  73  38  45  33  40   36   38  32  31
Other           1   1  --   1   1  --   1    2    2   1   1
Not vote        2  --  --   4   2   1   1    1    1   1   2
Undec          15   8  16  19  13  17  18   15   16  16  15

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        48% 73% 28% 44% 45% 50% 45%  48%  46% 57% 56%
Disapprove     40  20  59  43  47  35  43   42   42  29  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/9
T. Strickland  45%/36% 68%/15% 22%/59% 45%/37% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      26 /10  10 /17  42 / 4  29 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        35% 60% 16% 33% 35% 35% 33%  33%  33% 43% 39%
Disapprove     53  32  71  56  55  51  52   54   53  43  45

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Approve        32% 51% 15% 30% 32% 32% 36%  32% 43% 44%  48%
Disapprove     51  31  68  54  53  49  47   53  40  36   30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      41% 15% 67% 44% 48% 35% 41%
T. Strickland  35  64  11  31  33  37  33
No difference   2   2   1   2   2   1  --
Undec          22  19  20  23  17  27  27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      42% 18% 70% 43% 50% 35% 42%
T. Strickland  36  66  11  31  36  37  34
No difference   1   1   1   1   1   1  --
Undec          21  15  19  25  14  27  25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      36% 13% 63% 36% 41% 31%
T. Strickland  35  63  13  31  34  36
No difference   6   5   3   8   8   4
Undec          22  19  21  25  16  28

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland  40% 70% 14% 37% 37% 42%
J. Kasich      36  11  66  35  42  31
No difference   3   1   3   5   5   2
Undec          21  17  18  23  16  25

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Yes    34% 55% 17% 31% 36% 32% 32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No     45  28  59  48  46  43  43   40   40  32  30   27

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/19-21; surveyed 361 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.2% and +/- 4.9%, respectively (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R), Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R), physician Alma Ludivina Aguado (D), teacher Felix Alvarado (D), private investigator Bill Dear (D), Prairie View A & M assoc. prof. Clement Glenn (D), '06 GOP candidate/rancher/home-builder Star Locke (D), hair-care mogul Farouk Shami (D) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
B. White      59% 57% 61% 72% 52% 48% 38% 49%
F. Shami      12  17   9   6  14  19  25  19
F. Alvarado    5   4   5  --  --  14  --   5
A. Aguado      3   3   2   2  --   5  --   2
C. Glenn       2   3   1   1   3  --  13   1
B. Dear        1   3  --   1   3  --  --   0
S. Locke       0   1  --  --  --  --  13   0
Undec         18  12  22  24  17  28  14  13

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
R. Perry      40% 34% 47% 39%
K. Hutchison  31  34  28  28
D. Medina     20  24  16  24
Undec          9   8   9  10

Primary Runoff Election Matchups (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      52% 48% 57%
K. Hutchison  35  37  33
Undec         12  15   9

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      56% 52% 60%
D. Medina     36  40  32
Undec          8   8   9

Perry As Gov. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       50% 44% 56% 50%
Disapprove    41  45  36  36

Hutchison As Sen. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       47% 47% 48% 51%
Disapprove    43  44  42  28

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom     2/7
G.W. Bush     79%/14% 76%/18% 82%/10%  n/a
R. Paul       38 /30  43 /32  32 /28   n/a
D. Medina     36 /30  40 /29  32 /32  40%/ 9%

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Boxer As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 47% 48% 39% 43% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54%
Disapprove 43 45 49 47 48 44 42 47 41

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 9 9 11 11 13 14

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 31 32 35 31 30
Other 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 45 47 45 49 

Fav/Unfav

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35% 57%/36%
M. Rubio 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31 n/a
K. Meek 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34 37 /36

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 53% 59%
R. Conlin 36 31
Other 5 4
Undec 6 5 

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 56% 61%
T. Fiegen 28 25
Other 6 4
Undec 11 10 

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 55% 59% 56%
B. Krause 33 26 30
Other 5 7 7
Undec 8 8 7 

Fav/Unfav

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin 35 /45 35 /45 n/a
B. Krause 27 /31 27 /35 33 /30
T. Fiegen 22 /34 23 /37 n/a 

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), state Sen. Mark Amodei (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate/businessman Jon Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

S. Lowden 35%
D. Tarkanian 28
S. Angle 8
C. Christensen 4
M. Amodei 1
J. Chachas 0
Undec 24 

General Election Matchups

H. Reid 40%
M. Amodei 25
J. Ashjian 19
Undec 16

H. Reid 37%
S. Angle 32
J. Ashjian 16
Undec 14

H. Reid 39%
J. Ashjian 22
J. Chachas 21
Undec 17

S. Lowden 42%
H. Reid 37
J. Ashjian 9
Undec 12 

D. Tarkanian 40%
H. Reid 39
J. Ashjian 11
Undec 11 

Fav/Unfav

S. Lowden 39%/17%
D. Tarkanian 35 /17
H. Reid 35 /58
C. Christensen 8 / 5
M. Amodei 7 / 5
J. Chachas 3 / 4 

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 2/9-10 for the Progressive Change Campaign Cmte (D), Democracy for America (D) and Credo Action (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/22). Tested:

General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Lowden 53% 20% 88% 58% 60% 46%
H. Reid 39 72 5 32 36 42
Undec 8 8 7 10 4 12 

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Tarkanian 54% 21% 89% 59% 60% 48%
H. Reid 40 73 5 34 36 44
Undec 6 6 6 7 4 8

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Wyden As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 50% 53% 53% 51% 55% 56% 53% 55% 55%
Disapprove 37 40 40 40 32 35 34 37 33 

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Murray As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 43% 55% 52% 47% 48% 47% 50% 56% 50%
Disapprove 50 39 40 45 41 43 45 35 34 

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 1/25-26; surveyed 400 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release).

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/21   7/30
S. Parnell  73%/15% 72%/13% 67%/ 8%

New Mexico
A NMSU poll; conducted 2/9-13; surveyed 444 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R)

Primary Election Matchup

P. Domenici      29%
S. Martinez      12
A. Weh            7
D. Turner         7
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            43

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Wht Blk His 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     64% 72% 51% 55% 67%  75%   70%   66%  65%  65%
D. Paterson  22  14  33  21  23   16    20    20   23   23
Undec        14  14  16  24  10    8    10    14   12   13

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
R. Lazio     46% 31% 75% 48% 42%  40%  42%   37%   35%  37%
D. Paterson  39  56  14  32 42   42   39    39    39   38
Undec        15  13  11  20  16   18   19    23    26   25 

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
A. Cuomo     63% 80% 36% 56% 66%  68%  67%   66%   64%  66%
R. Lazio     26  11  54  28  24   22   22   21    18   16
Undec        11  10  10  15  10   10   11    14    18   18

Elect Paterson?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Elect him        19% 25% 13% 13% 21%  19%  17%   15%   14%
Prefer another   64  58  75  64  60   65   69    72    71
Undec            17  16  12  23  19   16   15    13    16

Paterson As Gov.

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Excellent/good   22% 28% 16% 20% 24%  23%  21%   19%   18%
Fair/poor        76  71  83  80  75   76   79   79    80 

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14    12/9
A. Cuomo     66%/21% 74%/14% 55%/30% 62%/27% 67%/21% 67%/19%
D. Paterson  35 /55  39 /48  27 /65  33 /59  38 /52  36 /53
R. Lazio     31 /26  31 /27  33 /23  29 /27  27 /30  25 /25

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
For GOV          51% 59% 42% 46% 53%  50%  52%   49%   47%
Reelect as AG    33  28  37  35  30   31   28    36    34 

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now      41% 50% 28% 36% 37%  35%  33%
Time to wait     43 34  57  47  49   51   52

Regardless Of Who The Candidates Are, And All Other Things Being Equal, Would You Prefer The Gov. Elected This Year To Be ___?

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
Someone with a lot of experience in Albany  53% 61% 42% 47%
An Albany outsider                          36  29  48  40

Recently, Rumors Circulated That Paterson Was Involved In Some Activites That Could Lead To His Resignation. Paterson Denies Any Wrongdoing.

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
I may not agree with everything Paterson    66% 69% 63% 67%
 does, but I don't believe the rumors
I'm afraid Paterson may very well have      22  21  26  20
 acted inappropriately while in office 

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/19). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

B. Bradbury   41%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
A. Alley      35              A. Alley      34
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         16              Undec         16

B. Bradbury   39%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
C. Dudley     36              C. Dudley     34
Other          7              Other          7
Undec         17              Undec         15

B. Bradbury   38%             J. Kitzhaber  40%
J. Lim        35              J. Lim        38
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         17              Undec         14

B. Bradbury   48%             J. Kitzhaber  48%
B. Sizemore   23              B. Sizemore   25
Other         16              Other         15
Undec         13              Undec         11 

Fav/Unfav

B. Bradbury   46%/31%
J. Kitzhaber  44 /42
C. Dudley     40 /24
J. Lim        31 /28
A. Alley     30 /29
B. Sizemore   22 /60 

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 442 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio    54% 49%  43%   35%   31%
C. Crist    36  37   43    49    53
Other        4   3    5     4     5
Undec        7  11    9    12    11

Crist As Gov.
Fav/Unfav

-           Now     1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio    67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist    54 /44  62 /37  61 /38  67 /32  75 /23

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 1/31-2/3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 805 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/21).

Grassley As Sen.

-           Now 11/11 9/16 4/1 1/09
Approve     54% 57%   57%  66% 75%
Disapprove  28  32    30   20  12

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/22).

Re-Elect Schumer?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Re-elect him    55% 71% 33% 48% 51% 58%
Prefer another  36  23  57  40  43  30
Undec            9   7  10  11   6  12

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/9    11/12
C. Schumer  61%/29% 80%/16% 27%/69% 57%/40% 60%/28% 60%/30%

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '06 TN SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D), '06 candidate Jonathan Tasini (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and Daily News owner Mort Zuckerman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His 1/14
K. Gillibrand  42% 39% 44% 50% 30% 24% 41%
H. Ford        16  21  13  15  19  17  17
J. Tasini       4   6   2   3   4   7   5
Undec          38  34  40  45  34  27  37

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
G. Pataki      47% 30% 74% 55% 54% 40% 51%  43%  44%   46%
K. Gillibrand  41  57  16  32  36  45  38   46   45    41
Undec          13  13  10  13  10  15  11   12   12    13

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  51% 69% 25% 44% 45% 55%
B. Blakeman    24  12  49  26  32  18
Undec          25  20  26  31  23  27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  49% 65% 24% 43% 43% 53%
M. Zuckerman   29  14  57  30  38  22
Undec          22  21  19  27  20  25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14
G. Pataki      48% 33% 73% 55% 56% 42% 54%
H. Ford        34  49  13  27  28  39  32
Undec          17  18  14  18  15  19  14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Ford        41% 60% 14% 32% 39% 43%
B. Blakeman    23   9  49  26  30  18
Undec          36  31  37  42  31  40

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Ford        40% 59% 12% 31% 35% 43%
M. Zuckerman   26  12  56  25  35  19
Undec          34  29  33  44  30  38

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14 12/9 11/12
Elect her      30% 36% 23% 27% 28% 32% 29%  30%  33%
Prefer another 40  31  55  44  47  35  45   34  38
Undec          30  33  22  28  25  33  26   35   29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14
G. Pataki      56%/34% 53%/38% 62%/29% 58%/33% 55%/34%
K. Gillibrand  34 /28  41 /18  21 /44  36 /30  30 /32
H. Ford        25 /19  19 /19  20 /20  22 /19  21 /16
M. Zuckerman   18 /18  17 /20  16 /16  21 /17   n/a
B. Blakeman     5 /11   5 /11   6 / 9   4 /11   n/a