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Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Boxer As Sen.
- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 47% 48% 39% 43% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54%
Disapprove 43 45 49 47 48 44 42 47 41

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups
- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 9 9 11 11 13 14

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 31 32 35 31 30
Other 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.
- Now 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35% 57%/36%
M. Rubio 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31 n/a
K. Meek 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34 37 /36

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups
- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 53% 59%
R. Conlin 36 31
Other 5 4
Undec 6 5

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 56% 61%
T. Fiegen 28 25
Other 6 4
Undec 11 10

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 55% 59% 56%
B. Krause 33 26 30
Other 5 7 7
Undec 8 8 7

Fav/Unfav
- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin 35 /45 35 /45 n/a
B. Krause 27 /31 27 /35 33 /30
T. Fiegen 22 /34 23 /37 n/a

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), state Sen. Mark Amodei (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate/businessman Jon Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
S. Lowden 35%
D. Tarkanian 28
S. Angle 8
C. Christensen 4
M. Amodei 1
J. Chachas 0
Undec 24

General Election Matchups
H. Reid 40%
M. Amodei 25
J. Ashjian 19
Undec 16

H. Reid 37%
S. Angle 32
J. Ashjian 16
Undec 14

H. Reid 39%
J. Ashjian 22
J. Chachas 21
Undec 17

S. Lowden 42%
H. Reid 37
J. Ashjian 9
Undec 12

D. Tarkanian 40%
H. Reid 39
J. Ashjian 11
Undec 11

Fav/Unfav
S. Lowden 39%/17%
D. Tarkanian 35 /17
H. Reid 35 /58
C. Christensen 8 / 5
M. Amodei 7 / 5
J. Chachas 3 / 4

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 2/9-10 for the Progressive Change Campaign Cmte (D), Democracy for America (D) and Credo Action (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/22). Tested:

General Election Matchups
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Lowden 53% 20% 88% 58% 60% 46%
H. Reid 39 72 5 32 36 42
Undec 8 8 7 10 4 12

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Tarkanian 54% 21% 89% 59% 60% 48%
H. Reid 40 73 5 34 36 44
Undec 6 6 6 7 4 8

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Wyden As Sen.
- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 50% 53% 53% 51% 55% 56% 53% 55% 55%
Disapprove 37 40 40 40 32 35 34 37 33

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Murray As Sen.
- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 43% 55% 52% 47% 48% 47% 50% 56% 50%
Disapprove 50 39 40 45 41 43 45 35 34

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