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Monday, February 22, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 442 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio 54% 49% 43% 35% 31%
C. Crist 36 37 43 49 53
Other 4 3 5 4 5
Undec 7 11 9 12 11

Crist As Gov.
Fav/Unfav

-           Now     1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio 67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist 54 /44 62 /37 61 /38 67 /32 75 /23

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 1/31-2/3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 805 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/21).

Grassley As Sen.
-           Now 11/11 9/16 4/1 1/09
Approve 54% 57% 57% 66% 75%
Disapprove 28 32 30 20 12

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/22).

Re-Elect Schumer?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Re-elect him 55% 71% 33% 48% 51% 58%
Prefer another 36 23 57 40 43 30
Undec 9 7 10 11 6 12

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/9    11/12
C. Schumer 61%/29% 80%/16% 27%/69% 57%/40% 60%/28% 60%/30%

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '06 TN SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D), '06 candidate Jonathan Tasini (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and Daily News owner Mort Zuckerman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His 1/14
K. Gillibrand 42% 39% 44% 50% 30% 24% 41%
H. Ford 16 21 13 15 19 17 17
J. Tasini 4 6 2 3 4 7 5
Undec 38 34 40 45 34 27 37

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
G. Pataki 47% 30% 74% 55% 54% 40% 51% 43% 44% 46%
K. Gillibrand 41 57 16 32 36 45 38 46 45 41
Undec 13 13 10 13 10 15 11 12 12 13

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 51% 69% 25% 44% 45% 55%
B. Blakeman 24 12 49 26 32 18
Undec 25 20 26 31 23 27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 49% 65% 24% 43% 43% 53%
M. Zuckerman 29 14 57 30 38 22
Undec 22 21 19 27 20 25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14
G. Pataki 48% 33% 73% 55% 56% 42% 54%
H. Ford 34 49 13 27 28 39 32
Undec 17 18 14 18 15 19 14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Ford 41% 60% 14% 32% 39% 43%
B. Blakeman 23 9 49 26 30 18
Undec 36 31 37 42 31 40

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Ford 40% 59% 12% 31% 35% 43%
M. Zuckerman 26 12 56 25 35 19
Undec 34 29 33 44 30 38

Elect Gillibrand?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/14 12/9 11/12
Elect her 30% 36% 23% 27% 28% 32% 29% 30% 33%
Prefer another 40 31 55 44 47 35 45 34 38
Undec 30 33 22 28 25 33 26 35 29

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14
G. Pataki 56%/34% 53%/38% 62%/29% 58%/33% 55%/34%
K. Gillibrand 34 /28 41 /18 21 /44 36 /30 30 /32
H. Ford 25 /19 19 /19 20 /20 22 /19 21 /16
M. Zuckerman 18 /18 17 /20 16 /16 21 /17 n/a
B. Blakeman 5 /11 5 /11 6 / 9 4 /11 n/a


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