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Thursday, June 3, 2010

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/18 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal 56% 48% 52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon 33 45 39 35 31 36 34
Other 4 4 6 3 3 3 3
Undec 7 3 4 6 7 4 5

-              Now 5/18 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal 55% 53% 54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff 32 37 29 32 27 24
Other 3 4 6 4 6 6
Undec 9 5 11 6 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/18    5/4     4/7     3/2
R. Blumenthal 64%/32% 66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26%
P. Schiff 38 /26 43 /29 35 /33 41 /34 37 /34
L. McMahon 38 /47 54 /41 55 /31 45 /45 46 /42

Nevada
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-2; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: 06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Guaranteed Financial Services pres. Gary Bernstein (R), Sherry Brooks (R), Wall St. Banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), ex-Assemb. Min. Leader Garn Mabey (R), real estate investor Gary Marinch (R), Brian Nadell (R), project mgr./USMC vet Bill Parson (R), Cecilia Stern (R), Terry Suominen (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
S. Angle 33% 38% 28%
D. Tarkanian 26 27 25
S. Lowden 25 23 27
J. Chachas 4 2 5
C. Christensen 4 3 4
G. Mabey 1 1 1
B. Parson 1 1 0
G. Marinch 0 -- 0
B. Nadell 0 -- 0
G. Bernstein -- -- --
S. Brooks -- -- --
C. Stern -- -- --
T. Suominen -- -- --
Undec 7 6 9

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Men     Wom
D. Tarkanian 65%/17% 69%/15% 62 /19
S. Lowden 52 /32 52 /31 51 /32
S. Angle 55 /25 64 /18 46 /31
B. Obama 9 /87 7 /90 10 /83

If It Was Apparent Your First Choice Could Not Win, For Which Candidate Would You Vote?
-               All Men Wom
S. Lowden 33% 17% 42%
D. Tarkanian 25 33 21
S. Angle 14 25 8
Undec 14 8 17

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance Of Defeating Reid In The General Election?
-               All Men Wom
S. Lowden 33% 30% 36%
S. Angle 27 31 23
D. Tarkanian 23 21 25
Undec 15 15 15

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