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Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Governor 2010

Maine
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 5/21-29; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (Christian, WCSH6.com, 6/1). Tested: '90/'92 ME-02 nominee/ex-ME Dept. of Conservation Commis./ex-state Rep. Pat McGowan (D), '84 SEN nominee/'90 ME-01 candidate/state Senate Pres./ex-state House Speaker Libby Mitchell (D), ex-ME Econ./Commun. Dev. Commis./ex-state House Speaker John Richardson (D), ex-AG/ex-state House Speaker Steve Rowe (D), businesswoman Rosa Scarcelli (D), atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
L. Mitchell   13%
S. Rowe 12
R. Scarcelli 7
P. McGowan 6
Undec 62

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
L. Otten      17%
P. LePage 10
P. Mills 8
S. Abbott 8
B. Beardsley 4
B. Poliquin 3
M. Jacobson 2
Undec 47

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 890 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 6/2). Party ID breakdown: 37%R, 35%D, 28%I. Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bouchard 39% 6% 69% 40% 39% 39%
V. Bernero 34 71 8 22 37 30
Undec 27 23 23 38 24 31

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Cox 38% 6% 70% 33% 35% 40%
V. Bernero 36 67 7 35 39 33
Undec 27 27 23 32 26 28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
V. Bernero 31% 67% 4% 22% 34% 28%
T. George 30 1 61 23 28 31
Undec 39 32 34 55 37 41

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hoekstra 41% 6% 75% 41% 40% 42%
V. Bernero 34 74 5 22 37 30
Undec 25 20 20 38 22 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Snyder 44% 6% 72% 53% 45% 43%
V. Bernero 28 66 5 10 30 26
Undec 28 28 23 36 26 31

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bouchard 38% 5% 71% 35% 39% 37%
A. Dillon 29 65 6 14 31 26
Undec 33 30 23 51 29 37

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Cox 40% 10% 73% 34% 41% 40%
A. Dillon 32 66 6 25 35 30
Undec 27 24 21 41 24 30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. George 32% 5% 63% 23% 28% 35%
A. Dillon 31 69 6 15 35 27
Undec 38 26 31 61 37 39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hoekstra 41% 8% 77% 36% 44% 39%
A. Dillon 32 71 5 20 34 31
Undec 27 21 19 44 22 30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Snyder 46% 8% 76% 54% 48% 45%
A. Dillon 26 63 5 8 29 23
Undec 28 29 19 37 23 32

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra 27%/23% 8%/28% 40%/15% 32%/27% 31%/23% 23%/23%
R. Snyder 25 /13 11 /19 29 /11 37 / 9 27 /17 22 / 9
M. Cox 25 /38 10 /48 36 /24 28 /43 31 /37 19 /38
M. Bouchard 18 /19 7 /21 24 /15 23 /21 18 /26 18 /13
V. Bernero 11 /12 13 / 6 4 /17 16 /14 14 /11 7 /13
A. Dillon 9 /20 17 /12 5 /23 6 /27 11 /21 8 /20
T. George 4 / 9 3 / 9 5 /11 5 / 8 5 /10 4 / 9

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