Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

J. McCain      54%
R. Glassman    32
Other           8
Undec           6

J.D. Hayworth  48%
R. Glassman    39
Other           7
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     11/18
J. McCain      52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth  43 /49   n/a
R. Glassman    32 /34   n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: McCain and Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  42  41   31   43
Other           2   3    7    6
Undec           8   8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

Approve        14%
Disapprove     86

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      60% 67% 53%
J. DioGuardi    5   5   5
B. Blakeman     2   2   3
D. Malpass      2   1   2
Undec          31  25  37

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   24% 28% 19%
B. Blakeman     7   6   8
D. Malpass      5   5   4
Undec          65  61  68

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 18% 40% 45% 47% 48%  51%
B. Blakeman    26   9  54  32  31  21  24   24
Undec          28  25  28  28  24  32  28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 15% 41% 43% 48%
J. DioGuardi   27  11  57  31  31  24
Undec          27  23  28  29  26  28

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 68% 17% 37% 44% 48%
D. Malpass     24   8  51  30  28  21
Undec          30  24  32  33  28  31

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
G. Pataki      47% 33% 73% 49% 54% 42% 45%  47%  51%  43%
K. Gillibrand  38  56  13  33  34  41  39   41   38   46
Undec          15  11  14  18  12  17  15   13   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
G. Pataki      62%/29% 59%/34% 77%/15% 55%/31% 56%/33%
K. Gillibrand  34 /25  42 /18  21 /37  33 /26  32 /29
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8  10 / 8  13 / 7   9 /11   n/a
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 8
D. Malpass      5 / 5   6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 4   n/a

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
Elect her      27% 34% 17% 28% 26% 29% 28%  30%  29%  30%
Prefer another 40  31  51  45  45  35  38   40   45   34
Undec          33  35  32  27  29  36  34   30   26   35