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Friday, April 16, 2010

House 2010

HI-01
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/11-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16) Tested: ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 30%R, 31%I.

Special Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Asn Oth
C. Djou 32% 5% 72% 28% 38% 26% 47% 26% 22%
E. Case 29 44 8 29 28 30 26 32 28
C. Hanabusa 28 46 4 28 24 32 17 31 37
Other 4 3 4 6 5 3 4 3 5
Undec 7 2 12 9 5 9 6 8 8

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama 61%/35% 85%/12% 24%/72% 66%/29% 57%/39% 65%/31%
E. Case 47 /25 71 /13 18 /45 44 /22 44 /27 50 /23
C. Djou 40 /27 20 /44 68 / 9 39 /23 43 /25 37 /29
C. Hanabusa 37 /31 55 /17 18 /48 33 /31 35 /34 39 /28

FL-10
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/5-8 for state Sen. Charlie Justice (D); surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/14). Tested: Justice and Rep. Bill Young (R).

General Election Matchup
C.W. Young    49%
C. Justice 34

Re-Elect Young?
Re-elect him  47%
Someone new 41

TN-04
An OnMessage Inc. (R) poll; conducted 3/21-22 for the TN GOP; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.9% (Humphrey, "Humphrey on the Hill," Knoxville News, 4/16). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Davis (D), atty/ex-Rep. Akin CoS Jack Bailey (R) and physician Scott DesJarlais (R).

General Election Matchups
L. Davis        44%
J. Bailey 33

L. Davis        44%
S. DesJarlais 33

Generic GOPer   44%
Generic Dem 29

Fav/Unfav
L. Davis    45%/30%
B. Obama 34 /60
N. Pelosi 21 /66

Direction Of U.S.
Right dir.  20%
Wrong dir. 70

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