Senate 2010

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 3/23-30 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,515 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 511 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 31%R, 20% decline-to-state, 4% other. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Asseb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell  29% 32% 25%
C. Fiorina   25  28  21
C. DeVore     9   9   9
Other         4   2   6
Undec        33  28  39

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom
B. Boxer         48% 71% 13% 50% 47% 45% 50%
Generic GOPer    34  12  72  26  32  39  30
Other             6   6   7   5   8   7   6
Undec            12  11   9  18  14  10  13

Boxer As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom 11/2
Approve      40% 61% 12% 38% 42% 38% 43% 43%
Disapprove   38  18  71  31  39  43  33  36

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     11/2
B. Boxer     46%/37% 43%/42% 48%/33% 49%/36%
T. Campbell  18 /12  21 /15  15 / 9  17 / 8
C. Fiorina   11 /16  14 /20   9 /13   9 /12
C. DeVore     8 / 6   9 / 7   6 / 5   6 / 4

As You May Know, Obama Recently Signed Into Law Legislation To Reform Health Care. Though The Senate Is Still Debating This Bill And May Make Some Adjustments This Week, If Your Rep. Or Sen. Supported This Bill To Change The Health Care System Would That Make You More/Less Likely To Support Your Rep/ Or Sen. In Nov., Or Would It Not Make Much Difference In Your Vote?

-               All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom
More likely     46% 61% 23% 48% 50% 46% 47%
Less likely     29  15  55  23  22  32  27
No difference   19  18  17  25  19  19  19

How Important A Factor Is It That Someone Is A "True Conservative" When Considering Who You Will Support For The GOP Nod For SEN Or GOV? (GOPers)

-                        All Men Wom
Extremely important      20% 20% 20%
Very important           26  24  28
Somewhat important       31  30  43
Not at all important     20  21  19

When Considering Whom To Support For The GOP Nod For SEN Or GOV, Would You Prefer A Strong Conservative Candidate Who Can Motivate GOPers, Or Do You Prefer A More Centrist Candidate Who Has Greater Appeal To Indies? (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
Centrist         46% 52% 40%
Conservative     42  38  45
Both              6   5   6

Iowa
A Research 2000 poll; conducted 2/18-20 for the Progressive Change Campaign Cmte (D)/Democracy for America (D)/Credo Action (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/5). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I.

Re-Elect Grassley?

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Re-elect him  42% 12% 81% 39% 48% 36%
Someone new   31  62   8  22  27  35
Undec         27  26  11  39  25  29

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/2). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
R. Portman  45% 43% 42% 43%  40%  40%
J. Brunner  38  37  38  40   33   38
Other        4   6   5   5    7    5
Undec       13  15  15  13   20   18

-           Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
R. Portman  43% 44% 43% 44%  38%  41%
L. Fisher   38  39  39  37   36   40
Other        4   5   5   4    8    6
Undec       14  12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7    9/23
R. Portman  45%/26% 45%/27% 45%/24% 49%/25% 48%/21% 45%/23%
J. Brunner  44 /41  39 /38  43 /32  37 /39  34 /36  37 /36
L. Fisher   39 /38  41 /37  38 /39  41 /39  36 /35  42 /34