LCV Polls

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 3/23-30 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,515 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 511 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 31%R, 20% decline-to-state, 4% other. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  60% 60% 61%
S. Poizner  20  23  17
Other        3   3   3
Undec       16  13  19

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-           All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom
M. Whitman  44% 27% 70% 40% 61% 45% 44%
J. Brown    41  58  18  39  37  44  38
Other        2   2   2   1   0   1   3
Undec       13  13  11  20   1  11  15

-           All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom
J. Brown    53% 72% 29% 47% 66% 59% 48%
S. Poizner  22   6  50  17  16  24  21
Other        5   5   5   6   8   5   6
Undec       19  17  17  30  11  13  25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     11/2
J. Brown    41%/28% 43%/32% 39%/25% 44%/27%
M. Whitman  30 /23  31 /26  30 /21  17 /14
S. Poizner  15 /23  15 /29  15 /19  11 / 7

Is It More Important To You That A GOV Candidate Has A Background Working In Business, Or Is It More Important To You That A GOV Candidate Has A Background In Gov't?

-           All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom 11/2
Business    40% 26% 59% 41% 50% 46% 35% 41%
Gov't       35  48  18  33  27  32  38  41
Both        15  14  17  16  12  14  16   9
Neither      6   5   2   3   4   3   4   6

How Important A Factor Is It That Someone Is A "True Conservative" When Considering Who You Will Support For The GOP Nod For SEN Or GOV? (GOPers)?

-                       All Men Wom
Extremely important     20% 20% 20%
Very important          26  24  28
Somewhat important      31  30  43
Not at all important    20  21  19

When Considering Whom To Support For The GOP Nod For SEN Or GOV, Would You Prefer A Strong Conservative Candidate Who Can Motivate GOPers, Or Do You Prefer A More Centrist Candidate Who Has Greater Appeal To Indies? (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
Centrist        46% 52% 40%
Conservative    42  38  45
Both             6   5   6

Iowa
A Magellan Data And Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 1,353 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 4/1). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       50% 19% 79% 55% 54% 46%
C. Culver         34  69   7  21  33  36
Other              8   5   9  10   7   9
Undec              8   8   5  13   6   9

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Culver         38% 73%  8% 28% 37% 40%
R. Roberts        32   9  58  29  37  27
Other             12   7  15  17  11  14
Undec             18  11  19  26  15  20

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Vander Plaats  40% 11% 74% 36% 45% 35%
C. Culver         39  74   8  29  38  39
Other              9   6   9  12   7  10
Undec             13  10  10  23  10  16

Culver As Gov.

-             All Dem GOP Ind
Approve       30% 57%  9% 19%
Disapprove    56  28  81  63

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       48%/36%
C. Culver         33 /58
B. Vander Plaats  26 /31
R. Roberts        12 /22