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Thursday, April 1, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 1,270 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/31). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 36%D, 21%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne 48% 11% 84% 41% 52% 45% 62% 10% 41% 39%
A. Davis 32 67 5 25 33 31 21 64 31 35
Undec 20 23 11 34 15 24 18 26 28 26

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey 44% 14% 70% 41% 45% 43% 54% 12% 41% 31%
A. Davis 33 65 10 28 36 31 23 67 28 39
Undec 23 21 20 31 19 26 23 21 31 31

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James 42% 9% 73% 35% 45% 40% 54% 9% 31% 35%
A. Davis 33 65 7 30 35 31 22 66 38 37
Undec 25 25 20 35 20 29 24 26 31 28

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore 43% 12% 72% 39% 46% 42% 54% 12% 36% 38%
A. Davis 37 70 12 32 40 35 28 67 28 41
Undec 19 18 16 29 15 23 18 21 36 21

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne 43% 7% 78% 34% 47% 40% 56% 7% 31% 41%
R. Sparks 30 60 6 28 34 27 21 57 36 27
Undec 26 32 16 38 19 32 22 37 33 33

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey 39% 10% 67% 32% 41% 38% 49% 9% 36% 29%
R. Sparks 33 62 9 32 36 30 23 60 36 33
Undec 28 28 24 35 23 32 27 31 28 39

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James 38% 5% 71% 28% 40% 38% 50% 6% 23% 32%
R. Sparks 33 62 8 33 37 30 25 57 38 32
Undec 29 33 20 39 24 33 25 38 38 37

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore 42% 9% 72% 37% 42% 41% 53% 10% 28% 38%
R. Sparks 37 67 12 38 42 33 29 61 38 36
Undec 21 24 17 25 16 25 18 29 33 25

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Moore 33%/34% 17%/42% 47%/25% 32%/38% 35%/36% 31%/33%
R. Sparks 20 /20 26 /17 14 /23 21 /20 26 /24 14 /18
A. Davis 20 /35 30 /33 13 /40 19 /30 24 /38 18 /33
K. Ivey 19 /26 19 /26 19 /27 19 /24 17 /29 20 /23
B. Byrne 18 /18 5 /32 30 / 8 14 /16 20 /21 17 /16
T. James 14 /24 10 /27 20 /21 10 /27 18 /29 11 /21

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1).

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 74% 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 25 22 24 29 28 30

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup
B. Otter    60%
K. Allred 28
Other 3
Undec 9

Otter As Gov.
Approve     60%
Disapprove 37

Fav/Unfav
B. Otter    62%/35%
K. Allred 34 /34

Maryland
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-30 for the MD Dem Party; surveyed 409 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/1).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom
B. Ehrlich 59% 66% 53%
Another GOPer 31 26 35
Undec 10 7 12

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich 46% 49% 47% 47% 48% 46%
T. Strickland 45 38 41 40 39 45
Other 2 6 5 4 3 3
Undec 7 7 8 8 11 7

Strickland As Gov.
-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve 47% 43% 46% 43% 48% 47%
Disapprove 52 53 53 54 50 50

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland 46 /48 46 /48 44 /51 46 /46 48 /46

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