Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/18). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      48% 53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  41  31   43
Other           3   7    6
Undec           8   8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20    11/18
J. McCain      60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

California
A Field Poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 748 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Oversample of 353 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/17
T. Campbell  28% 34% 21% 30%
C. Fiorina   22  26  18  25
C. DeVore     9   7  12   6
Undec        41  33  49  39

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/17
T. Campbell  44% 38%
B. Boxer     43  48
Undec        13  14

-            Now 1/17 10/6
B. Boxer     45% 51%  50%
C. DeVore    41  34   33
Undec        14  15   17

-            Now 1/17 10/6 3/1
B. Boxer     45% 50%  49%  55%
C. Fiorina   44  35   35   25
Undec        11  15   16   20

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/17    10/6
B. Boxer     38%/51% 60%/25% 11%/84% 37%/54% 48%/39% 48%/39%
T. Campbell  23 /18  18 /21  31 /13  20 /18  22 /14  20 /21
C. Fiorina   20 /22  15 /29  24 /17  23 /14  16 /18  12 /16
C. DeVore     9 /13   7 /14  11 /11  12 /12   6 / 9   9 / 9

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 3/12-15; surveyed 878 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 3/17). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        43% 14% 84% 40% 48% 39% 44%  45%  45%   44%
C. Cunningham  32  59   3  20  31  33  32   36   36    31
Undec          25  27  13  40  21  28  24   19   20    25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        43% 13% 85% 38% 49% 37% 44%  46%  43%   45%
K. Lewis       32  59   3  18  30  34  31   34   37    32
Undec          25  28  12  44  21  29  25   20   21    23

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        41% 12% 83% 37% 48% 35% 43%  44%  42%   45%
E. Marshall    36  64   5  21  34  37  33   37   37    34
Undec          23  24  12  42  17  28  23   18   21    21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr        41% 10% 84% 39% 48% 35% 42%  45%  42%   44%
Generic Dem    39  70   2  28  36  41  35   36   41    40
Undec          20  20  14  33  16  24  23   20   17    16

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
Approve        35% 12% 64% 37% 40% 31% 35%  36%  35%   40%
Disapprove     37  56  12  35  40  35  35   33   37    31

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/15
E. Marshall    17%/12% 25%/ 8%  9%/17% 10%/14% 19%/10%
K. Lewis        5 / 9   9 / 9   3 / 9   2 /12   7 /10
C. Cunningham   4 /10   5 /10   3 /10   3 /10   6 / 9