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Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/17). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown 42% 46% 45% 43% 45%
S. Poizner 27 34 35 32 32
Other 13 7 9 7 5
Undec 18 13 11 18 18

-           Now 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown 40% 43% 43% 41% 44% 40%
M. Whitman 40 43 39 41 35% 38
Other 6 6 7 3 3 5
Undec 14 8 11 14 18 17

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/15    1/19    11/17   9/24    1/09
M. Whitman 51%/34% 56%/28% 48%/30% 47%/27% 45%/28% 43%/22%
J. Brown 46 /44 53 /41 49 /40 48 /41 53 /37 46 /38
S. Poizner 29 /47 38 /37 40 /31 36 /26 36 /32 n/a

A Field Poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 748 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Oversample of 353 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 3/17). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I. Tested: Brown, Poizner and Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           Now 1/17
M. Whitman 63% 45%
S. Poizner 14 17
Undec 23 38

General Election Matchups
-           Now 1/17 10/5(RVs)
J. Brown 49% 48% 50%
S. Poizner 32 31 25
Undec 19 21 25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/17 10/5(RVs)
M. Whitman 46% 20% 77% 50% 47% 45% 36% 29%
J. Brown 43 69 13 36 43 43 46 50
Undec 11 11 10 14 10 12 18 21

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/17    10/5(RVs)
J. Brown 41%/37% 60%/20% 19%/60% 38%/34% 44%/32% 44%/29%
M. Whitman 40 /27 24 /36 56 /16 46 /22 25 /20 18 /14
S. Poizner 16 /32 12 /30 20 /34 17 /32 16 /20 22 /17

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